Accurate and timely crop yield estimation is essential for effective agricultural management and global food security, particularly for winter wheat. This study aimed to assess the effectiveness of EnMAP hyperspectral imagery in combination with machine learning and deep learning models for winter wheat yield prediction in Hungary. Using EnMAP images from February and May 2023, along with ground truth yield data from four fields, we derived 10 distinct vegetation indices. Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, and Multilayer Perceptron algorithms were employed, and model performance was evaluated using Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Coefficient of Determination (R²) values. The results consistently demonstrated that integrating multi-temporal data significantly enhanced predictive accuracy, with the MLP model achieving an R² of 0.79 and an MAE of 0.27, notably outperforming single-date predictions. Shortwave infrared (SWIR) indices were particularly critical for early-season yield estimations. This research highlights the substantial potential of hyperspectral data and advanced machine learning techniques in precision agriculture, emphasizing the promising role of future missions such as CHIME in further refining and expanding yield estimation capabilities.

Deep learning-based crop mapping from hyperspectral satellite data offers immense potential for capturing subtle phenological differences, yet leveraging sparse time series remains a major methodological challenge. This study evaluates the ability of the EnMAP sensor to identify nine major crop types in the intensive agricultural landscape of Southeastern Hungary. We utilized a limited time series (November, March, August) to benchmark two modeling strategies: a single-date dual-stream spatial–spectral 2D-CNN (DSS-2D) and a multi-temporal 3D-SE-ResNet. Model performance was assessed using parcel-level spatial cross-validation to ensure realistic accuracy estimates and reduce spatial autocorrelation bias. The results demonstrate that the DSS-2D model achieved superior single-date accuracy (OA > 97%), significantly outperforming pixel-based baselines. Furthermore, the multi-temporal 3D-SE-ResNet achieved a robust seasonal accuracy of 92.9%, effectively compensating for temporal sparsity by exploiting the deep spectral information of the SWIR domain. This study confirms that treating hyperspectral data as a 3D volume enables the extraction of phenological traits even from limited observations. These findings provide a strong proof-of-concept for the operational feasibility of future missions such as Copernicus CHIME for continental-scale food security monitoring.

Deep learning-based crop mapping from hyperspectral satellite data offers immense potential for capturing subtle phenological differences, yet leveraging sparse time-series remains a major methodological challenge. This study evaluates the EnMAP sensor for identifying nine major crop types in the intensive agricultural landscape of Southeastern Hungary. We utilized a limited time series (November, March, August) to benchmark two modeling strategies: a single-date Dual-Stream Spatial-Spectral 2D-CNN (DSS-2D) and a multi-temporal 3D-SE-ResNet. Model performance was assessed using parcel-level spatial cross-validation to ensure realistic accuracy estimates and reduce spatial autocorrelation bias. Results demonstrate that the DSS-2D model achieved superior single-date accuracy (OA > 97%), significantly outperforming pixel-based baselines. Furthermore, the multi-temporal 3D-SE-ResNet achieved a robust seasonal accuracy of 92.9%, effectively compensating for temporal sparsity by exploiting the deep spectral information of the SWIR domain. The study confirms that treating hyperspectral data as a 3D volume enables the extraction of phenological traits even from limited observations. These findings provide a strong proof-of-concept for the operational feasibility of future missions like Copernicus CHIME for continental-scale food security monitoring.