Forecasts of maximum and minimum air temperatures are essential to mitigate the damage of extreme weather events such as heat waves and tropical nights. The Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) model has been widely used for forecasting air temperature, but generally it has a systematic bias due to its coarse grid resolution and lack of parametrizations. This study used random forest (RF), support vector regression (SVR), artificial neural network (ANN) and a multi‐model ensemble (MME) to correct the Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System (LDAPS; a local NWP model over Korea) model outputs of next‐day maximum and minimum air temperatures ( and ) in Seoul, South Korea. A total of 14 LDAPS model forecast data, the daily maximum and minimum air temperatures of in‐situ observations, and five auxiliary data were used as input variables. The results showed that the LDAPS model had an R² of 0.69, a bias of −0.85 °C and an RMSE of 2.08 °C for forecast, whereas the proposed models resulted in the improvement with R² from 0.75 to 0.78, bias from −0.16 to −0.07 °C and RMSE from 1.55 to 1.66 °C by hindcast validation. For forecasting , the LDAPS model had an R² of 0.77, a bias of 0.51 °C and an RMSE of 1.43 °C by hindcast, while the bias correction models showed R² values ranging from 0.86 to 0.87, biases from −0.03 to 0.03 °C, and RMSEs from 0.98 to 1.02 °C. The MME model had better generalization performance than the three single machine learning models by hindcast validation and leave‐one‐station‐out cross‐validation.

The reliable and robust monitoring of air temperature distribution is essential for urban thermal environmental analysis. In this study, a stacking ensemble model consisting of multi-linear regression (MLR), support vector regression (SVR), and random forest (RF) optimized by the SVR is proposed to interpolate the daily maximum air temperature (T_max) during summertime in a mega urban area. A total of 10 geographic variables, including the clear-sky averaged land surface temperature and the normalized difference vegetation index, were used as input variables. The stacking model was compared to Cokriging, three individual data-driven methods, and a simple average ensemble model, all through leave-one-station-out cross validation. The stacking model showed the best performance by improving the generalizability of the individual models and mitigating the sensitivity to the extreme daily T_max. This study demonstrates that the stacking ensemble method can improve the accuracy of spatial interpolation of environmental variables in various research fields.

Land surface temperature (LST) is used as a critical indicator for various environmental issues because it links land surface fluxes with the surface atmosphere. Moderate-resolution imaging spectroradiometers (MODIS) 1 km LSTs have been widely utilized but have the serious limitation of not being provided under cloudy weather conditions. In this study, we propose two schemes to estimate all-weather 1 km Aqua MODIS daytime (1:30 p.m.) and nighttime (1:30 a.m.) LSTs in South Korea for humid summer days. Scheme 1 (S1) is a two-step approach that first estimates 10 km LSTs and then conducts the spatial downscaling of LSTs from 10 km to 1 km. Scheme 2 (S2), a one-step algorithm, directly estimates the 1 km all-weather LSTs. Eight advanced microwave scanning radiometer 2 (AMSR2) brightness temperatures, three MODIS-based annual cycle parameters, and six auxiliary variables were used for the LST estimation based on random forest machine learning. To confirm the effectiveness of each scheme, we have performed different validation experiments using clear-sky MODIS LSTs. Moreover, we have validated all-weather LSTs using bias-corrected LSTs from 10 in situ stations. In clear-sky daytime, the performance of S2 was better than S1. However, in cloudy sky daytime, S1 simulated low LSTs better than S2, with an average root mean squared error (RMSE) of 2.6 °C compared to an average RMSE of 3.8 °C over 10 stations. At nighttime, S1 and S2 demonstrated no significant difference in performance both under clear and cloudy sky conditions. When the two schemes were combined, the proposed all-weather LSTs resulted in an average R² of 0.82 and 0.74 and with RMSE of 2.5 °C and 1.4 °C for daytime and nighttime, respectively, compared to the in situ data. This paper demonstrates the ability of the two different schemes to produce all-weather dynamic LSTs. The strategy proposed in this study can improve the applicability of LSTs in a variety of research and practical fields, particularly for areas that are very frequently covered with clouds.

Recent studies have enhanced the mapping performance of the local climate zone (LCZ), a standard framework for evaluating urban form and function for urban heat island research, through remote sensing (RS) images and deep learning classifiers such as convolutional neural networks (CNNs). The accuracy in the urban-type LCZ (LCZ1-10), however, remains relatively low because RS data cannot provide vertical or horizontal building components in detail. Geographic information system (GIS)-based building datasets can be used as primary sources in LCZ classification, but there is a limit to using them as input data for CNN due to their incompleteness. This study proposes novel methods to classify LCZ using Sentinel 2 images and incomplete building data based on a CNN classifier. We designed three schemes (S1, S2, and a scheme fusion; SF) for mapping 50 m LCZs in two megacities: Berlin and Seoul. S1 used only RS images, and S2 used RS and building components such as area and height (or the number of stories). SF combined two schemes (S1 and S2) based on three conditions, mainly focusing on the confidence level of the CNN classifier. When compared to S1, the overall accuracies for all LCZ classes (OA) and the urban-type LCZ (OA_urb) of SF increased by about 4% and 7–9%, respectively, for the two study areas. This study shows that SF can compensate for the imperfections in the building data, which causes misclassifications in S2. The suggested approach can be excellent guidance to produce a high accuracy LCZ map for cities where building databases can be obtained, even if they are incomplete.

A high spatio-temporal resolution land surface temperature (LST) is necessary for various research fields because LST plays a crucial role in the energy exchange between the atmosphere and the ground surface. The moderate-resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS) LST has been widely used, but it is not available under cloudy conditions. This study proposed a novel approach for reconstructing all-sky 1 km MODIS LST in South Korea during the summer seasons using various data sources, considering the cloud effects on LST. In South Korea, a Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System (LDAPS) with a relatively high spatial resolution of 1.5 km has been operated since 2013. The LDAPS model’s analysis data, binary MODIS cloud cover, and auxiliary data were used as input variables, while MODIS LST and cloudy-sky in situ LST were used together as target variables based on the light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM) approach. As a result of spatial five-fold cross-validation using MODIS LST, the proposed model had a coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.89–0.91 with a root mean square error (RMSE) of 1.11–1.39 °C during the daytime, and an R² of 0.96–0.97 with an RMSE of 0.59–0.60 °C at nighttime. In addition, the reconstructed LST under the cloud was evaluated using leave-one-station-out cross-validation (LOSOCV) using 22 weather stations. From the LOSOCV results under cloudy conditions, the proposed LightGBM model had an R² of 0.55–0.63 with an RMSE of 2.41–3.00 °C during the daytime, and an R² of 0.70–0.74 with an RMSE of 1.31–1.36 °C at nighttime. These results indicated that the reconstructed LST has higher accuracy than the LDAPS model. This study also demonstrated that cloud cover information improved the cloudy-sky LST estimation accuracy by adequately reflecting the heterogeneity of the relationship between LST and input variables under clear and cloudy skies. The reconstructed all-sky LST can be used in a variety of research applications including weather monitoring and forecasting.