Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is thought to result from an accelerated decline in forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV₁) over time. Yet it is possible that a normal decline in FEV₁ could also lead to COPD in persons whose maximally attained FEV₁ is less than population norms. We stratified participants in three independent cohorts (the Framingham Offspring Cohort, the Copenhagen City Heart Study, and the Lovelace Smokers Cohort) according to lung function (FEV₁ ≥80% or <80% of the predicted value) at cohort inception (mean age of patients, approximately 40 years) and the presence or absence of COPD at the last study visit. We then determined the rate of decline in FEV₁ over time among the participants according to their FEV₁ at cohort inception and COPD status at study end. Among 657 persons who had an FEV₁ of less than 80% of the predicted value before 40 years of age, 174 (26%) had COPD after 22 years of observation, whereas among 2207 persons who had a baseline FEV₁ of at least 80% of the predicted value before 40 years of age, 158 (7%) had COPD after 22 years of observation (P<0.001). Approximately half the 332 persons with COPD at the end of the observation period had had a normal FEV₁ before 40 years of age and had a rapid decline in FEV₁ thereafter, with a mean (±SD) decline of 53±21 ml per year. The remaining half had had a low FEV₁ in early adulthood and a subsequent mean decline in FEV₁ of 27±18 ml per year (P<0.001), despite similar smoking exposure. Our study suggests that low FEV₁ in early adulthood is important in the genesis of COPD and that accelerated decline in FEV₁ is not an obligate feature of COPD. (Funded by an unrestricted grant from GlaxoSmithKline and others.)

Rationale: Understanding normal lung development and aging in health and disease, both in men and in women, is essential to interpreting any therapeutic intervention. Objectives: We aimed to describe lung function changes in healthy never-smoking males and females, from adolescence to old age, and to determine the effects of smoking and those derived from quitting. Methods: Prospective cohort study within all participants of the Framingham Offspring cohort who had two or more valid spirometry measurements during follow-up (n = 4,391; age range at baseline 13 to 71 yr), with a median follow-up time of 23 years. Measurements and Main Results: To best fit the curves describing FEV1 changes with age to raw data, we used a generalized additive model with smooth terms and incorporating the subject-specific (longitudinal) random effects. We found that: (1) healthy never-smoker females achieve full lung growth earlier than males, and their rate of decline with age was slightly, but not significantly, lower; (2) smoking increases the rate of lung function decline, both in males and in females; (3) there is a range of susceptibility to the effects of smoking. The presence of respiratory symptoms at baseline and/or a respiratory diagnosis during follow-up appears to identify a group of susceptible smokers; and (4) quitting smoking has a beneficial effect at any age, but it is more pronounced in earlier quitters. Conclusions: Lung function changes from adolescence to old age differ in males and females, smoking has similar deleterious effects in both sexes, and quitting earlier is better.

Objective: To determine calcitonin gene-related peptide (CGRP) levels outside migraine attacks in peripheral blood as a potential biomarker for chronic migraine (CM). Methods: Women older than 17 years and diagnosed with CM were recruited. Matched healthy women with no headache history and women with episodic migraine (EM) served as control groups, together with a series of patients with episodic cluster headache in a pain-free period. CGRP levels were determined in blood samples obtained from the right antecubital vein by ELISA outside a migraine attack and having taken no symptomatic medication the day before. For ethical reasons, preventatives were not stopped. Results: We assessed plasma samples from 103 women with CM, 31 matched healthy women, 43 matched women with EM, and 14 patients with episodic cluster headache matched for age. CGRP levels were significantly increased in CM (74.90 pg/mL) as compared with control healthy women (33.74 pg/mL), women with EM (46.37 pg/mL), and patients with episodic cluster headache (45.87 pg/mL). Thresholds of 43.45 and 58.22 pg/mL optimize the sensitivity and specificity to differentiate CM from healthy controls and EM, respectively. In the CM group, CGRP levels were significantly increased in women with a history of migraine with aura vs those only experiencing migraine without aura. Variables such as age, analgesic overuse, depression, fibromyalgia, vascular risk factors, history of triptan consumption, or kind of preventative treatment did not significantly influence CGRP levels. Conclusion: Increased CGRP level measured in peripheral blood outside migraine attacks and in the absence of symptomatic medication could be a biomarker helping in the diagnosis of CM.

Abnormalities in serum phosphorus, calcium and parathyroid hormone (PTH) have been associated with poor survival in haemodialysis patients. This COSMOS (Current management Of Secondary hyperparathyroidism: a Multicentre Observational Study) analysis assesses the association of high and low serum phosphorus, calcium and PTH with a relative risk of mortality. Furthermore, the impact of changes in these parameters on the relative risk of mortality throughout the 3-year follow-up has been investigated. COSMOS is a 3-year, multicentre, open-cohort, prospective study carried out in 6797 adult chronic haemodialysis patients randomly selected from 20 European countries. Using Cox proportional hazard regression models and penalized splines analysis, it was found that both high and low serum phosphorus, calcium and PTH were associated with a higher risk of mortality. The serum values associated with the minimum relative risk of mortality were 4.4 mg/dL for serum phosphorus, 8.8 mg/dL for serum calcium and 398 pg/mL for serum PTH. The lowest mortality risk ranges obtained using as base the previous values were 3.6–5.2 mg/dL for serum phosphorus, 7.9–9.5 mg/dL for serum calcium and 168–674 pg/mL for serum PTH. Decreases in serum phosphorus and calcium and increases in serum PTH in patients with baseline values of >5.2 mg/dL (phosphorus), >9.5 mg/dL (calcium) and <168 pg/mL (PTH), respectively, were associated with improved survival. COSMOS provides evidence of the association of serum phosphorus, calcium and PTH and mortality, and suggests survival benefits of controlling chronic kidney disease-mineral and bone disorder biochemical parameters in CKD5D patients.

OnabotulinumtoxinA (onabotA) has shown efficacy in chronic migraine (CM). Its mechanism of action, however, remains obscure. We have analysed whether treatment with onabotA is able to induce changes in interictal plasma calcitonin gene-related peptide (CGRP) concentrations, which have been shown to be increased in patients with CM. Calcitonin gene-related peptide levels were determined in samples obtained from the right antecubital vein using ELISA, outside a migraine attack and having taken no symptomatic medication in the previous 24 hours, in 83 patients with CM (average age 44 years; 94% females) before and 1 month after treatment with 155 to 195 U of onabotA. CGRP levels after onabotA treatment (median, 51.89 pg/mL; range, 199.4-10.2) were significantly lower as compared with CGRP levels obtained before onabotA treatment (median, 74.09 pg/mL; range, 241.0-11.4; P = 0.001). Pretreatment CGRP levels in responders (76.85 pg/mL) were significantly higher than those seen in nonresponders (50.45 pg/mL; P = 0.001). One month after treatment, the CGRP levels did not change in nonresponders (51.89 pg/mL; P not significant), but significantly decreased in responders (52.48 pg/mL; P = 0.003). A number of demographic factors, clinical features, and comorbidities were not different in responders as compared with those of nonresponders. These results confirm that interictal CGRP levels can be of help in predicting the response to onabotA and suggest that the mechanism of action of onabotA in CM is the reversal of sensitization as a result of the inhibition of CGRP release.