Juan Ramón Trapero Arenas

Dr. Juan Ramón Trapero Arenas

Department of Business Administration, Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha, Ciudad Real 13071, Spain
orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

21Years (2006-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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19 January 2022 in International Journal of Forecasting
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
FPFotios Petropoulos
Fotios Petropoulos
Daniele ApilettiDaniele Apiletti
Daniele Apiletti
VAVassilios Assimakopoulos
Vassilios Assimakopoulos
MBMohamed Zied Babai
Mohamed Zied Babai
DBDevon K. Barrow
Devon K. Barrow
FZFlorian Ziel
Florian Ziel

1 January 2017 in Applied Energy
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
Juan Ramón Trapero ArenasJuan Ramón Trapero Arenas
Juan Ramón Trapero Arenas
LHLaura Horcajada
Laura Horcajada
Jose Joaquin Linares LeonJose Joaquin Linares Leon
Jose Joaquin Linares Leon
Justo LobatoJusto Lobato
Justo Lobato

1 April 2014 in International Journal of Forecasting
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
NKNikolaos Kourentzes
Nikolaos Kourentzes
Fotios PetropoulosFotios Petropoulos
Fotios Petropoulos
Juan Ramón Trapero ArenasJuan Ramón Trapero Arenas
Juan Ramón Trapero Arenas

1 February 2015 in Journal of the Operational Research Society
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
Juan Ramón Trapero ArenasJuan Ramón Trapero Arenas
Juan Ramón Trapero Arenas
NKNikolaos Kourentzes
Nikolaos Kourentzes
RFRobert Fildes
Robert Fildes
Shorter product life cycles and aggressive marketing, among other factors, have increased the complexity of sales forecasting. Forecasts are often produced using a Forecasting Support System that integrates univariate statistical forecasting with managerial judgment. Forecasting sales under promotional activity is one of the main reasons to use expert judgment. Alternatively, one can replace expert adjustments by regression models whose exogenous inputs are promotion features (price, display, etc.). However, these regression models may have large dimensionality as well as multicollinearity issues. We propose a novel promotional model that overcomes these limitations. It combines Principal Component Analysis to reduce the dimensionality of the problem and automatically identifies the demand dynamics. For items with limited history, the proposed model is capable of providing promotional forecasts by selectively pooling information across established products. The performance of the model is compared against forecasts provided by experts and statistical benchmarks, on weekly data; outperforming both substantially

1 July 2020 in International Journal of Production Economics
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
NKNikolaos Kourentzes
Nikolaos Kourentzes
Juan Ramón Trapero ArenasJuan Ramón Trapero Arenas
Juan Ramón Trapero Arenas
Devon BarrowDevon Barrow
Devon Barrow

1 December 2012 in Omega
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
Juan Ramón Trapero ArenasJuan Ramón Trapero Arenas
Juan Ramón Trapero Arenas
NKN. Kourentzes
N. Kourentzes
RFR. Fildes
R. Fildes