Diurnal variation of land surface temperature (LST) is essential for land surface energy and water balance at regional or global scale. Diurnal temperature cycle (DTC) model with least parameters and high accuracy is the key issue in estimating the spatial–temporal variation of DTC. The alpine meadow is the main land cover in the Tibetan Plateau (TP). However, few studies have been reported on the performance of different DTC models over alpine meadows in the TP. Four semi-empirical types of DTC models were used to generate nine 4-parameter (4-para) models by fixing some of free parameters. The performance of the nine 4-para DTC models were evaluated with four in situ and MODIS observations. All models except GOT09-dT-ts (dT means the temperature residual between T0 and T (t→∞); ts means the time when free attenuation begins) had higher correlation with in situ data (R2 > 0.9), while the INA08-ts model performed best with NSE of 0.99 and RMSE of 2.04 K at all sites. The GOT09-ts-τ (τ is the total optical thickness), VAN06-ts-ω1 (ω1 means the half-width of the cosine term in the morning), and GOT01-ts models had better performance, followed by GOT09-dT-τ, GOT01-dT, and VAN06-ts-ω2 (ω2 means the half-width of the cosine term in the afternoon) models. All models had higher accuracy in summer than in other seasons, while poorer performance was produced in winter. The INA08-ts model showed best performance among all seasons. Models with fixing ts could produce higher accuracy results than that with fixing dT. The comparison of INA08-ts model driven by in situ and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data indicated that the simulation accuracy mainly depended on the accuracy of MODIS LST. The daily maximum temperature generated by the nine models had high accuracy when compared with in situ data. The sensitivity analysis indicated that the INA08-dT and GOT09-dT-ts models were more sensitive to parameter dT, while all models were insensitive to parameter ts, and all models had weak relationship with parameters ω and τ. This study provides a reference for exploring suitable DTC model in the TP.
1 December 2024 in Advances in Climate Change Research
The retreat of glaciers has altered hydrological processes in cryospheric regions and affects water resources at the basin scale. It is necessary to elucidate the contributions of environmental changes to evapotranspiration (ET) variation in cryospheric-dominated regions. Considering the upper reach of the Shule River Basin as a typical cryospheric-dominated watershed, an extended Budyko framework addressing glacier change was constructed and applied to investigate the sensitivity and contribution of changes in environmental variables to ET variation. The annual ET showed a significant upward trend of 1.158 mm yr−1 during 1982–2015 in the study area. ET was found to be the most sensitive to precipitation (P), followed by the controlling parameter (w), which reflects the integrated effects of landscape alterations, potential evapotranspiration (ET0), and glacier change (∆W). The increase in P was the dominant factor influencing the increase in ET, with a contribution of 112.64%, while the decrease in w largely offset its effect. The contributions of P and ET0 to ET change decreased, whereas that of w increased when considering glaciers using the extended Budyko framework. The change in glaciers played a clear role in ET change and hydrological processes, which cannot be ignored in cryospheric watersheds. These findings are helpful for better understanding changes in water resources in cryospheric regions.