This page has only limited features, please log in for full access.
Institute, Department or Faculty Head
01 June 2018 - 30 August 2021
Rafael de Arce is Professor of Econometrics at Universidad Autonoma de Madrid (UAM) and Université Paris Dauphine. He has coordinated different research projects funded by the European Commission, the United Nations, Euromediterranean Fourum of Economic Institutes, and Euromesco. He is author of more than 80 articles, book chapters and reports in the fields of international migration and energy economics. In the private sphere, he has collaborated with different companies as consultant. Recently, he has become cofounder of Smarquest SL, spin-off of UAM devoted to data collection and analysis.
The aim of this article is to simulate the economic impact on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and employment of renewable energy sources investment in Morocco over the next 40 years. In this sense, several potential scenarios of energy component evolution have been used based on the results of a specific survey to sector stakeholders. We obtain accurate results, avoiding speculative/theoretical assumptions in terms of scenario design. As usual in the sector, a Dynamic Input–Output Model (DI–O) is used to estimate the direct and indirect effects of such a large investment and, avoiding the criticism of this type of model in the context of long-term simulations, the alternative of de Arce et al. (2012) is used. In this framework, substantial results derive from the three scenarios considered: the increase in Moroccan GDP as a result of this investment could be around 1.2–1.7 points and, on average, 42,000 new jobs could be created.
Ramon Mahia; Rafael De Arce. On the Economic Effects of a Res Local Industry Deployment in Morocco: A Case of Study Defining Scenarios from a Survey to Stakeholders. Sustainability 2020, 12, 6811 .
AMA StyleRamon Mahia, Rafael De Arce. On the Economic Effects of a Res Local Industry Deployment in Morocco: A Case of Study Defining Scenarios from a Survey to Stakeholders. Sustainability. 2020; 12 (17):6811.
Chicago/Turabian StyleRamon Mahia; Rafael De Arce. 2020. "On the Economic Effects of a Res Local Industry Deployment in Morocco: A Case of Study Defining Scenarios from a Survey to Stakeholders." Sustainability 12, no. 17: 6811.
Ramon Mahia; Rafael De Arce; Ahmet Ali Koç; Gülden Bölük. The short and long-term impact of Syrian refugees on the Turkish economy: a simulation approach. Turkish Studies 2019, 21, 661 -683.
AMA StyleRamon Mahia, Rafael De Arce, Ahmet Ali Koç, Gülden Bölük. The short and long-term impact of Syrian refugees on the Turkish economy: a simulation approach. Turkish Studies. 2019; 21 (5):661-683.
Chicago/Turabian StyleRamon Mahia; Rafael De Arce; Ahmet Ali Koç; Gülden Bölük. 2019. "The short and long-term impact of Syrian refugees on the Turkish economy: a simulation approach." Turkish Studies 21, no. 5: 661-683.
The main objective of this article is to explore the causes of household electricity poverty in Spain from an innovative perspective. Based on evidence of energy inequality across households with different income levels, a quantile regression approach was used to better capture the heterogeneity of determinants of energy poverty across different levels of electricity expenditure. The results illustrate some interesting and counter-intuitive findings about the relationship between household income and electricity poverty, and the technical efficiency of quantile regression compared to the imprecise results of a standard single coefficient/OLS approach.
Rafael De Arce; Ramón Mahía. Drivers of Electricity Poverty in Spanish Dwellings: A Quantile Regression Approach. Energies 2019, 12, 2089 .
AMA StyleRafael De Arce, Ramón Mahía. Drivers of Electricity Poverty in Spanish Dwellings: A Quantile Regression Approach. Energies. 2019; 12 (11):2089.
Chicago/Turabian StyleRafael De Arce; Ramón Mahía. 2019. "Drivers of Electricity Poverty in Spanish Dwellings: A Quantile Regression Approach." Energies 12, no. 11: 2089.
Using the ECM2 survey data on Ecuadorian migrants returning from Spain, we investigate the determinants of reintegration upon return. We study how the migration experience, but also the before- and after-migration characteristics, correlate with migrants’ outcomes upon return. We adopt a broad conception of reintegration, considering jointly labour market-related outcomes that proxy for structural reintegration and subjective indicators that provide insights on sociocultural reintegration. The determinants of these two types of outcomes appear to be different: reintegration indeed encompasses multiple dimensions which cannot be captured by a single indicator. Our results suggest that return assistance programmes’ efficiency in helping reintegration could be improved by (I) targeting, ex-ante, returnees who plan to launch their own business, and, ex-post, the most vulnerable workers (women, older returnees, unemployed), and (ii) facilitating the labour market integration of foreign-educated returnees. They also call for further research to better understand the consequences of these programmes.
Marion Mercier; Anda David; Ramón Mahia; Rafael De Arce. Reintegration upon return: insights from Ecuadorian returnees from Spain. International Migration 2016, 54, 56 -73.
AMA StyleMarion Mercier, Anda David, Ramón Mahia, Rafael De Arce. Reintegration upon return: insights from Ecuadorian returnees from Spain. International Migration. 2016; 54 (6):56-73.
Chicago/Turabian StyleMarion Mercier; Anda David; Ramón Mahia; Rafael De Arce. 2016. "Reintegration upon return: insights from Ecuadorian returnees from Spain." International Migration 54, no. 6: 56-73.
Eva Medina; Rafael De Arce; Ramón Mahía. Barriers to the investment in the Concentrated Solar Power sector in Morocco: A foresight approach using the Cross Impact Analysis for a large number of events. Futures 2015, 71, 36 -56.
AMA StyleEva Medina, Rafael De Arce, Ramón Mahía. Barriers to the investment in the Concentrated Solar Power sector in Morocco: A foresight approach using the Cross Impact Analysis for a large number of events. Futures. 2015; 71 ():36-56.
Chicago/Turabian StyleEva Medina; Rafael De Arce; Ramón Mahía. 2015. "Barriers to the investment in the Concentrated Solar Power sector in Morocco: A foresight approach using the Cross Impact Analysis for a large number of events." Futures 71, no. : 36-56.
Miguel Eduardo Sánchez-Martín; Rafael De Arce; Gonzalo Escribano. Do changes in the rules of the game affect FDI flows in Latin America? A look at the macroeconomic, institutional and regional integration determinants of FDI. European Journal of Political Economy 2014, 34, 279 -299.
AMA StyleMiguel Eduardo Sánchez-Martín, Rafael De Arce, Gonzalo Escribano. Do changes in the rules of the game affect FDI flows in Latin America? A look at the macroeconomic, institutional and regional integration determinants of FDI. European Journal of Political Economy. 2014; 34 ():279-299.
Chicago/Turabian StyleMiguel Eduardo Sánchez-Martín; Rafael De Arce; Gonzalo Escribano. 2014. "Do changes in the rules of the game affect FDI flows in Latin America? A look at the macroeconomic, institutional and regional integration determinants of FDI." European Journal of Political Economy 34, no. : 279-299.
Ramon Mahia; Rafael De Arce; Eva Medina. Assessing the future of a CSP industry in Morocco. Energy Policy 2014, 69, 586 -597.
AMA StyleRamon Mahia, Rafael De Arce, Eva Medina. Assessing the future of a CSP industry in Morocco. Energy Policy. 2014; 69 ():586-597.
Chicago/Turabian StyleRamon Mahia; Rafael De Arce; Eva Medina. 2014. "Assessing the future of a CSP industry in Morocco." Energy Policy 69, no. : 586-597.
The basic purpose of this study is to describe a suitable technical procedure for a complete evaluation of the economic impact of immigrants’ workers on GDP and employment during a given period. A technical Input-Output scheme is precisely depicted, emphasising how to take into account, in its different stages, quite specific features in relation to migration dynamics in the receiving country of analysis. Finally, the procedure is used for illustrating the impact of labour migration arriving to the Spanish economy during the recent years of economic boom, just before the beginning of the present crisis.
Rafael De Arce; Ramon Mahia. A Dynamic Input–Output Scheme for the Estimation of Labour Migration Impact on GDP and Employment in Receiving Countries with an Application for Spain. Understanding Demographic Transitions 2014, 145 -158.
AMA StyleRafael De Arce, Ramon Mahia. A Dynamic Input–Output Scheme for the Estimation of Labour Migration Impact on GDP and Employment in Receiving Countries with an Application for Spain. Understanding Demographic Transitions. 2014; ():145-158.
Chicago/Turabian StyleRafael De Arce; Ramon Mahia. 2014. "A Dynamic Input–Output Scheme for the Estimation of Labour Migration Impact on GDP and Employment in Receiving Countries with an Application for Spain." Understanding Demographic Transitions , no. : 145-158.
In this paper we identify the renewable energy source (RES) demand scenarios for Morocco, the needs of RES installed capacity according to those scenarios and the detailed investment plans needed to achieve such installed capacity supply. Then, using a dynamic variant input output model, we simulate the macroeconomic impact of the foreign investment inflows needed to make available these Moroccan RES generation capacity plans in the medium and long term. The use of concentrated solar plants, photovoltaic generation and wind power farms are considered and compared in the simulation.FEMISE Networ
Rafael de Arce; Ramón Mahía; Eva Medina; Gonzalo Escribano. A simulation of the economic impact of renewable energy development in Morocco. Energy Policy 2012, 46, 335 -345.
AMA StyleRafael de Arce, Ramón Mahía, Eva Medina, Gonzalo Escribano. A simulation of the economic impact of renewable energy development in Morocco. Energy Policy. 2012; 46 ():335-345.
Chicago/Turabian StyleRafael de Arce; Ramón Mahía; Eva Medina; Gonzalo Escribano. 2012. "A simulation of the economic impact of renewable energy development in Morocco." Energy Policy 46, no. : 335-345.
Understanding the extent to which immigration is a predominantly permanent or transitory phenomenon is essential for host countries insofar as it affects the strategic design of their admission, reception, and integration policies. Beyond the determination of the volume of returns, it is crucial to also determine which covariates connect better with a greater or lesser propensity of return. An adequate approach to the dynamics of the return requires considering this decision conditioned by the time elapsed since the arrival of the immigrant. From this perspective, the variable of interest would not be the intention of return, but the elapsed time between the arrival of the immigrant and the moment that return is considered as an option, as well as what are the factors affecting a greater or lesser duration of the stay. In this context, the article explores the relative importance of various personal and migration characteristics in the intention of return of immigrants conditional at the time of residence through the application of a Cox model of duration.
Rafael De Arce; Ramon Mahia. Have Migrants Bought a "Round Trip Ticket"? Determinants in Probability of Immigrants' Return in Spain. Global Economy Journal 2012, 12, 1850258 .
AMA StyleRafael De Arce, Ramon Mahia. Have Migrants Bought a "Round Trip Ticket"? Determinants in Probability of Immigrants' Return in Spain. Global Economy Journal. 2012; 12 (2):1850258.
Chicago/Turabian StyleRafael De Arce; Ramon Mahia. 2012. "Have Migrants Bought a "Round Trip Ticket"? Determinants in Probability of Immigrants' Return in Spain." Global Economy Journal 12, no. 2: 1850258.
In recent years, the Madrid Region (Comunidad de Madrid) has experienced a huge increase in immigrants accessing the labour market. In this paper, a dynamic input‐output exercise is presented, yielding the direct and indirect effects of this migration inflow on the Madrid GDP. In addition, the induced demand effect is estimated, offering a complete estimate framework of the impact of migrant access on regional value added.
Rafael De Arce; Ramón Mahía. An Estimation of the Economic Impact of Migrant Access on GDP: the Case of the Madrid Region. International Migration 2010, 51, 169 -185.
AMA StyleRafael De Arce, Ramón Mahía. An Estimation of the Economic Impact of Migrant Access on GDP: the Case of the Madrid Region. International Migration. 2010; 51 (1):169-185.
Chicago/Turabian StyleRafael De Arce; Ramón Mahía. 2010. "An Estimation of the Economic Impact of Migrant Access on GDP: the Case of the Madrid Region." International Migration 51, no. 1: 169-185.