Hyperspectral imaging spectrometers mounted on unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) can capture high spatial and spectral resolution to provide cotton crop nitrogen status for precision agriculture. The aim of this research was to explore machine learning use with hyperspectral datacubes over agricultural fields. Hyperspectral imagery was collected over a mature cotton crop, which had high spatial (~5.2 cm) and spectral (5 nm) resolution over the spectral range 475–925 nm that allowed discrimination of individual crop rows and field features as well as a continuous spectral range for calculating derivative spectra. The nominal reflectance and its derivatives clearly highlighted the different treatment blocks and were strongly related to N concentration in leaf and petiole samples, both in traditional vegetation indices (e.g., Vogelman 1, R² = 0.8) and novel combinations of spectra (R² = 0.85). The key hyperspectral bands identified were at the red-edge inflection point (695–715 nm). Satellite multispectral was compared against the UAV hyperspectral remote sensing’s performance by testing the ability of Sentinel MSI to predict N concentration using the bands in VIS-NIR spectral region. The Sentinel 2A Green band (B3; mid-point 559.8 nm) explained the same amount of variation in N as the hyperspectral data and more than the Sentinel Red Edge Point 1 (B5; mid-point 704.9 nm) with the lower 10 m resolution Green band reporting an R² = 0.85, compared with the R² = 0.78 of downscaled Sentinel Red Edge Point 1 at 5 m. The remaining Sentinel bands explained much lower variation (maximum was NIR at R² = 0.48). Investigation of the red edge peak region in the first derivative showed strong promise with RIDAmid (R² = 0.81) being the best index. The machine learning approach narrowed the range of bands required to investigate plant condition over this trial site, greatly improved processing time and reduced processing complexity. While Sentinel performed well in this comparison and would be useful in a broadacre crop production context, the impact of pixel boundaries relative to a region of interest and coarse spatial and temporal resolution impacts its utility in a research capacity.

A phenology-based crop type mapping approach was carried out to map cotton fields throughout the cotton-growing areas of eastern Australia. The workflow was implemented in the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform, as it is time efficient and does not require processing in multiple platforms to complete the classification steps. A time series of Normalised Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) imagery were generated from Landsat 8 Surface Reflectance Tier 1 (L8SR) and processed using Fourier transformation. This was used to produce the harmonised-NDVI (H-NDVI) from the original NDVI, and then phase and amplitude values were generated from the H-NDVI to visualise active cotton in the targeted fields. Random Forest (RF) models were built to classify cotton at early, mid and late growth stages to assess the ability of the model to classify cotton as the season progresses, with phase, amplitude and other individual bands as predictors. Results obtained from leave-one-season-out cross validation (LOSOCV) indicated that Overall Accuracy (OA), Kappa, Producer’s Accuracies (PA) and User’s Accuracy (UA), increased significantly when adding amplitude and phase as predictor variables to the model, than prediction using H-NDVI or raw bands only. Commission and omission errors were reduced significantly as the season progressed and more in-season imagery was available. The methodology proposed in this study can map cotton crops accurately based on the reconstruction of the unique cotton reflectance trajectory through time. This study confirms the importance of phenological metrics in improving in-season cotton fields mapping across eastern Australia. This model can be used in conjunction with other datasets to forecast yield based on the mapped crop type for improved decision making related to supply chain logistics and seasonal outlooks for production.

Introduction: Context Data-driven models (DDMs) are increasingly used for crop yield prediction due to their ability to capture complex patterns and relationships. DDMs rely heavily on data inputs to provide predictions. Despite their effectiveness, DDMs can be complemented by inputs derived from mechanistic models (MMs). Methods: This study investigated enhancing the predictive quality of DDMs by using as features a combination of MMs outputs, specifically biomass and soil moisture, with conventional data sources like satellite imagery, weather, and soil information. Four experiments were performed with different datasets being used for prediction: Experiment 1 combined MM outputs with conventional data; Experiment 2 excluded MM outputs; Experiment 3 was the same as Experiment 1 but all conventional temporal data were omitted; Experiment 4 utilised solely MM outputs. The research encompassed ten field-years of wheat and chickpea yield data, applying the eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBOOST) algorithm for model fitting. Performance was evaluated using root mean square error (RMSE) and the concordance correlation coefficient (CCC). Results and conclusions: The validation results showed that the XGBOOST model had similar predictive power for both crops in Experiments 1, 2, and 3. For chickpeas, the CCC ranged from 0.89 to 0.91 and the RMSE from 0.23 to 0.25 t ha⁻¹. For wheat, the CCC ranged from 0.87 to 0.92 and the RMSE from 0.29 to 0.35 t ha⁻¹. However, Experiment 4 significantly reduced the model's accuracy, with CCCs dropping to 0.47 for chickpeas and 0.36 for wheat, and RMSEs increasing to 0.46 and 0.65 t ha⁻¹, respectively. Ultimately, Experiments 1, 2, and 3 demonstrated comparable effectiveness, but Experiment 3 is recommended for achieving similar predictive quality with a simpler, more interpretable model using biomass and soil moisture alongside non-temporal conventional features.

Remote sensing approaches are often used to monitor land cover change. However, the small physical size (about 1–2 hectare area) of smallholder orchards and the cultivation of cocoa (Theobroma cocoa L.) under shade trees make the use of many popular satellite sensors inefficient to distinguish cocoa orchards from forest areas. Nevertheless, high-resolution satellite imagery combined with novel signal extraction methods facilitates the differentiation of coconut palms (Cocos nucifera L.) from forests. Cocoa grows well under established coconut shade, and underplanting provides a viable opportunity to intensify production and meet demand and government targets. In this study, we combined grey-level co-occurrence matrix (GLCM) textural features and vegetation indices from Sentinel datasets to evaluate the sustainability of cocoa expansion given land suitability for agriculture and soil capability classes. Additionally, it sheds light on underexploited areas with agricultural potential. The mapping of areas where cocoa smallholder orchards already exist or can be grown involved three main components. Firstly, the use of the fine-resolution C-band synthetic aperture radar and multispectral instruments from Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 satellites, respectively. Secondly, the processing of imagery (Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2) for feature extraction using 22 variables. Lastly, fitting a random forest (RF) model to detect and distinguish potential cocoa orchards from non-cocoa areas. The RF classification scheme differentiated cocoa (for consistency, the coconut–cocoa areas in this manuscript will be referred to as cocoa regions or orchards) and non-cocoa regions with 97 percent overall accuracy and over 90 percent producer’s and user’s accuracies for the cocoa regions when trained on a combination of spectral indices and GLCM textural feature sets. The top five variables that contributed the most to the model were the red band (B4), red edge curve index (RECI), blue band (B2), near-infrared (NIR) entropy, and enhanced vegetation index (EVI), indicating the importance of vegetation indices and entropy values. By comparing the classified map created in this study with the soil and land capability legacy information of Bougainville, we observed that potential cocoa regions are already rated as highly suitable. This implies that cocoa expansion has reached one of many intersecting limits, including land suitability, political, social, economic, educational, health, labour, and infrastructure. Understanding how these interactions limit cocoa productivity at present will inform further sustainable growth. The tool provides inexpensive and rapid monitoring of land use, suitable for a sustainable planning framework that supports responsible agricultural land use management. The study developed a heuristic tool for monitoring land cover changes for cocoa production, informing sustainable development that balances the needs and aspirations of the government and farming communities with the protection of the environment.