Accurate mapping of streams that maintain surface flow during annual baseflow periods in mountain headwater streams is important for informing water availability for human consumption and is a fundamental determinant of in‐channel conditions for stream‐dwelling organisms. Yet accurate mapping that captures local spatial variability and associated local controls on surface flow presence is limited. An empirical random‐forest model was developed to predict streamflow permanence (late summer surface‐flow presence) for Mount Rainier National Park and the surrounding mountainous area in western Washington, USA. This model was developed to improve upon the existing multi‐state, regional‐scale probability of stream permanence developed for the greater Pacific Northwest Region (PROSPER_PNW). The model was trained on 544 wet/dry observations collected during the late summer, baseflow period from 2018 to 2020 using the crowd‐source mobile application, FLOwPER. Final model accuracy was 0.74 with drainage area and covariates describing geology, topography, and land cover as top predictors of streamflow permanence compared to coarser resolution climatic covariates. The prevalence of static covariates over climatic covariates as top ranked important covariates highlights the importance of scale when evaluating controls on streamflow permanence. Cross validation of the model indicates that streamflow permanence probabilities from this model is an improvement over the regional‐scale PROSPER_PNW model demonstrating the utility of relatively simple, crowd‐sourced data to address water resource needs, and that determination of important predictors of streamflow permanence is influenced by the spatial and temporal resolution of analysis.

The seasonal and inter-annual variability of flow presence and water temperature within headwater streams of the Great Basin of the western United States limit the occurrence and distribution of coldwater fish and other aquatic species. To evaluate changes in flow presence and water temperature during seasonal dry periods, we developed spatial stream network (SSN) models from remotely sensed land-cover and climatic data that account for autocovariance within stream networks to predict the May to August flow presence and water temperature between 2015 and 2017 in two arid watersheds within the Great Basin: Willow and Whitehorse Creeks in southeastern Oregon and Willow and Rock Creeks in northern Nevada. The inclusion of spatial autocovariance structures improved the predictive performance of the May water temperature model when the stream networks were most connected, but only marginally improved the August water temperature model when the stream networks were most fragmented. As stream network fragmentation increased from the spring to the summer, the SSN models revealed a shift in the scale of processes affecting flow presence and water temperature from watershed-scale processes like snowmelt during high-runoff seasons to local processes like groundwater discharge during sustained seasonal dry periods.

Warm water temperatures in the lower Yakima River in central Washington are key limitations to the restoration of Pacific salmon (Onchorhynchus spp.) populations within the Yakima River Basin. Identification of the location and magnitude of cold-water anomalies, which are cooler than ambient river temperatures during summer months, and the processes that create and maintain them is needed to inform salmon restoration efforts within the Yakima River Basin. Longitudinal thermal profiles of nine reaches in the lower Yakima River were surveyed at ambient river velocity during summer 2018 when surface-water temperatures were near their annual maximum and the difference between surface-water and groundwater temperatures was greatest. The profiles were compared to previously published profiles of the same reaches measured in 2001, 2002, 2008, and 2009, and analyzed in the context of hydrologic, geomorphic, and hydrogeologic conditions that may create and maintain cold-water inputs to the river. Cold-water anomalies that departed from expected diurnal increases in water temperature were measured in all nine study reaches and were attributed to diffuse groundwater discharge through the streambed, discrete groundwater discharge at seeps and springs, and cold-water tributaries entering the river. Some cold-water anomalies were measured during repeated surveys in different years, whereas other cold-water anomalies did not persist across surveys. Additionally, some discrete cold-water anomalies were confined to one side of the channel, but others associated with diffuse groundwater discharge were present across the channel for several river miles. Hydrogeologic conditions including the extent and thickness of aquifers connected to the Yakima River, geomorphic conditions including channel gradient, channel geometry, and floodplain extent, and the location of tributaries, irrigation returns, and other surface-water inputs created the large-scale conditions that facilitate the formation and maintenance of cold-water anomalies. Finer-scale geomorphic features such as side channels, gravel-bar alcoves, deep pools, and other locations, where colder water collected and remained relatively unmixed with upstream surface water, were also important factors in the occurrence and distribution of cold-water anomalies. These hydrogeologic and geomorphic conditions, coupled with the alteration of the Yakima River’s hydrologic regime to support irrigation within the Yakima Valley, contributed to the surveyed distribution of cold-water anomalies within the river.