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Dr. Anna Kononiuk
Faculty of Engineering Management, Bialystok University of Technology, Bialystok, Poland

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Research Keywords & Expertise

0 Foresight
0 Industry 4.0
0 Triangulation
0 Strategic Foresight
0 Foresight in enterprises

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Foresight
Foresight maturity
Wild cards
Triangulation
Scenario method

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Journal article
Published: 25 June 2020 in Foresight and STI Governance
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ACS Style

Anna Kononiuk; Bialystok University of Technology; Anna Pajak; Alicja Eva Gudanowska; Andrzej Magruk; Eva Rollnik-Sadowska; Justyna Kozlowska; Anna Sacio-Szymanska; Lukasiewicz Research Network — Institute for Sustainable Technologies. Foresight for Career Development. Foresight and STI Governance 2020, 14, 88 -104.

AMA Style

Anna Kononiuk, Bialystok University of Technology, Anna Pajak, Alicja Eva Gudanowska, Andrzej Magruk, Eva Rollnik-Sadowska, Justyna Kozlowska, Anna Sacio-Szymanska, Lukasiewicz Research Network — Institute for Sustainable Technologies. Foresight for Career Development. Foresight and STI Governance. 2020; 14 (2):88-104.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Anna Kononiuk; Bialystok University of Technology; Anna Pajak; Alicja Eva Gudanowska; Andrzej Magruk; Eva Rollnik-Sadowska; Justyna Kozlowska; Anna Sacio-Szymanska; Lukasiewicz Research Network — Institute for Sustainable Technologies. 2020. "Foresight for Career Development." Foresight and STI Governance 14, no. 2: 88-104.

Journal article
Published: 30 March 2019 in Foresight and STI Governance
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ACS Style

Joanna Ejdys; Alicja Gudanowska; Katarzyna Halicka; Anna Kononiuk; Andrzej Magruk; Joanicjusz Nazarko; Lukasz Nazarko; Danuta Szpilko; Urszula Widelska; Bialystok University of Technology. Foresight in Higher Education Institutions: Evidence from Poland. Foresight and STI Governance 2019, 13, 77 -89.

AMA Style

Joanna Ejdys, Alicja Gudanowska, Katarzyna Halicka, Anna Kononiuk, Andrzej Magruk, Joanicjusz Nazarko, Lukasz Nazarko, Danuta Szpilko, Urszula Widelska, Bialystok University of Technology. Foresight in Higher Education Institutions: Evidence from Poland. Foresight and STI Governance. 2019; 13 (1):77-89.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Joanna Ejdys; Alicja Gudanowska; Katarzyna Halicka; Anna Kononiuk; Andrzej Magruk; Joanicjusz Nazarko; Lukasz Nazarko; Danuta Szpilko; Urszula Widelska; Bialystok University of Technology. 2019. "Foresight in Higher Education Institutions: Evidence from Poland." Foresight and STI Governance 13, no. 1: 77-89.

Journal article
Published: 20 December 2017 in Engineering Management in Production and Services
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The main aim of the paper is to present the synthesis of the results of methodological analysis conducted on examples of foresight projects executed in chosen companies representing four companies type: small and medium-sized enterprise (SME), nonprofit- organization, international corporations and consulting companies as well as to posit functional approach for the implementation of foresight research within organizations. The empirical part of the study is based on the qualitative approach. A multiple case study methodology is employed. The research objects are sixteen companies experienced in foresight research. The first part of the paper gives an overview of definitions of corporate foresight and the analysis of background that have influence on the conducting of foresight in large multinational companies on one side and SMEs on the other side. In the field of the theory of foresight research, the study demonstrates that there are different motivations for foresight introduction as well as different organizational structure of teams conducting the activities and the approaches that they use. In the practical perspective, the study and a detailed functional foresight approach proposed by authors could be valuable for SMEs who consider implementing foresight research into their strategic planning processes.

ACS Style

Anna Kononiuk; Anna Sacio-Szymańska; Judit Gáspár. How do companies envisage the future? Functional foresight approaches. Engineering Management in Production and Services 2017, 9, 21 -33.

AMA Style

Anna Kononiuk, Anna Sacio-Szymańska, Judit Gáspár. How do companies envisage the future? Functional foresight approaches. Engineering Management in Production and Services. 2017; 9 (4):21-33.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Anna Kononiuk; Anna Sacio-Szymańska; Judit Gáspár. 2017. "How do companies envisage the future? Functional foresight approaches." Engineering Management in Production and Services 9, no. 4: 21-33.

Journal article
Published: 01 January 2017 in Procedia Engineering
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ACS Style

Anna Sacio-Szymańska; Anna Kononiuk; Stefano Tommei. Mobilizing Corporate Foresight Potential among V4 Countries – Assumptions, Rationales and Methodology. Procedia Engineering 2017, 182, 635 -642.

AMA Style

Anna Sacio-Szymańska, Anna Kononiuk, Stefano Tommei. Mobilizing Corporate Foresight Potential among V4 Countries – Assumptions, Rationales and Methodology. Procedia Engineering. 2017; 182 ():635-642.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Anna Sacio-Szymańska; Anna Kononiuk; Stefano Tommei. 2017. "Mobilizing Corporate Foresight Potential among V4 Countries – Assumptions, Rationales and Methodology." Procedia Engineering 182, no. : 635-642.

Journal article
Published: 01 January 2017 in Procedia Engineering
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ACS Style

Joanicjusz Nazarko; Joanna Ejdys; Katarzyna Halicka; Łukasz Nazarko; Anna Kononiuk; Anna Olszewska. Factor Analysis as a Tool Supporting STEEPVL Approach to the Identification of Driving Forces of Technological Innovation. Procedia Engineering 2017, 182, 491 -496.

AMA Style

Joanicjusz Nazarko, Joanna Ejdys, Katarzyna Halicka, Łukasz Nazarko, Anna Kononiuk, Anna Olszewska. Factor Analysis as a Tool Supporting STEEPVL Approach to the Identification of Driving Forces of Technological Innovation. Procedia Engineering. 2017; 182 ():491-496.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Joanicjusz Nazarko; Joanna Ejdys; Katarzyna Halicka; Łukasz Nazarko; Anna Kononiuk; Anna Olszewska. 2017. "Factor Analysis as a Tool Supporting STEEPVL Approach to the Identification of Driving Forces of Technological Innovation." Procedia Engineering 182, no. : 491-496.

Journal article
Published: 01 January 2017 in Procedia Engineering
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ACS Style

Joanicjusz Nazarko; Joanna Ejdys; Katarzyna Halicka; Łukasz Nazarko; Anna Kononiuk; Anna Olszewska. Structural Analysis as an Instrument for Identification of Critical Drivers of Technology Development. Procedia Engineering 2017, 182, 474 -481.

AMA Style

Joanicjusz Nazarko, Joanna Ejdys, Katarzyna Halicka, Łukasz Nazarko, Anna Kononiuk, Anna Olszewska. Structural Analysis as an Instrument for Identification of Critical Drivers of Technology Development. Procedia Engineering. 2017; 182 ():474-481.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Joanicjusz Nazarko; Joanna Ejdys; Katarzyna Halicka; Łukasz Nazarko; Anna Kononiuk; Anna Olszewska. 2017. "Structural Analysis as an Instrument for Identification of Critical Drivers of Technology Development." Procedia Engineering 182, no. : 474-481.

Original paper
Published: 14 December 2016 in European Journal of Futures Research
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The paper aims to advance Futures Research by outlining the context and development perspectives of business Foresight in Visegrad region (that is in: Poland, Czech Republic, Slovakia and Hungary). Authors apply their research to tackle present challenges associated with the limited awareness of Foresight and constrained access to Foresight training offer in the region, which leads to insufficient Futures Literacy competences among managers and thus stiffens the opportunity to take advantage of Foresight in business practice. The paper presents two perspectives of analyzing business futures. A macro perspective, which concerns possible development scenarios of Visegrad economies, and a micro perspective, which concerns possible development scenarios of individual companies from Visegrad region. The methodology for the macro analyses involves the discussion of the futures of business in Visegrad economies based on quantitative indicators related to trade balance, foreign direct investment and SMEs prevalence analysed over 2002 – 2014 period. Whereas, the results derived from the micro level analysis are based on the expert-based scenario building exercise executed by Visegrad entrepreneurs participating in a 2-day international Foresight workshop. The research portrays the results achieved so far in the FOR_V4 project: “Mobilising Corporate Foresight potential among V4 countries”, which aims to bring futures knowledge and techniques to managers, who are expected to become “Corporate foresight evangelists” in Visegrad region.

ACS Style

Anna Sacio-Szymańska; Anna Kononiuk; Stefano Tommei; Ondrej Valenta; Éva Hideg; Judit Gáspár; Peter Markovič; Klaudia Gubová; Brigita Boorová. The future of business in Visegrad region. European Journal of Futures Research 2016, 4, 26 .

AMA Style

Anna Sacio-Szymańska, Anna Kononiuk, Stefano Tommei, Ondrej Valenta, Éva Hideg, Judit Gáspár, Peter Markovič, Klaudia Gubová, Brigita Boorová. The future of business in Visegrad region. European Journal of Futures Research. 2016; 4 (1):26.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Anna Sacio-Szymańska; Anna Kononiuk; Stefano Tommei; Ondrej Valenta; Éva Hideg; Judit Gáspár; Peter Markovič; Klaudia Gubová; Brigita Boorová. 2016. "The future of business in Visegrad region." European Journal of Futures Research 4, no. 1: 26.

Journal article
Published: 27 June 2016 in The Baltic Journal of Road and Bridge Engineering
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Construction of modern and durable asphalt and cement pavements requires high quality materials and suitable technologies that take into account sustainability concerns which are related to the environmental protection, mitigation and compensation for road construction effects on surface water and groundwater, soil, air, wildlife, landscape, vibration and noise. The objectives of this paper are to identify possible development directions of materials and technologies in road construction in the time perspective of approximately 30 years. In order to achieve that goal a nationwide Delphi survey with 150 invited experts was deployed. The study concluded that binding materials with improved viscoelastic range – and often with specific modifications – would continue to play a leading role. Furthermore, technologies that enable monitoring the state of road pavement condition in a continuous manner would be used to a greater range. Introduction of sensors into the pavement network would lead to the construction of “smart” roads while spreading of nanomaterial technology would improve the durability and reliability of road pavement construction.

ACS Style

Piotr Radziszewski; Joanicjusz Nazarko; Tatjana Vilutiene; Katarzyna Dębkowska; Joanna Ejdys; Alicja Gudanowska; Katarzyna Halicka; Jarosław Kilon; Anna Kononiuk; Karol J. Kowalski; Jan B. Król; Lukasz Nazarko; Michał Sarnowski. Future trends in road pavement technologies development in the context of environmental protection. The Baltic Journal of Road and Bridge Engineering 2016, 11, 160 -168.

AMA Style

Piotr Radziszewski, Joanicjusz Nazarko, Tatjana Vilutiene, Katarzyna Dębkowska, Joanna Ejdys, Alicja Gudanowska, Katarzyna Halicka, Jarosław Kilon, Anna Kononiuk, Karol J. Kowalski, Jan B. Król, Lukasz Nazarko, Michał Sarnowski. Future trends in road pavement technologies development in the context of environmental protection. The Baltic Journal of Road and Bridge Engineering. 2016; 11 (2):160-168.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Piotr Radziszewski; Joanicjusz Nazarko; Tatjana Vilutiene; Katarzyna Dębkowska; Joanna Ejdys; Alicja Gudanowska; Katarzyna Halicka; Jarosław Kilon; Anna Kononiuk; Karol J. Kowalski; Jan B. Król; Lukasz Nazarko; Michał Sarnowski. 2016. "Future trends in road pavement technologies development in the context of environmental protection." The Baltic Journal of Road and Bridge Engineering 11, no. 2: 160-168.

Conference paper
Published: 12 May 2016 in 9th International Scientific Conference “Business and Management 2016”
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The aim of the article is to present the best practices of technology roadmapping application to the Polish foresight initiatives. The first part of the article is devoted to presentation of the conceptualisation of the best practices for the context of foresight studies and serves as the proposal of the possible criteria of technology roadmapping method benchmarking. In the second part of the article, there have been presented the results of technology roadmapping evaluation in the context of Polish foresight initiatives with the special emphasis on the best practices. The final part of the article offers recommendations for technology roadmapping application to foresight studies.

ACS Style

Anna Kononiuk; Alicja E. Gudanowska. ROADMAPPING IN POLISH FORESIGHT INITIATIVES – BEST PRACTICES. 9th International Scientific Conference “Business and Management 2016” 2016, 1 .

AMA Style

Anna Kononiuk, Alicja E. Gudanowska. ROADMAPPING IN POLISH FORESIGHT INITIATIVES – BEST PRACTICES. 9th International Scientific Conference “Business and Management 2016”. 2016; ():1.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Anna Kononiuk; Alicja E. Gudanowska. 2016. "ROADMAPPING IN POLISH FORESIGHT INITIATIVES – BEST PRACTICES." 9th International Scientific Conference “Business and Management 2016” , no. : 1.

Journal article
Published: 01 December 2015 in Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences
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ACS Style

Anna Kononiuk; Andrzej Magruk. Wild Cards in Polish Foresight Practice. Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences 2015, 213, 951 -956.

AMA Style

Anna Kononiuk, Andrzej Magruk. Wild Cards in Polish Foresight Practice. Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences. 2015; 213 ():951-956.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Anna Kononiuk; Andrzej Magruk. 2015. "Wild Cards in Polish Foresight Practice." Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences 213, no. : 951-956.

Journal article
Published: 01 December 2015 in Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences
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The main purpose of the paper is to present a case study of the implementation of foresight research into the doors and windows industry on the basis of a small enterprise from Poland. The case was based on the concept of business foresight which embraces a triad of assumptions, namely: anticipation, innovativeness and communication of the future. The research process comprised of logically linked research methods including: an in-depth interview with the presidents of the company, business coaching workshops with the company's employees, STEEPVL analysis, scenario analysis, future box technique, Porter's five forces analysis, a survey carried out among the enterprise's customers, and strategy formulation. The main results of the research have enabled the authors to determine the company's foresight maturity level, the most important factors influencing its activity, possible areas of improvement and to set strategic goals in the fields indicated by the presidents and the employees of the company.

ACS Style

Anna Kononiuk; Ewa Glińska. Foresight in a Small Enterprise. A Case Study. Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences 2015, 213, 971 -976.

AMA Style

Anna Kononiuk, Ewa Glińska. Foresight in a Small Enterprise. A Case Study. Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences. 2015; 213 ():971-976.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Anna Kononiuk; Ewa Glińska. 2015. "Foresight in a Small Enterprise. A Case Study." Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences 213, no. : 971-976.

Journal article
Published: 01 December 2015 in European Journal of Futures Research
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In the face of accelerated change and genuine uncertainties in the business environment as well as the need of processing and interpreting the information coming from majority of sources, foresight research in the enterprises comes into prominence. The main aim of the article is to assess foresight maturity of companies based in Podlaskie province in Poland as one of the least developed regions in Europe. The survey research is preceded by bibliometric analysis and literature review to examine current tendencies in foresight research in organisations. The conclusions drawn from the analysis of the existing works on organizational foresight are that foresight is no longer referred to only as a portfolio of methodologies through which organizations may garner a broader vision and probe the future to ascertain potential competitive landscapes but also as a human or organisational competence. Therefore, the research is based on a foresight maturity model developed by Grim (J Futur Stud 13(4):69–80, 2009). The model, besides traditionally associated foresight components such as environmental scanning, takes into consideration such aspects as leadership, collective vision building, and planning. Pilot survey research carried out among 134 production and services enterprises based in the Podlaskie region has allowed us to state that the companies are characterised by low foresight maturity levels. Hence, based on a literature review, two management concepts are suggested as means to increase the level of foresight maturity in companies.

ACS Style

Anna Kononiuk; Anna Sacio-Szymańska. Assessing the maturity level of foresight in Polish companies—a regional perspective. European Journal of Futures Research 2015, 3, 1 -13.

AMA Style

Anna Kononiuk, Anna Sacio-Szymańska. Assessing the maturity level of foresight in Polish companies—a regional perspective. European Journal of Futures Research. 2015; 3 (1):1-13.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Anna Kononiuk; Anna Sacio-Szymańska. 2015. "Assessing the maturity level of foresight in Polish companies—a regional perspective." European Journal of Futures Research 3, no. 1: 1-13.

Journal article
Published: 01 January 2015 in Procedia Engineering
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The objectives of this paper are foresight study of the anticipated needs and requirements as well as identification of development directions of materials and technologies for use in road construction in the time perspective of approximately 30 years. In order to address this goal, Delphi forecasting method was utilized in the Polish-nationwide study with 150 invited experts. Paper presents results of research project dealing with development of directions of road pavement technologies with regards to the environmental aspects. As a result of the analyses, it was concluded that binding materials with improved viscoelastic range (often with modifications) would continue to play a leading role. Furthermore, according to the experts, the technologies that enable to monitor the state of road pavement in a continuous manner will be used to a greater range. Introduction of sensors into the pavement network will lead to the construction of “smart” roads while the spread of nanomaterial technologies in road construction will improve the durability and reliability of road pavement construction.

ACS Style

Joanicjusz Nazarko; Piotr Radziszewski; Katarzyna Dębkowska; Joanna Ejdys; Alicja Gudanowska; Katarzyna Halicka; Jarosław Kilon; Anna Kononiuk; Karol J. Kowalski; Jan B. Król; Łukasz Nazarko; Michał Sarnowski; Tatjana Vilutienė. Foresight Study of Road Pavement Technologies. Procedia Engineering 2015, 122, 129 -136.

AMA Style

Joanicjusz Nazarko, Piotr Radziszewski, Katarzyna Dębkowska, Joanna Ejdys, Alicja Gudanowska, Katarzyna Halicka, Jarosław Kilon, Anna Kononiuk, Karol J. Kowalski, Jan B. Król, Łukasz Nazarko, Michał Sarnowski, Tatjana Vilutienė. Foresight Study of Road Pavement Technologies. Procedia Engineering. 2015; 122 ():129-136.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Joanicjusz Nazarko; Piotr Radziszewski; Katarzyna Dębkowska; Joanna Ejdys; Alicja Gudanowska; Katarzyna Halicka; Jarosław Kilon; Anna Kononiuk; Karol J. Kowalski; Jan B. Król; Łukasz Nazarko; Michał Sarnowski; Tatjana Vilutienė. 2015. "Foresight Study of Road Pavement Technologies." Procedia Engineering 122, no. : 129-136.

Journal article
Published: 03 October 2013 in Technological and Economic Development of Economy
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The aim of the article is to present the diagnosis of scenario method application in the Polish foresight initiatives. The concept of scenario method, its evolution, the state of the art of the Polish foresight studies and the critical analysis of the application of this method have been presented. From the questionnaire results the authors have identified (i) the approach used in scenario construction, (ii) the most important phases of scenario construction, (iii) the interconnection of scenario method with other methods of scenario construction, (iv) the profile of experts involved in foresight projects, (v) the profile of experts involved in scenario construction, (vi) the application of the triangulation principle in scenario construction, (vii) the application of wild cards in scenario construction and techniques to identify them, (viii) the average time of scenario construction process, (ix) the linkage of scenarios to other documents, (x) the number of scenarios elaborated upon, and (xi) the main difficulties in the process of scenario construction. To achieve article aims there have been used the following research methods: a literature review, the method of critical analysis and logical construction, survey research, the status of Polish foresight projects, interim and final report analysis. The research has been funded by the National Science Centre in Poland within a research project entitled Scenarios in future shaping and anticipation for foresight studies, project number: 4194/B/H03/2011/40.

ACS Style

Joanicjusz Nazarko; Anna Kononiuk. THE CRITICAL ANALYSIS OF SCENARIO CONSTRUCTION IN THE POLISH FORESIGHT INITIATIVES. Technological and Economic Development of Economy 2013, 19, 510 -532.

AMA Style

Joanicjusz Nazarko, Anna Kononiuk. THE CRITICAL ANALYSIS OF SCENARIO CONSTRUCTION IN THE POLISH FORESIGHT INITIATIVES. Technological and Economic Development of Economy. 2013; 19 (3):510-532.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Joanicjusz Nazarko; Anna Kononiuk. 2013. "THE CRITICAL ANALYSIS OF SCENARIO CONSTRUCTION IN THE POLISH FORESIGHT INITIATIVES." Technological and Economic Development of Economy 19, no. 3: 510-532.

Journal article
Published: 01 January 2013 in International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy
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The aim of the paper is to propose a qualitative framework to the analysis of the Polish foresight projects based on the grounded theory. The dimensions of the analysis are: type of industry, aims and expected results, stakeholders, geographical distribution, time frame and the research horizon, applied methods, budget and funding sources. The study is supplemented by the findings on the foresight projects' impact on policy. Furthermore, the work sets the Polish sectoral foresights against the background of similar projects in other European countries. Based on the study the authors draw conclusions on the current and the potential future role of foresight studies in the development of the knowledge-based economy in Poland.

ACS Style

Joanicjusz Nazarko; Urszula Glinska; Anna Kononiuk; Łukasz Nazarko. Sectoral foresight in Poland: thematic and methodological analysis. International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy 2013, 9, 19 .

AMA Style

Joanicjusz Nazarko, Urszula Glinska, Anna Kononiuk, Łukasz Nazarko. Sectoral foresight in Poland: thematic and methodological analysis. International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy. 2013; 9 (1):19.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Joanicjusz Nazarko; Urszula Glinska; Anna Kononiuk; Łukasz Nazarko. 2013. "Sectoral foresight in Poland: thematic and methodological analysis." International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy 9, no. 1: 19.