After the “5·12” Wenchuan earthquake in 2008, collapses and landslides have occurred continuously, resulting in the accumulation of a large quantity of loose sediment on slopes or in gullies, providing rich material source reserves for the occurrence of debris flow and flash flood disasters. Therefore, it is of great significance to build a collapse and landslide susceptibility evaluation model in Wenchuan County for local disaster prevention and mitigation. Taking Wenchuan County as the research object and according to the data of 1081 historical collapse and landslide disaster points, as well as the natural environment, this paper first selects six categories of environmental factors (13 environmental factors in total) including topography (slope, aspect, curvature, terrain relief, TWI), geological structure (lithology, soil type, distance to fault), meteorology and hydrology (rainfall, distance to river), seismic impact (PGA), ecological impact (NDVI), and impact of human activity (land use). It then builds three single models (LR, SVM, RF) and three CF-based hybrid models (CF-LR, CF-SVM, CF-RF), and makes a comparative analysis of the accuracy and reliability of the models, thereby obtaining the optimal model in the research area. Finally, this study discusses the contribution of environmental factors to the collapse and the landslide susceptibility prediction of the optimal model. The research results show that (1) the areas prone to extremely high collapse and landslide predicted by the six models (LR, CF-LR, SVM, CF-SVM, RF and CF-RF) have an area of 730.595 km², 377.521 km², 361.772 km², 372.979 km², 318.631 km², and 306.51 km², respectively, and the frequency ratio precision of collapses and landslides is 0.916, 0.938, 0.955, 0.956, 0.972, and 0.984, respectively; (2) the ranking of the comprehensive index based on the confusion matrix is CF-RF>RF>CF-SVM>CF-LR>SVM>LR and the ranking of the AUC value is CF-RF>RF>CF-SVM>CF-LR>SVM>LR. To a certain extent, the coupling models can improve precision more over the single models. The CF-RF model ranks the highest in all indexes, with a POA value of 257.046 and an AUC value of 0.946; (3) rainfall, soil type, and distance to river are the three most important environmental factors, accounting for 24.216%, 22.309%, and 11.41%, respectively. Therefore, it is necessary to strengthen the monitoring of mountains and rock masses close to rivers in case of rainstorms in Wenchuan county and other similar areas prone to post-earthquake landslides.

River training structures are conventionally used to improve river stability and ecological conditions and to protect the upstream instream infrastructures from scour and erosion. A submerged weir is a typical river training structure usually built downstream of bridges for grade control. Flow over the weir can cause local scour, destabilizing both the structure and the trained river reach. It is therefore important for safe design to estimate the scour accurately and understand the effects of an upstream bridge pier on local scour at submerged weirs. This study describes experiments on the scour process at a submerged weir with an upstream bridge pier, varying the distance L between the two. In this study, 56 experiments were conducted using uniform coarse sand with a median grain size d₅₀ = 0.85 mm in a sediment‐recirculating flume. For clear‐water scour, the experiments showed that the bedform induced by the pier scour process creates a scour‐and‐fill process upstream of the submerged weir; and the upstream pier can also affect the scour downstream of the submerged weir, through two mechanisms: (i) upstream sediment replenishment and (ii) flow section constriction. The mechanisms (i) and (ii) can reduce and increase the downstream clear‐water scour depth at the submerged weir, respectively. For live‐bed scour, a pier upstream can reduce and increase the scour depth upstream and downstream of the submerged weir, respectively. Based on the experimental data, the dependence of the scour depth at the submerged weir on L is evaluated.

Landslide prediction is one of the complicated topics recognized by the global scientific community. The research on landslide susceptibility prediction is vitally important to mitigate and prevent landslide disasters. The instability and complexity of the landslide system can cause uncertainty in the prediction process and results. Although there are many types of models for landslide susceptibility prediction, they still do not have a unified theoretical basis or accuracy test standard. In the past, models were mainly subjectively selected and determined by researchers, but the selection of models based on subjective experience often led to more significant uncertainty in the prediction process and results. To improve the universality of the model and the reliability of the prediction accuracy, it is urgent to systematically summarize and analyze the performance of different models to reduce the impact of uncertain factors on the prediction results. For this purpose, this paper made extensive use of document analysis and data mining tools for the bibliometric and knowledge mapping analysis of 600 documents collected by two data platforms, Web of Science and Scopus, in the past 40 years. This study focused on the uncertainty analysis of four key research subfields (namely disaster-causing factors, prediction units, model space data sets, and prediction models), systematically summarized the difficulties and hotspots in the development of various landslide prediction models, discussed the main problems encountered in these four subfields, and put forward some suggestions to provide references for further improving the prediction accuracy of landslide disaster susceptibility.

Global climate changes have a great impact on terrestrial ecosystems. Vegetation is an important component of ecosystems, and the impact of climate changes on ecosystems can be determined by studying vegetation phenology. Vegetation phenology refers to the phenomenon of periodic changes in plants, such as germination, flowering and defoliation, with the seasonal change of climate during the annual growth cycle, and it is considered to be one of the most efficient indicators to monitor climate changes. This study collected the global land surface satellite leaf area index (GLASS LAI) products, meteorological data sets and other auxiliary data in the Three-River headwaters region from 2001 to 2018; rebuilt the vegetation LAI annual growth curve by using the asymmetric Gaussian (A-G) fitting method and extracted the three vegetation phenological data (including Start of Growing Season (SOS), End of Growing Season (EOS) and Length of Growing Season (LOS)) by the maximum slope method. In addition, it also integrated Sen’s trend analysis method and the Mann-Kendall test method to explore the temporal and spatial variation trends of vegetation phenology and explored the relationship between vegetation phenology and meteorological factors through a partial correlation analysis and multiple linear regression models. The results of this study showed that: (1) the SOS of vegetation in the Three-River headwaters region is concentrated between the beginning and the end of May, with an interannual change rate of −0.14 d/a. The EOS of vegetation is concentrated between the beginning and the middle of October, with an interannual change rate of 0.02 d/a. The LOS of vegetation is concentrated between 4 and 5 months, with an interannual change rate of 0.21 d/a. (2) Through the comparison and verification with the vegetation phenological data observed at the stations, it was found that the precision of the vegetation phonology extracted by the A-G method and the maximum slope method based on GLASS LAI data is higher (MAE is 7.6 d, RMSE is 8.4 d) and slightly better than the vegetation phenological data (MAE is 9.9 d, RMSE is 10.9 d) extracted based on the moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer normalized difference vegetation index (MODIS NDVI) product. (3) The correlation between the SOS of vegetation and the average temperature in March–May is the strongest. The SOS of vegetation is advanced by 1.97 days for every 1 °C increase in the average temperature in March–May; the correlation between the EOS of vegetation and the cumulative sunshine duration in August–October is the strongest. The EOS of vegetation is advanced by 0.07 days for every 10-h increase in the cumulative sunshine duration in August–October.

Flash flood is one of the extremely destructive natural disasters in the world. In recent years, extreme rainfall events caused by global climate change have increased, and flash flood disasters are becoming the main types of natural disasters in the world. Due to the characteristics of strong suddenness, complex disaster-causing factors, great difficulty in prediction and forecast, and the lack of historical data, it is difficult to effectively prevent and control flash flood disaster. The early identification technology of flash floods is not only the basis of flash flood disaster prediction and early warning, but also an effective means of flash flood prevention and control. The paper makes a meta-analysis and visual analysis of 475 documents collected by the Web of Science Document Platform in the past 31 years by comprehensively using Citespace, Vosviewer, Origin, etc. We systematically summarize the research progress and development trend of early identification technology of flash flood disasters from five key research subfields: (1) precipitation, (2) sediment, (3) sensitivity analysis, (4) risk assessment, (5) uncertainty analysis. In addition, we analyze and discuss the main problems encountered in the current research of several subfields and put forward some suggestions to provide references for the prevention and control of flash flood disasters.