With the rapid development of the shipping industry in recent years, the increasing volume of ship traffic makes marine traffic much busier and more crowded, especially in the waterway off the coast. This leads to the increment of the complexity level of marine traffic and poses more threats to marine traffic safety. In order to study marine traffic safety under the conditions of increasing complexity, this article proposed a marine traffic complexity model based on the method in molecular dynamics. The model converted ship traffic to a particle system and identified the traffic complexity by analyzing the radial distribution of dynamic and spatial parameters of ships in a Euclid plane. The effectiveness of the proposed model had been validated by the case studies in the waters of Bohai Strait with real AIS (Automatic Identification System) data and simulated data. The results show that the proposed model can evaluate the marine traffic complexity more sufficiently and accurately. The proposed model is helpful for marine surveillance operators to monitor and organize marine traffic under complex situations so as to improve marine traffic safety.

With the increasing volume of ship traffic, maritime traffic safety is facing a great challenge because the traffic in port becomes more and more crowded and complicated, which will make ship collisions more likely to happen. As a special water area of the port, the anchorage is also threatened by collision risk all the time. For accurately assessing the collision risk in anchorage and its adjacent waters in real time, this paper proposed an analytic model based on Automatic Identification System (AIS) data. The proposed anchorage collision risk model was established in microscopic, macroscopic, and complexity aspects, which considered ship relative motion, anchorage characteristics, and ship traffic complexity, respectively. For validation, the AIS data of the anchorages near the Shandong Peninsular were used to carry out a series of experiments. The results show that the proposed model can identify the anchorage collision risk effectively and has an advantage in dealing with complicated scenarios. The proposed anchorage collision risk model can help maritime surveillance better monitor and organize the ship traffic near the port and provide mariners with a reference about the collision risk situation of the anchorage on their route, which are important to improving maritime traffic safety.

In recent years, the increasing volume and complexity of ship traffic has raised the probability of collision accidents in ports, waterways, and coastal waters. Due to the relative rarity of collision accidents, near misses have been used in the research to study the collision risk in the relevant water areas. However, the factor of near miss identification is usually limited to the relative distance between ships, and the instantaneous quantification and geographical distribution of collision risk is not paid enough attention. Therefore, this article proposed a domain-based regional collision risk model that can quantify the collision risk by detecting near miss scenarios. The proposed model is capable of quantifying the collision risk in the water area instantaneously and periodically and can be used to depict the geographical distribution of collision risks in combination with a grid method and the spatial interpolation technique. To validate the proposed model, some experimental case studies were carried out using automatic identification system (AIS) data from the Bohai Strait. The results show the capability and advantage of the proposed model in regional collision risk identification and visualization, which is helpful for maritime surveillance when monitoring and organizing ship traffic and may therefore contribute to the improvement of maritime safety.