In this chapter, we study the effect of the fee structure of a variable annuity on the embedded surrender option. We compare the standard fee structure offered in the industry (fees set as a fixed percentage of the variable annuity account) with periodic fees set as a fixed, deterministic amount. Surrender charges are also taken into account. Under fairly general conditions on the premium payments, surrender charges and fee schedules, we identify the situation when it is never optimal for the policyholder to surrender. Solving partial differential equations using finite difference methods, we present numerical examples that highlight the effect of a combination of surrender charges and deterministic fees in reducing the value of the surrender option and raising the optimal surrender boundary.
In this paper, we investigate two-sided bounds for the small ball probability of a mixed fractional Brownian motion with a general deterministic trend function, in terms of respective small ball probability of a mixed fractional Brownian motion without trend. To maximize the lower bound, we consider various ways to split the trend function between the components of the mixed fractional Brownian motion for the application of Girsanov theorem, and we show that the optimal split is the solution of a Fredholm integral equation. We find that the upper bound for the probability is also a function of this optimal split. The asymptotic behaviour of the probability as the ball becomes small is analysed for zero trend function and for the particular choice of the upper limiting function.
10 February 2020 in International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance
The use of sequential Monte Carlo within simulation for path-dependent option pricing is proposed and evaluated. Recently, it was shown that explicit solutions and importance sampling are valuable for efficient simulation of spot price and volatility, especially for purposes of path-dependent option pricing. The resulting simulation algorithm is an analog to the weighted particle filtering algorithm that might be improved by resampling or branching. Indeed, some branching algorithms are shown herein to improve pricing performance substantially while some resampling algorithms are shown to be less suitable in certain cases. A historical property is given and explained as the distinguishing feature between the sequential Monte Carlo algorithms that work on path-dependent option pricing and those that do not. In particular, it is recommended to use the so-called effective particle branching algorithm within importance-sampling Monte Carlo methods for path-dependent option pricing. All recommendations are based upon numeric comparison of option pricing problems in the Heston model.
23 March 2022 in Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability