Gallbladder cancer (GBC) is rare in Western populations and data about treatment and outcomes are scarce. This study aims to analyze survival and identify opportunities for improvement using population-based data from a low-incidence country. GBC patients diagnosed between 2005 and 2016 with GBC were identified from the Netherlands Cancer Registry. Patients were grouped according to time period (2005–2009/2010–2016) and disease stage. Trends in treatment and overall survival (OS) were analyzed. In total 1834 patients were included: 661 (36%) patients with resected, 278 (15%) with non-resected non-metastatic, and 895 (49%) with metastatic GBC. Use of radical versus simple cholecystectomy (12% vs. 26%, p < 0.001) in early (pT1b/T2) GBC increased. More patients with metastatic GBC received chemotherapy (11% vs. 29%, p < 0.001). OS improved from 4.8 months (2005–2009) to 6.1 months (2010–2016) (p = 0.012). Median OS increased over time (2005–2009 vs. 2010–2016) in resected (19.4 to 26.8 months, p = 0.038) and metastatic (2.3 vs. 3.4 months, p = 0.001) GBC but not in unresected, non-metastatic GBC. In early GBC, patients with radical cholecystectomy had a median OS of 76.7 compared to 18.4 months for simple cholecystectomy (p < 0.001). Palliative chemotherapy showed superior (p < 0.001) survival in metastatic (7.3 versus 2.1 months) and non-resected non-metastatic (7.7 versus 3.5 months) GBC. In conclusion, survival of GBC remains poor. Radical surgery and palliative chemotherapy appear to improve prognosis but remain under-utilized.
Objective: The aim of this study was to develop and validate a clinical prediction model to predict overall survival in patients with nonmetastatic, resected gallbladder cancer (GBC). Background: Although several tools are available, no optimal method has been identified to assess survival in patients with resected GBC. Methods: Data from a Dutch, nation-wide cohort of patients with resected GBC was used to develop a prediction model for overall survival. The model was internally validated and a cohort of Australian GBC patients who underwent resection was used for external validation. The performance of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system and the present model were compared. Results: In total, 446 patients were included; 380 patients in the development cohort and 66 patients in the validation cohort. In the development cohort median survival was 22 months (median follow-up 75 months). Age, T/N classification, resection margin, differentiation grade, and vascular invasion were independent predictors of survival. The externally validated C-index was 0.75 (95%CI: 0.69–0.80), implying good discriminatory capacity. The discriminative ability of the present model after internal validation was superior to the ability of the AJCC staging system (Harrell C-index 0.71, [95%CI: 0.69–0.72) vs. 0.59 (95% CI: 0.57–0.60)]. Conclusion: The proposed model for the prediction of overall survival in patients with resected GBC demonstrates good discriminatory capacity, reasonable calibration and outperforms the authoritative AJCC staging system. This model can be a useful tool for physicians and patients to obtain information about survival after resection and is available from https:// gallbladderresearch.shinyapps.io/Predict_GBC_survival/.
Background: Metastases to the gallbladder (GBm) are rare and pose a unique diagnostic challenge because they can mimic a second primary tumor. This study aimed to gain insight into the clinicopathological and epidemiological characteristics of GBm. Methods: A comprehensive literature review was performed (literature cohort) and compared with a nationwide cohort of GBm patients diagnosed between 1999 and 2015 in the Netherlands, collected via two linked registries (population cohort). Overall survival (OS) was estimated by Kaplan–Meier. Hazard ratios were determined by a Cox proportional hazard model. Results: The literature cohort and population cohort consisted of 225 and 291 patients, respectively. In the literature cohort, melanoma was the most frequent origin (33.8%), while colorectal cancer was the most frequent origin in the population cohort (23.7%). Prognosis was poor with median OS ranging from 6.0 to 22.5 months in the literature and population cohorts, respectively. Age, timing of GBm (synchronous/metachronous) and primary tumor origin were independent prognostic factors for OS. Discussion: Metastases to the gallbladder are rare and carry a poor prognosis. Differences between both cohorts can be attributable to the biased reporting of tumor types that are more easily recognized as GBm because of distinct histological features.
Salmonella spp. infection has shown to have oncogenic transformative effects and thereby increases the risk of certain cancers. For Campylobacter spp., similar effects have been demonstrated. Risk factor identification may allow for timely diagnosis and preventive treatment. To substantiate the oncogenic potential of Salmonella and Campylobacter spp., this study compared the incidence of extrahepatic biliary tract cancer (BTC) in patients with diagnosed Salmonella or Campylobacter spp. infection with BTC incidence in the Netherlands. National infectious diseases surveillance records of patients diagnosed with a laboratory-confirmed Salmonella or Campylobacter spp. infection during 1999–2016 were linked to the Netherlands Cancer Registry. Incidence of BTC in Salmonella and Campylobacter spp. patients was compared to the incidence of BTC in the general population using Standardized Incidence Ratios (SIRs). In total, 16,252 patients were diagnosed with Salmonella spp. and 27,668 with Campylobacter spp. infection. Nine patients developed BTC at a median of 46 months (13–67) after Salmonella spp. infection and seven at a median of 60 months (18–138) after Campylobacter spp. infection. SIR of BTC in salmonellosis patients was 1.53 (95% CI 0.70–2.91). In patients aged <60 years, the SIR was 1.74 (95% CI 0.36–5.04). For campylobacteriosis patients, the SIR was 0.97 (95% CI 0.39–2.00). Even though Salmonella or Campylobacter spp. infection was not significantly associated with increased BTC risk in this cohort, it remains extremely important to study potential risk factors for cancer to facilitate screening and ultimately improve prognosis of cancer patients.