Most people face some level of water insecurity. Wise water management practices to address water security issues typically require data derived from a combination of observation and model data. This data has historically proven difficult to sustainably supply in many areas of the world. We present the design and development of a global, modeled streamflow data source for the Group on Earth Observation (GEO) Global Water Sustainability (GEOGloWS) implemented at the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). This GEOGloWS ECMWF Streamflow Service (GEOGloWS Service) is a solution and prototype to sustainably address this need for data. The GEOGloWS Service centralizes computing and human resources to build a global hydrologic model and exposes data and mapping web services that allow users to consume the resulting data to meet their specific needs. The global hydrologic model produces global 15‐day ensemble streamflow forecasts and a historical simulation since January 1979. We present case studies in several countries and research environments which demonstrate the utility of the approach taken by the GEOGloWS Service. The case studies show how the global modeled data are being applied to make informed decisions and advance projects in ways that otherwise would not have been possible.

We present the development and testing of a web application called the historical validation tool (HVT) that processes and visualizes observed and simulated historical stream discharge data from the global GEOGloWS ECMWF streamflow services (GESS), performs seasonally adjusted bias correction, computes goodness-of-fit metrics, and performs forward bias correction on subsequent forecasts. The HVT corrects GESS output at a local scale using a technique that identifies and corrects model bias using observed hydrological data that are accessed using web services. HVT evaluates the performance of the GESS historic simulation data and provides more accurate historic simulation and bias-corrected forecast data. The HVT also allows users of the GEOGloWS historical streamflow data to use local observed data to both validate and improve the accuracy of local streamflow predictions. We developed the HVT using Tethys Platform, an open-source web application development framework. HVT presents data visualization using web mapping services and data plotting in the web map interface while functions related to bias correction, metrics reporting, and data generation for statistical analysis are computed by the back end. We present five case studies using the HVT in Australia, Brazil, Colombia, the Dominican Republic, and Peru. In these case studies, in addition to presenting the application, we evaluate the accuracy of the method we implemented in the HVT for bias correction. These case studies show that the HVT bias correction in Brazil, Colombia, and Peru results in significant improvement in historic simulation across the countries, while bias correction only resulted in marginal historic simulation improvements in Australia and the Dominican Republic. The HVT web application allows users to use local data to adjust global historical simulation and forecasts and validate the results, making the GESS modeling results more useful at a local scale.

Tethys Platform is an open source framework for developing web-based applications for Earth Observation data. Our experience shows that Tethys significantly lowers the barrier for cloud-based app development, simplifies the process of accessing scalable distributed cloud computing resources and leverages additional software for data and computationally intensive modeling. The Tethys software development kit allows users to create web apps for visualizing, analyzing, and modeling Earth Observation data. Tethys platform provides a collaborative environment for scientists to develop and deploy several Earth Observation web applications across multiple Tethys portals. We work in partnership with leading regional organizations world-wide to help developing countries use information provided by earth-observing satellites and geospatial technologies for managing climate risks and land use. This paper highlights the several Tethys portals and web applications that were developed as part of this effort. Implementation of the Tethys framework has significantly improved the Application Readiness Level metric for several NASA projects and the potential impact of Tethys to replicate and scale other applied science programs.

Remote-sensing data are used extensively to monitor water quality parameters such as clarity, temperature, and chlorophyll-a (chl-a) content. This is generally achieved by collecting in situ data coincident with satellite data collections and then creating empirical water quality models using approaches such as multi-linear regression or step-wise linear regression. These approaches, which require modelers to select model parameters, may not be well suited for optically complex waters, where interference from suspended solids, dissolved organic matter, or other constituents may act as “confusers”. For these waters, it may be useful to include non-standard terms, which might not be considered when using traditional methods. Recent machine-learning work has demonstrated an ability to explore large feature spaces and generate accurate empirical models that do not require parameter selection. However, these methods, because of the large number of included terms involved, result in models that are not explainable and cannot be analyzed. We explore the use of Least Absolute Shrinkage and Select Operator (LASSO), or L1, regularization to fit linear regression models and produce parsimonious models with limited terms to enable interpretation and explainability. We demonstrate this approach with a case study in which chl-a models are developed for Utah Lake, Utah, USA., an optically complex freshwater body, and compare the resulting model terms to model terms from the literature. We discuss trade-offs between interpretability and model performance while using L1 regularization as a tool. The resulting model terms are both similar to and distinct from those in the literature, thereby suggesting that this approach is useful for the development of models for optically complex water bodies where standard model terms may not be optimal. We investigate the effect of non-coincident data, that is, the length of time between satellite image collection and in situ sampling, on model performance. We find that, for Utah Lake (for which there are extensive data available), three days is the limit, but 12 h provides the best trade-off. This value is site-dependent, and researchers should use site-specific numbers. To document and explain our approach, we provide Colab notebooks for compiling near-coincident data pairs of remote-sensing and in situ data using Google Earth Engine (GEE) and a second notebook implementing L1 model creation using scikitlearn. The second notebook includes data-engineering routines with which to generate band ratios, logs, and other combinations. The notebooks can be easily modified to adapt them to other locations, sensors, or parameters.

Hydrologic modeling is trending toward larger spatial and temporal domains, higher resolutions, and less extensive local calibration and validation. Thorough calibration and validation are difficult because the quantity of observations needed for such scales do not exist or is inaccessible to modelers. We present the Stream Analysis for Bias Estimation and Reduction (SABER) method for bias correction targeting large models. SABER is intended for model consumers to apply to a subset of a larger domain at gauged and ungauged locations and address issues with data size and availability. SABER extends frequency-matching postprocessing techniques using flow duration curves (FDC) at gauged subbasins to be applied at ungauged subbasins using clustering and spatial analysis. SABER uses a “scalar” FDC (SFDC), a ratio of simulated to observed FDC, to characterize biases spatially, temporally, and for varying exceedance probabilities to make corrections at ungauged subbasins. Biased flows at ungauged locations are corrected with the scalar values from the SFDC. Corrected flows are refined to fit a Gumbel Type 1 distribution. We present the theory, procedure, and validation study in Colombia. SABER reduces biases and improves composite metrics, including Nash Sutcliffe and Kling Gupta Efficiency. Recommendations for future work and a discussion of limitations are provided.