Sandra Minerva Valdivia Bautista

Prof. Sandra Minerva Valdivia Bautista


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

6Years (2021-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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4 March 2023 in Energies
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
SBSandra Minerva Valdivia Bautista
Sandra Minerva Valdivia Bautista
JDJosé Antonio Domínguez-Navarro
José Antonio Domínguez-Navarro
Marco Antonio Perez-CisnerosMarco Antonio Perez-Cisneros
Marco Antonio Perez-Cisneros
CGCarlos Jesahel Vega Gómez
Carlos Jesahel Vega Gómez
BEATRIZ CASTILLO-TÉLLEZBEATRIZ CASTILLO-TÉLLEZ
BEATRIZ CASTILLO-TÉLLEZ
Wind energy production has had accelerated growth in recent years, reaching an annual increase of 17% in 2021. Wind speed plays a crucial role in the stability required for power grid operation. However, wind intermittency makes accurate forecasting a complicated process. Implementing new technologies has allowed the development of hybrid models and techniques, improving wind speed forecasting accuracy. Additionally, statistical and artificial intelligence methods, especially artificial neural networks, have been applied to enhance the results. However, there is a concern about identifying the main factors influencing the forecasting process and providing a basis for estimation with artificial neural network models. This paper reviews and classifies the forecasting models used in recent years according to the input model type, the pre-processing and post-processing technique, the artificial neural network model, the prediction horizon, the steps ahead number, and the evaluation metric. The research results indicate that artificial neural network (ANN)-based models can provide accurate wind forecasting and essential information about the specific location of potential wind use for a power plant by understanding the future wind speed values.

29 May 2021 in Energies
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
JDJosé Antonio Domínguez-Navarro
José Antonio Domínguez-Navarro
TLTania B Lopez-Garcia
Tania B Lopez-Garcia
SBSandra Minerva Valdivia Bautista
Sandra Minerva Valdivia Bautista
Wind is a physical phenomenon with uncertainties in several temporal scales, in addition, measured wind time series have noise superimposed on them. These time series are the basis for forecasting methods. This paper studied the application of the wavelet transform to three forecasting methods, namely, stochastic, neural network, and fuzzy, and six wavelet families. Wind speed time series were first filtered to eliminate the high-frequency component using wavelet filters and then the different forecasting methods were applied to the filtered time series. All methods showed important improvements when the wavelet filter was applied. It is important to note that the application of the wavelet technique requires a deep study of the time series in order to select the appropriate family and filter level. The best results were obtained with an optimal filtering level and improper selection may significantly affect the accuracy of the results.