CO2 is the main greenhouse gas. Urban spatial development, land use, and so on may be affected by CO2 and climate change. The main questions studied in this paper are as follows: What are the drivers of CO2 emissions of expanding megacities? How can they be analyzed from different perspectives? Do the results differ for megacities at different stages of development? Based on the XGBoost model, this paper explored the complex factors affecting CO2 emissions by using data of four Chinese megacities, Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai, and Chongqing, from 2003 to 2017. The main findings are as follows: The XGBoost model has better applicability and accuracy in predicting carbon emissions of expanding megacities, with root mean square error (RMSE) as low as 0.036. Under the synergistic effect of multiple factors, population, land size, and gross domestic product are still the primary driving forces of CO2 emissions. Population density and population become more important in the single-factor analysis. The key drivers of CO2 emissions in megacities at respective developmental stages are different. This paper provides methods and tools for accurately predicting CO2 emissions and measuring the critical drivers. Furthermore, it could provide decision support for megacities to make targeted carbon-emission-reduction strategies based on their own developmental stages.
Low-carbon governance at the county level has been an important issue for sustainable development due to the large contributions to carbon emission. However, the experiences of carbon emission governance at the county level are lacking. This paper discusses 5 carbon emission governance zones for 1753 counties. The zoning is formed according to a differentiated zoning method based on a multi-indicator evaluation to judge if the governance had better focus and had formulated a differentiated carbon emission governance system. According to zoning results, there is 1 high-carbon governance zone, 2 medium-carbon governance zones, and 2 low-carbon zones. The extensive high-carbon governance zone and medium-carbon zones are key governance areas, in which the counties are mainly located in the northern plain areas and southeast coastal areas and have contributed 51.88% of total carbon emissions. This paper proposes differentiated governance standards for each indicator of the 5 zones. The differentiated zoning method mentioned in this paper can be applied to other governance issues of small-scale regions.
Low-carbon management plays an important role in mitigating climate change and adapting to it. Localities should adopt differentiated low-carbon management policies according to the state of their environment. To help formulate specific and realistic low-carbon management policies, this paper took into account specific low-carbon management sectors. Likewise, it carefully considered the differences in various resource endowments and proposed a method for evaluating low-carbon management efficiency and potential. The method was applied to an empirical study from 2015 conducted on 1771 Chinese counties. Significant spatial heterogeneity was found during the research. The counties bordering central and Western China and the ones in the southeast coastal areas showed higher efficiency in the industrial sector. Southern and Northern China had higher efficiency in the housing and transportation sector, respectively. Moreover, counties in remote areas showed more potential in the industrial sector. Central China had higher potential in the housing sector, while counties bordering provinces had more potential in the transportation sector. Therefore, Chinese counties were divided into eight management zones where differentiated management strategies were identified to shape low-carbon management policies.
Jiang, W.; Zhang, H.; Peng, J.; Song, C., and Li, X., 2020. Waterway design criteria of land reclamation based on an environmental fluid dynamics computer model. In: Yang, D.F. and Wang, H. (eds.), Recent Advances in Marine Geology and Environmental Oceanography. Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue No. 108, pp. 89–94. Coconut Creek (Florida), ISSN 0749-0208.Planning design criteria are critical for offshore artificial island land reclamation. To evaluate the coastal environmental impact of land reclamation, a quantitative analysis is carried out based on an environmental fluid dynamics computer (EFDC) model. Eight hypothetical waterway conditions are simulated in three groups (island–shore distance, island–island distance, and waterway direction). The effects of different conditions are compared by hydrodynamic characteristics and water exchange capacity. Based on the simulation results, the waterway design principles could be summarized as three aspects: (1) increasing the distance between the islands and the coast is beneficial to improving water circulation capacity, (2) the distance between artificial islands should be reduced as much as possible to speed up the water flow in the waterway, and (3) the waterways segregating the artificial islands should be as parallel to the coast as possible. It can be observed that the proposed waterway design criteria could provide effective and environmentally friendly guidance for future planning and construction.