The Xiaoxinganling Mountains–Sanjiang Plain region represents a crucial ecological security barrier for the Northeast China Plain and serves as a vital region for national grain production. Over the past two decades, the region has undergone numerous ecological restoration projects. Nevertheless, the combined impact of enhanced vegetation greening and global climate change on the regional hydrological cycle remains inadequately understood. This study employed the distributed hydrological model ESSI-3, reanalysis datasets, and multi-source satellite remote sensing data to quantitatively evaluate the influences of climate change and vegetation dynamics on regional hydrological processes. The study period spans from 2000 to 2020, during which there were significant increases in regional precipitation and leaf area index (p < 0.05). The hydrological simulation results exhibited strong agreement with observed river discharge, evapotranspiration, and terrestrial water storage anomalies, thereby affirming the ESSI-3 model’s reliability in hydrological change assessment. By employing both a constant scenario that solely considered climate change and a dynamic scenario that integrated vegetation dynamics, the findings reveal that: (1) Regionally, climate change driven by increased precipitation significantly augmented runoff fluxes (0.4 mm/year) and water storage components (2.57 mm/year), while evapotranspiration trends downward, attributed primarily to reductions in solar radiation and wind speed; (2) Vegetation greening reversed the decreasing trend in evapotranspiration to an increasing trend, thus exerting a negative impact on runoff and water storage. However, long-term simulations demonstrated that regional runoff fluxes (0.38 mm/year) and water storage components (2.21 mm/year) continue to increase, mainly due to precipitation increments surpassing those of evapotranspiration; (3) Spatially, vegetation greening altered the surface soil moisture content trend in the eastern forested areas from an increase to a decrease. These findings suggested that sub-regional ecological restoration initiatives, such as afforestation, significantly influence the hydrological cycle, especially in areas with higher vegetation greening. Nevertheless, persistent increases in precipitation could effectively mitigate the moisture deficits induced by vegetation greening. The study’s outcomes provide a basis for alleviating concerns regarding potential water consumption risks associated with future ecological restoration and extensive vegetation greening projects, thereby offering scientific guidance for sustainable water resource management.
Accurate landslide susceptibility mapping is vital for disaster forecasting and risk management. To address the problem of limited accuracy of individual classifiers and lack of model interpretability in machine learning-based models, a coupled multi-model framework for landslide susceptibility mapping is proposed. Using Jiuzhaigou County, Sichuan Province, as a case study, we developed an evaluation index system incorporating 14 factors. We employed three base models—logistic regression, support vector machine, and Gaussian Naive Bayes—assessed through four ensemble methods: Stacking, Voting, Bagging, and Boosting. The decision mechanisms of these models were explained via a SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) analysis. Results demonstrate that integrating machine learning with ensemble learning and SHAP yields more reliable landslide susceptibility mapping and enhances model interpretability. This approach effectively addresses the challenges of unreliable landslide susceptibility mapping in complex environments.
1. The cryosphere, encompassing elements such as snow and glaciers, plays a pivotal role in global climate regulation by storing freshwater and reflecting solar radiation (Tang et al. 2019). Among ...
Since polymetallic ores show higher anomalies in gravity exploration methods, we usually obtain the position and range of ore bodies by density inversion of gravity data. The three-dimensional (3D) gravity focusing density inversion is a common interpretation method in mineral exploration, which can directly and quantitatively obtain the density distribution of subsurface targets. However, in actual cases, it is computation inefficient. We proposed the preconditioned Jacobian-free Newton-Krylov (JFNK) method to accomplish the focusing inversion. The JFNK method is an efficient algorithm in solving large sparse systems of nonlinear equations, and we further accelerate the inversion process by the preconditioned technique. In the actual area, the gravity anomalies are distributed on the naturally undulating surface. Nowadays, the gravity inversion under undulating terrain was mainly achieved by discretizing the ground into unstructured meshes, but it is complicated and time-consuming. To improve the practicality, we presented an equivalent-dimensional method that incorporates unstructured meshes with structured meshes in gravity inversion, and the horizontal size is determined by the gradient of observed gravity and terrain data. The small size meshes are adopted at the position where the terrain or gravity gradient is large. We used synthetic data with undulating-terrain to test our new method. The results indicated that the recovered model obtained by this method was similar to the inversion method of unstructured meshes, and the new method computes faster. We also applied the method to field data in Huayangchuan, Shaanxi Province. The survey area has complicated terrain conditions and contains multiple polymetallic ores. Based on the high-density characteristics of polymetallic ore bodies in the area, we calculate the field data into 3D density models of the subsurface by the preconditioned JFNK method and infer six polymetallic ores.