The class activation map (CAM) represents the neural-network-derived region of interest, which can help clarify the mechanism of the convolutional neural network’s determination of any class of interest. In medical imaging, it can help medical practitioners diagnose diseases like COVID-19 or pneumonia by highlighting the suspicious regions in Computational Tomography (CT) or chest X-ray (CXR) film. Many contemporary deep learning techniques only focus on COVID-19 classification tasks using CXRs, while few attempt to make it explainable with a saliency map. To fill this research gap, we first propose a VGG-16-architecture-based deep learning approach in combination with image enhancement, segmentation-based region of interest (ROI) cropping, and data augmentation steps to enhance classification accuracy. Later, a multi-layer Gradient CAM (ML-Grad-CAM) algorithm is integrated to generate a class-specific saliency map for improved visualization in CXR images. We also define and calculate a Severity Assessment Index (SAI) from the saliency map to quantitatively measure infection severity. The trained model achieved an accuracy score of 96.44% for the three-class CXR classification task, i.e., COVID-19, pneumonia, and normal (healthy patients), outperforming many existing techniques in the literature. The saliency maps generated from the proposed ML-GRAD-CAM algorithm are compared with the original Gran-CAM algorithm.
11 May 2023 in Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods
We develop a new globally convergent optimization method for solving a constrained minimization problem underlying the minimum density power divergence estimator for univariate Gaussian data in the presence of outliers. Our hybrid procedure combines classical Newton’s method with a gradient descent iteration equipped with a step control mechanism based on Armijo’s rule to ensure global convergence. Extensive simulations comparing the resulting estimation procedure with the more prominent robust competitor, Minimum Covariance Determinant (MCD) estimator, across a wide range of breakdown point values suggest improved efficiency of our method. Application to estimation and inference for a real-world dataset is also given.
The quality of input data is critical to the performance of time-series classification models, particularly in the domain for industrial sensor data where noise and anomalies are frequent. This study investigates how various filtering-based preprocessing techniques impact the accuracy and robustness of a Transformer model that predicts power efficiency states (Normal, Caution, Warning) from minute-level IIoT sensor data. We evaluated five techniques: a baseline, Simple Moving Average, Median filter, Hampel filter, and Kalman filter. For each technique, we conducted systematic experiments across time windows (360 and 720 min) that reflect real-world industrial inspection cycles, along with five prediction offsets (up to 2880 min). To ensure statistical robustness, we repeated each experiment 20 times with different random seeds. The results show that the Simple Moving Average filter, combined with a 360 min window and a short-term prediction offset, yielded the best overall performance and stability. While other techniques such as the Kalman and Median filters showed situational strengths, methods focused on outlier removal, like the Hampel filter, adversely affected performance. This study provides empirical evidence that a simple and efficient filtering strategy such as Simple Moving Average, can significantly and reliably enhance model performance for power efficiency prediction tasks.
Optimal decision-making requires consideration of internal and external contexts. Biased decision-making is a transdiagnostic symptom of neuropsychiatric disorders. We created a computational model demonstrating how the striosome compartment of the striatum constructs a context-dependent mathematical space for decision-making computations, and how the matrix compartment uses this space to define action value. The model explains multiple experimental results and unifies other theories like reward prediction error, roles of the direct versus indirect pathways, and roles of the striosome versus matrix, under one framework. We also found, through new analyses, that striosome and matrix neurons increase their synchrony during difficult tasks, caused by a necessary increase in dimensionality of the space. The model makes testable predictions about individual differences in disorder susceptibility, decision-making symptoms shared among neuropsychiatric disorders, and differences in neuropsychiatric disorder symptom presentation. The model provides evidence for the central role that striosomes play in neuroeconomic and disorder-affected decision-making.
The Heath-Jarrow-Morton (HJM) model is a powerful instrument for describing the stochastic evolution of interest rate curves under no-arbitrage assumption. An important feature of the HJM approach is the fact that the drifts can be expressed as functions of respective volatilities and the underlying correlation structure. Aimed at researchers and practitioners, the purpose of this article is to present a self-contained, but concise review of the abstract HJM framework founded upon the theory of interest and stochastic partial differential equations in infinite dimensions. To illustrate the predictive power of this theory, we apply it to modeling and forecasting the US Treasury daily yield curve rates. We fit a non-parametric model to real data available from the US Department of the Treasury and illustrate its statistical performance in forecasting future yield curve rates.
21 March 2022 in Computational Statistics & Data Analysis