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Koko Warner
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC)

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Chapter
Published: 25 April 2020 in Globale Wanderungsbewegungen
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In diesem Kapitel geht es um die Frage, wie und warum sich die Themen Migration, Vertreibung und geplante Umsiedlung im Zusammenhang mit dem Thema Risikomanagement entwickelt haben und damit im Gegensatz zu der aktuellen Sichtweise stehen, wie sie im Globalen Pakt für eine sichere, geordnete und reguläre Migration und im Globalen Pakt für Flüchtlinge zum Ausdruck kommt. In dem vorliegenden Beitrag sollen die Unterschiede zwischen verschiedenen politischen Ansätzen vor dem Hintergrund der internationalen Entscheidungen im Zusammenhang mit der Klimarahmenkonvention analysiert werden: Dabei werden die Konzepte Risikomanagement und Resilienz, wie sie in der Klimapolitik verstanden werden, sowie das Management und der Schutz von nationalen Grenzen im Sinne der allgemeinen Migrations- und Flüchtlingspolitik einander gegenübergestellt. Es wird skizziert, wie sich das Thema seit der Aufnahme in Paragraf 14 (f) des Cancún Adaptation Framework im Jahr 2010 und der Gründung der Task Force on Displacement im Rahmen des Klimaschutzabkommens von Paris entwickelt hat (Loss and Damage-Konzept). Im nächsten Schritt geht es darum, welche Mittel und Wege die Weltgemeinschaft findet, um die Empfehlungen so umzusetzen, dass sich die Länder vorausschauend auf potenzielle Migrationsbewegungen vorbereiten und die Zukunft klimaresilient und nachhaltig gestalten können.

ACS Style

Koko Warner. Risiko, Resilienz und menschliche Mobilität: Der Beitrag des Klimaschutzabkommens von Paris und der Global Compacts. Globale Wanderungsbewegungen 2020, 323 -346.

AMA Style

Koko Warner. Risiko, Resilienz und menschliche Mobilität: Der Beitrag des Klimaschutzabkommens von Paris und der Global Compacts. Globale Wanderungsbewegungen. 2020; ():323-346.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Koko Warner. 2020. "Risiko, Resilienz und menschliche Mobilität: Der Beitrag des Klimaschutzabkommens von Paris und der Global Compacts." Globale Wanderungsbewegungen , no. : 323-346.

Journal article
Published: 11 January 2019 in Sustainability
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Countries across the world aspire towards climate resilient sustainable development. The interacting processes of climate change, land change, and unprecedented social and technological change pose significant obstacles to these aspirations. The pace, intensity, and scale of these sizeable risks and vulnerabilities affect the central issues in sustainable development: how and where people live and work, access to essential resources and ecosystem services needed to sustain people in given locations, and the social and economic means to improve human wellbeing in the face of disruptions. This paper addresses the question: What are the characteristics of transformational adaptation and development in the context of profound changes in land and climate? To explore this question, this paper contains four case studies: managing storm water runoff related to the conversion of rural land to urban land in Indonesia; using a basket of interventions to manage social impacts of flooding in Nepal; combining a national glacier protection law with water rights management in Argentina; and community-based relocation in response to permafrost thaw and coastal erosion in Alaska. These case studies contribute to understanding characteristics of adaptation which is commensurate to sizeable risks and vulnerabilities to society in changing climate and land systems. Transformational adaptation is often perceived as a major large-scale intervention. In practice, the case studies in this article reveal that transformational adaptation is more likely to involve a bundle of adaptation interventions that are aimed at flexibly adjusting to change rather than reinforcing the status quo in ways of doing things. As a global mosaic, transformational change at a grand scale will occur through an inestimable number of smaller steps to adjust the central elements of human systems proportionate to the changes in climate and land systems. Understanding the characteristics of transformational adaptation will be essential to design and implement adaptation that keeps society in step with reconfiguring climate and land systems as they depart from current states.

ACS Style

Koko Warner; Zinta Zommers; Anita Wreford; Margot Hurlbert; David Viner; Jill Scantlan; Kenna Halsey; Kevin Halsey; Chet Tamang. Characteristics of Transformational Adaptation in Climate-Land-Society Interactions. Sustainability 2019, 11, 356 .

AMA Style

Koko Warner, Zinta Zommers, Anita Wreford, Margot Hurlbert, David Viner, Jill Scantlan, Kenna Halsey, Kevin Halsey, Chet Tamang. Characteristics of Transformational Adaptation in Climate-Land-Society Interactions. Sustainability. 2019; 11 (2):356.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Koko Warner; Zinta Zommers; Anita Wreford; Margot Hurlbert; David Viner; Jill Scantlan; Kenna Halsey; Kevin Halsey; Chet Tamang. 2019. "Characteristics of Transformational Adaptation in Climate-Land-Society Interactions." Sustainability 11, no. 2: 356.

Chapter
Published: 29 November 2018 in Climate Risk Management, Policy and Governance
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The debate on “Loss and Damage” (L&D) has gained traction over the last few years. Supported by growing scientific evidence of anthropogenic climate change amplifying frequency, intensity and duration of climate-related hazards as well as observed increases in climate-related impacts and risks in many regions, the “Warsaw International Mechanism for Loss and Damage” was established in 2013 and further supported through the Paris Agreement in 2015. Despite advances, the debate currently is broad, diffuse and somewhat confusing, while concepts, methods and tools, as well as directions for policy remain vague and often contested. This book, a joint effort of the Loss and Damage Network—a partnership effort by scientists and practitioners from around the globe—provides evidence-based insight into the L&D discourse by highlighting state-of-the-art research conducted across multiple disciplines, by showcasing applications in practice and by providing insight into policy contexts and salient policy options. This introductory chapter summarises key findings of the twenty-two book chapters in terms of five propositions. These propositions, each building on relevant findings linked to forward-looking suggestions for research, policy and practice, reflect the architecture of the book, whose sections proceed from setting the stage to critical issues, followed by a section on methods and tools, to chapters that provide geographic perspectives, and finally to a section that identifies potential policy options. The propositions comprise (1) Risk management can be an effective entry point for aligning perspectives and debates, if framed comprehensively, coupled with climate justice considerations and linked to established risk management and adaptation practice; (2) Attribution science is advancing rapidly and fundamental to informing actions to minimise, avert, and address losses and damages; (3) Climate change research, in addition to identifying physical/hard limits to adaptation, needs to more systematically examine soft limits to adaptation, for which we find some evidence across several geographies globally; (4) Climate risk insurance mechanisms can serve the prevention and cure aspects emphasised in the L&D debate but solidarity and accountability aspects need further attention, for which we find tentative indication in applications around the world; (5) Policy deliberations may need to overcome the perception that L&D constitutes a win-lose negotiation “game” by developing a more inclusive narrative that highlights collective ambition for tackling risks, mutual benefits and the role of transformation.

ACS Style

Reinhard Mechler; Elisa Calliari; Laurens M. Bouwer; Thomas Schinko; Swenja Surminski; Joanne Linnerooth-Bayer; Jeroen Aerts; Wouter Botzen; Emily Boyd; Natalie Delia Deckard; Jan S. Fuglestvedt; Mikel González-Eguino; Marjolijn Haasnoot; John Handmer; MasroorA Haque; Alison Heslin; Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler; Christian Huggel; Saleemul Huq; Rachel James; Richard G. Jones; Sirkku Juhola; Adriana Keating; Stefan Kienberger; Sönke Kreft; Onno Kuik; Mia Landauer; Finn Laurien; Judy Lawrence; Ana Lopez; Wei Liu; Piotr Magnuszewski; Anil Markandya; Benoit Mayer; Ian McCallum; Colin McQuistan; Lukas Meyer; Kian Mintz-Woo; Arianna Montero-Colbert; Jaroslav Mysiak; Johanna Nalau; Ilan Noy; Robert Oakes; Friederike E. L. Otto; Mousumi Pervin; Erin Roberts; Laura Schäfer; Paolo Scussolini; Olivia Serdeczny; Alex De Sherbinin; Florentina Simlinger; Asha Sitati; Saibeen Sultana; Hannah R. Young; Kees Van Der Geest; Marc Van Den Homberg; Ivo Wallimann-Helmer; Koko Warner; Zinta Zommers. Science for Loss and Damage. Findings and Propositions. Climate Risk Management, Policy and Governance 2018, 3 -37.

AMA Style

Reinhard Mechler, Elisa Calliari, Laurens M. Bouwer, Thomas Schinko, Swenja Surminski, Joanne Linnerooth-Bayer, Jeroen Aerts, Wouter Botzen, Emily Boyd, Natalie Delia Deckard, Jan S. Fuglestvedt, Mikel González-Eguino, Marjolijn Haasnoot, John Handmer, MasroorA Haque, Alison Heslin, Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler, Christian Huggel, Saleemul Huq, Rachel James, Richard G. Jones, Sirkku Juhola, Adriana Keating, Stefan Kienberger, Sönke Kreft, Onno Kuik, Mia Landauer, Finn Laurien, Judy Lawrence, Ana Lopez, Wei Liu, Piotr Magnuszewski, Anil Markandya, Benoit Mayer, Ian McCallum, Colin McQuistan, Lukas Meyer, Kian Mintz-Woo, Arianna Montero-Colbert, Jaroslav Mysiak, Johanna Nalau, Ilan Noy, Robert Oakes, Friederike E. L. Otto, Mousumi Pervin, Erin Roberts, Laura Schäfer, Paolo Scussolini, Olivia Serdeczny, Alex De Sherbinin, Florentina Simlinger, Asha Sitati, Saibeen Sultana, Hannah R. Young, Kees Van Der Geest, Marc Van Den Homberg, Ivo Wallimann-Helmer, Koko Warner, Zinta Zommers. Science for Loss and Damage. Findings and Propositions. Climate Risk Management, Policy and Governance. 2018; ():3-37.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Reinhard Mechler; Elisa Calliari; Laurens M. Bouwer; Thomas Schinko; Swenja Surminski; Joanne Linnerooth-Bayer; Jeroen Aerts; Wouter Botzen; Emily Boyd; Natalie Delia Deckard; Jan S. Fuglestvedt; Mikel González-Eguino; Marjolijn Haasnoot; John Handmer; MasroorA Haque; Alison Heslin; Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler; Christian Huggel; Saleemul Huq; Rachel James; Richard G. Jones; Sirkku Juhola; Adriana Keating; Stefan Kienberger; Sönke Kreft; Onno Kuik; Mia Landauer; Finn Laurien; Judy Lawrence; Ana Lopez; Wei Liu; Piotr Magnuszewski; Anil Markandya; Benoit Mayer; Ian McCallum; Colin McQuistan; Lukas Meyer; Kian Mintz-Woo; Arianna Montero-Colbert; Jaroslav Mysiak; Johanna Nalau; Ilan Noy; Robert Oakes; Friederike E. L. Otto; Mousumi Pervin; Erin Roberts; Laura Schäfer; Paolo Scussolini; Olivia Serdeczny; Alex De Sherbinin; Florentina Simlinger; Asha Sitati; Saibeen Sultana; Hannah R. Young; Kees Van Der Geest; Marc Van Den Homberg; Ivo Wallimann-Helmer; Koko Warner; Zinta Zommers. 2018. "Science for Loss and Damage. Findings and Propositions." Climate Risk Management, Policy and Governance , no. : 3-37.

Original paper
Published: 07 June 2018 in Population and Environment
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It is not yet clear how climate change will affect the structural constraints and spatial and social complexity that affect population movements in the future. Today, countries of origin, transit, and destination have reached a juncture. The UNFCCC Paris Agreement adds value to decisions these countries face by helping them explore possible scenarios for impacts that include large movements of people that could be associated with a rise in global average temperatures between 1.5 and 2 °C above pre-industrial levels. Climate policy and mainstream migration and refugee policy are developing recommendations by the end of 2018 that, together, will provide new contours for governing human mobility in the twenty-first century. This paper compares work on human mobility under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and how climate change features in the initial drafts of the Global Compact for Safe, Orderly and Regular Migration (GCM) and the Global Compact on Refugees (GCR). The international community can choose not to include such future considerations, missing opportunities to avert risks of involuntary movements of people as climate change impacts intensify. Alternatively, the international community can help countries to preempt risks arising from governance gaps and climate impacts, incorporate climate and mobility considerations in planning, and establish contingency arrangements for large-scale movements of people. A measure of efficacy in coordinating responses to large-scale movements of people will be the degree to which both state and non-state actors take up the recommendations of the Task Force on Displacement, how the Global Compact for Migration is negotiated, and the degree to which states utilize the Comprehensive Refugee Response Framework as climate and other dynamics unfold in future years.

ACS Style

Koko Warner. Coordinated approaches to large-scale movements of people: contributions of the Paris Agreement and the Global Compacts for migration and on refugees. Population and Environment 2018, 39, 384 -401.

AMA Style

Koko Warner. Coordinated approaches to large-scale movements of people: contributions of the Paris Agreement and the Global Compacts for migration and on refugees. Population and Environment. 2018; 39 (4):384-401.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Koko Warner. 2018. "Coordinated approaches to large-scale movements of people: contributions of the Paris Agreement and the Global Compacts for migration and on refugees." Population and Environment 39, no. 4: 384-401.