Fulya Islek

Dr. Fulya Islek

School of Civil Engineering, University College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland
orcid
Coastal and ocean climate researcher focusing on wave climat...

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

7Years (2020-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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1 June 2020 in Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
Fulya IslekFulya Islek
Fulya Islek
YYYalcin Yuksel
Yalcin Yuksel
CSCihan Sahin
Cihan Sahin

1 May 2021 in Ocean Engineering
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
YYYalcin Yuksel
Yalcin Yuksel
ZYZ. Tugce Yuksel
Z. Tugce Yuksel
Fulya IslekFulya Islek
Fulya Islek
CSCihan Sahin
Cihan Sahin
HGH. Anil Ari Guner
H. Anil Ari Guner


1 June 2021 in Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
Fulya IslekFulya Islek
Fulya Islek
YYYalcin Yuksel
Yalcin Yuksel
CSCihan Sahin
Cihan Sahin
HGH. Anil Ari Guner
H. Anil Ari Guner


12 August 2021 in International Journal of Climatology
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
Fulya IslekFulya Islek
Fulya Islek
YYYalcin Yuksel
Yalcin Yuksel
CSCihan Sahin
Cihan Sahin
The main objective of the present study is to provide a comprehensive image of the expected wind patterns along the 21st century in the Black Sea using the wind fields simulated by Regional Climate Model (RCM), namely Rossby Centre regional atmospheric model (version RCA4). Long‐term averages, long‐term variability, and long‐term trends in wind characteristics over the Black Sea are evaluated in two future time slices (near future 2021–2060 and middle future 2061–2100) under the two climate scenarios (RCP4.5 and 8.5). Detailed analysis of wind (annual mean and 99th percentile wind speeds) and storm characteristics (number and duration of storms) are conducted for three different locations selected on the same meridional section to assess the variability on the wind characteristics from west to east. Spatiotemporal variability on the wind characteristics indicates that the eastern Black Sea will be characterized by lower mean wind speed, stronger 99th percentile wind speed, and higher variability. Considering the global indicators of climate change (e.g., increasing frequency and intensity of extreme events), the eastern Black Sea, characterized by complex atmospheric circulation due to surrounding mountains, is more likely to be subjected to the impacts of climate change as the occurrence of extreme wind speeds in future periods is more prominent in this region. In the future periods, the 100‐year return period wind speeds increase approximately 7% and 27% in the western and eastern Black Sea, respectively, compared to the historical period. The strong and relatively stable winds with low variability in the western Black Sea indicate a reliable, persistent, and sustainable wind energy potential in this region in the future.