Ship detention decision plays a key role in port state control (PSC) inspection process, which is compactly related to navigation safety and maritime environmental protection. Many focuses were paid to exploit intrinsic relationship among ship attributes (ship age, type, etc.), detention events and typical ship deficiencies. It is noted that many ship detention prediction frameworks were implemented considering single type of factors regardless of internal relationship between ship crucial deficiencies and ship attributes. To address the issue, we proposed a support vector machine (SVM) based framework to exploit crucial ship deficiencies, and thus forecast the probability of ship detention event. Firstly, we design a feature selection scheme to determine ship fatal deficiency types by exploring historical PSC inspection data. Secondly, we predict the ship detention event via conventional support vector machine (SVM) with support of ship feature selection outputs. Thirdly, we verify the proposed framework performance by predicting ship detention event from historical PSC data, which is quantified with the indicators of accuracy ( ) and area under ROC curve ( ). The research findings help PSC officials easily identify fatal ship deficiencies, and thus make more reasonable ship detention decision in real-world PSC activity.
8 April 2023 in Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
Vehicle to vulnerable road user (VRU) crashes occupy a large proportion of traffic crashes in China, and crash injury severity analysis can support traffic managers to understand the implicit rules behind the crashes. Therefore, 554 VRUs-involved crashes are collected from January, 2017, to February, 2021, in a city in northern China, including 322 vehicle-pedestrian crashes and 232 vehicle-bicycle crashes. First, a descriptive statistical analysis is conducted to investigate the characteristics of VRUs-involved crashes. Second, the extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) model is introduced to identify the importance of risk factors (i.e., time of day, day of week, rushing hour, crash position, weather, and crash involvements) of VRUs-involved crashes. The statistical analysis demonstrates that the risk factors are closely related to VRUs-involved crash injury severity. Moreover, the results of XGBoost reveal that time of day has the greatest impact on VRUs-involved crashes, and crash position shows the minimum importance among these risk factors.
Early warning on the ship deficiency is crucial for enhancing maritime safety, improving maritime traffic efficiency, reducing ship fuel consumption, etc. Previous studies focused on the ship deficiency exploration by mining the relationships between the ship physical deficiencies and the port state control (PSC) inspection results with statistical models. Less attention was paid to discovering the correlation rules among various parent ship deficiencies and subcategories. To address the issue, we proposed an improved Apriori model to explore the intrinsic mutual correlations among the ship deficiencies from the PSC inspection dataset. Four typical ship property indicators (i.e., ship type, age, deadweight and gross tonnage) were introduced to analyze the correlations for the ship parent deficiency categories and subcategories. The findings of our research can provide basic guidelines for PSC inspections to improve the ship inspection efficiency and maritime safety.
As autonomous driving technology advances, connected and autonomous vehicles (CAVs) will coexist with human-driven vehicles (HDVs) for an extended period. The deployment of CAVs will alter traffic flow characteristics, making it crucial to investigate their impacts on mixed traffic. This study develops a hybrid control framework that integrates a platoon control strategy based on the “catch-up” mechanism with lane management for CAVs. The impacts of the proposed hybrid control framework on mixed traffic flow are evaluated through a series of macroscopic simulations, focusing on fundamental diagrams, traffic oscillations, and safety. The results illustrate a notable increase in road capacity with the rising market penetration rate (MPR) of CAVs, with significant improvements under the hybrid control framework, particularly at high MPRs. Additionally, traffic oscillations are mitigated, reducing shockwave propagation and enhancing efficiency under the hybrid control framework. Four surrogate safety measures, namely time to collision (TTC), criticality index function (CIF), deceleration rate to avoid a crash (DRAC), and total exposure time (TET), are utilized to evaluate traffic safety. The results indicate that collision risk is significantly reduced at high MPRs. The findings of this study provide valuable insights into the deployment of CAVs, using control strategies to improve mixed traffic flow operations.
5 August 2025 in Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies