Christopher Drovandi

Dr. Christopher Drovandi


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

20Years (2007-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

View All Publications
15 June 2015 in International Statistical Review
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
ERElizabeth G. Ryan
Elizabeth G. Ryan
CDChristopher Drovandi
Christopher Drovandi
JMJames McGree
James McGree
APAnthony Pettitt
Anthony Pettitt

31 July 2017 in Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
LPL. F. Price
L. F. Price
CDChristopher Drovandi
Christopher Drovandi
ALA. Lee
A. Lee
DND. J. Nott
D. J. Nott
Having the ability to work with complex models can be highly beneficial. However, complex models often have intractable likelihoods, so methods that involve evaluation of the likelihood function are infeasible. In these situations, the benefits of working with likelihood-free methods become apparent. Likelihood-free methods, such as parametric Bayesian indirect likelihood that uses the likelihood of an alternative parametric auxiliary model, have been explored throughout the literature as a viable alternative when the model of interest is complex. One of these methods is called the synthetic likelihood (SL), which uses a multivariate normal approximation of the distribution of a set of summary statistics. This article explores the accuracy and computational efficiency of the Bayesian version of the synthetic likelihood (BSL) approach in comparison to a competitor known as approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) and its sensitivity to its tuning parameters and assumptions. We relate BSL to pseudo-marginal methods and propose to use an alternative SL that uses an unbiased estimator of the SL, when the summary statistics have a multivariate normal distribution. Several applications of varying complexity are considered to illustrate the findings of this article. Supplemental materials are available online. Computer code for implementing the methods on all examples is available at https://github.com/cdrovandi/Bayesian-Synthetic-Likelihood.


11 March 2019 in Nature Ecology & Evolution
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
AMAaron MacNeil
Aaron MacNeil
CMCamille Mellin
Camille Mellin
SMSam Matthews
Sam Matthews
NWNicholas Wolff
Nicholas Wolff
TMTimothy R. McClanahan
Timothy R. McClanahan
NGNicholas A. J. Graham
Nicholas A. J. Graham

1 February 2015 in Statistical Science
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
CDChristopher Drovandi
Christopher Drovandi
APAnthony Pettitt
Anthony Pettitt
ALAnthony Lee
Anthony Lee
Indirect inference (II) is a methodology for estimating the parameters of an intractable (generative) model on the basis of an alternative parametric (auxiliary) model that is both analytically and computationally easier to deal with. Such an approach has been well explored in the classical literature but has received substantially less attention in the Bayesian paradigm. The purpose of this paper is to compare and contrast a collection of what we call parametric Bayesian indirect inference (pBII) methods. One class of pBII methods uses approximate Bayesian computation (referred to here as ABC II) where the summary statistic is formed on the basis of the auxiliary model, using ideas from II. Another approach proposed in the literature, referred to here as parametric Bayesian indirect likelihood (pBIL), uses the auxiliary likelihood as a replacement to the intractable likelihood. We show that pBIL is a fundamentally different approach to ABC II. We devise new theoretical results for pBIL to give extra insights into its behaviour and also its differences with ABC II. Furthermore, we examine in more detail the assumptions required to use each pBII method. The results, insights and comparisons developed in this paper are illustrated on simple examples and two other substantive applications. The first of the substantive examples involves performing inference for complex quantile distributions based on simulated data while the second is for estimating the parameters of a trivariate stochastic process describing the evolution of macroparasites within a host based on real data. We create a novel framework called Bayesian indirect likelihood (BIL) that encompasses pBII as well as general ABC methods so that the connections between the methods can be established.

1 September 2011 in Computational Statistics & Data Analysis
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
CDChristopher Drovandi
Christopher Drovandi
APAnthony Pettitt
Anthony Pettitt