Alvaro Gonzalez Flores

Prof. Alvaro Gonzalez Flores

Universidad de La Frontera

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

2Years (2025-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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30 December 2025 in Fire
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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OTOctavio Toy
Octavio Toy
AFAndres Fuentes-Ramirez
Andres Fuentes-Ramirez
MBMelisa Blackhall
Melisa Blackhall
VFVirginia Fernández
Virginia Fernández
AGAnne Ganteaume
Anne Ganteaume
Alvaro Gonzalez FloresAlvaro Gonzalez Flores
Alvaro Gonzalez Flores
Climate change is widely recognized as a significant contributor to both wildfire initiation and spread, conditions such as high temperatures and prolonged droughts facilitating the rapid ignition and propagation of fires. As a result, extreme weather events can trigger fires through lightning strikes with increases in frequency and severity. Despite this, we argue that it is important to distinguish and clarify the concepts of fire occurrence and fire spread, as these phenomena are not directly synonymous in the field of fire ecology. This review examined the published literature to determine if climate factors contribute to fire occurrence and/or spread, and evaluated how well the concepts are used when drawing connections between fire occurrence and fire spread related to climate variables. Using the PRISMA bibliographic analysis methodology, 70 scientific articles were analyzed, including reviews and research papers in the last 5 years. According to the analysis, most publications dealing with fire occurrence, fire spread, and climate change come from the northern hemisphere, specifically from the United States, China, Europe, and Oceania with South America appearing to be significantly underrepresented (less than 10% of published articles). Additionally, despite climatic variables being the most prevalent factors in predictive models, only 38% of the studies analyzed simultaneously integrated climatic, topographic, vegetational, and anthropogenic factors when assessing wildfires. Furthermore, of the 47 studies that explicitly addressed occurrence and spread, 66 percent used the term “occurrence” in line with its definition cited by the authors, that is, referring specifically to ignition. In contrast, 27 percent employed the term in a broader sense that did not explicitly denote the moment a fire starts, often incorporating aspects such as the predisposition of fuels to burn. The remaining 73 percent focused exclusively on “spread.” Hence, caution is advised when making generalizations as climate impact on wildfires can be overestimated in predictive models when conceptual ambiguity is present. Our results showed that, although climate change can amplify conditions for fire spread and contribute to the occurrence of fire, anthropogenic factors remain the most significant factor related to the onset of fires on a global scale, above climatic factors.

8 January 2026 in Processes
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
NCNicolás Daniel Gutiérrez Cáceres
Nicolás Daniel Gutiérrez Cáceres
Marcela Muñoz CatalánMarcela Muñoz Catalán
Marcela Muñoz Catalán
Alvaro Gonzalez FloresAlvaro Gonzalez Flores
Alvaro Gonzalez Flores
VMValeria Olea Marquardt
Valeria Olea Marquardt
TMTomas Mora
Tomas Mora
RARobinson Betancourt Astete
Robinson Betancourt Astete
Accurately predicting pollutant emission factors (EFs) from woody biomass fuels remains challenging because small-scale combustion tests are fuel-specific, time-consuming, and highly sensitive to operating conditions. This study combines controlled laboratory combustion experiments with a physics-informed artificial neural network (ANN–PINN) to estimate the emission factors of particulate matter (EFPM), carbon monoxide (EFCO), and nitrogen oxides (EFNOx) using only laboratory-scale fuel characterization. Three pelletized woody biomass, Pinus radiata, Acacia dealbata, and Nothofagus obliqua, were analyzed through ultimate and proximate composition, lignin content, and TGA-derived parameters and tested in a residential pellet stove under identical control setpoints, resulting in a narrow and well-defined operating regime. A medium-depth ANN–PINN was constructed by integrating mechanistic constraints, monotonicity based on known emission trends and a weak carbon balance penalty, into a feed-forward neural network trained and evaluated using Leave-One-Out Cross-Validation. The model accurately reproduced the experimental behavior of EFCO and captured structured variability in EFPM, while the limited nitrogen variability of the fuels restricted generalization for EFNOx. Sensitivities derived via automatic differentiation revealed physically coherent relationships, demonstrating that PM emissions depend jointly on fuel chemistry and aero-thermal conditions, CO emissions are dominated by mixing and temperature, and NOx formation is primarily governed by fuel-bound nitrogen. When applied to external biomass fuels characterized independently in the literature, the ANN–PINN produced physically plausible predictions, highlighting its potential as a rapid, low-cost screening tool for assessing new biomass feedstocks and supporting cleaner residential heating technologies. The integrated experimental–PINN framework provides a physically consistent and data-efficient alternative to classical empirical correlations and purely data-driven ANN models.