Due to the excessive use of natural resources in the contemporary world, the importance of ecological and environmental condition modeling has increased. Wetlands and cities represent the natural and artificial strategic areas that affect ecosystem conditions. Changes in the ecological conditions of these areas have a great impact on the conditions of the global ecosystem. Therefore, modeling spatiotemporal variations of the ecological conditions in these areas is critical. This study was aimed at comparing degrees of variation among surface ecological conditions due to natural and unnatural factors. Consequently, the surface ecological conditions of Gomishan city and Gomishan wetland in Iran were modeled for a period of 30 years, and the spatiotemporal variations were evaluated and compared with each other. To this end, 20 Landsat 5, 7, and 8, and 432 Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), monthly land surface temperature (LST) (MOD11C3) and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) (MOD13C3) products were utilized. The surface ecological conditions were modeled according to the Remote Sensing-based Ecological Index (RSEI), and the spatiotemporal variation of the RSEI values in the study area (Gomishan city, Gomishan wetland) were evaluated and compared with each other. According to MODIS products, the mean of the LST and NDVI variance values for the study area (Gomishan city, Gomishan wetland) were obtained to be 6.5 °C (2.1, 12.1) and 0.009 (0.005, 0.013), respectively. The highest LST and NDVI temporal variations were found for Gomishan wetland near the Caspian Sea. According to Landsat images, Gomishan wetland and Gomishan city have the highest and lowest temporal variations in surface biophysical characteristics, respectively. The mean RSEI for the study area (Gomishan city, Gomishan wetland) was 0.43 (0.65, 0.29), respectively. Additionally, the mean Coefficient of Variation (CV) of RSEI for the study area (Gomishan city, Gomishan wetland) was 0.10 (0.88, 0.51), respectively. The surface ecological conditions of Gomishan city were worse than those of the Gomishan wetland at all dates. Temporal variations in the surface ecological conditions of Gomishan wetland were greater than those of the study area and Gomishan city. These results can provide useful and effective information for environmental planning and decision-making to improve ecological conditions, protect the environment, and support sustainable ecosystem development.

Analysis of land surface temperature (LST) spatiotemporal variations and characterization of the factors affecting these variations are of great importance in various environmental studies and applications. The aim of this study is to propose an integrated model for characterizing LST spatiotemporal variations and for assessing the impact of surface biophysical parameters on the LST variations. For this purpose, a case study was conducted in Babol City, Iran, during the period of 1985 to 2018. We used 122 images of Landsat 5, 7, and 8, and products of water vapor (MOD07) and daily LST (MOD11A1) from the MODIS sensor of the Terra satellite, as well as soil and air temperature and relative humidity data measured at the local meteorological station over 112 dates for the study. First, a single-channel algorithm was applied to estimate LST, while various spectral indices were computed to represent surface biophysical parameters, which included the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), soil-adjusted vegetation index (SAVI), normalized difference water index (NDWI), normalized difference built-up index (NDBI), albedo, brightness, greenness, and wetness from tasseled cap transformation. Next, a principal component analysis (PCA) was conducted to determine the degree of LST variation and the surface biophysical parameters in the temporal dimension at the pixel scale based on Landsat imagery. Finally, the relationship between the first component of the PCA of LST and each surface biophysical parameter was investigated by using the ordinary least squares (OLS) regression with both regional and local optimizations. The results indicated that among the surface biophysical parameters, variations of NDBI, wetness, and greenness had the highest impact on the LST variations with a correlation coefficient of 0.75, −0.70, and −0.44, and RMSE of 0.71, 1.03, and 1.06, respectively. The impact of NDBI, wetness, and greenness varied geographically, but their variations accounted for 43%, 38%, and 19% of the LST variation, respectively. Furthermore, the correlation coefficient and RMSE between the observed LST variation and modeled LST variation, based on the most influential biophysical factors (NDBI, wetness, and greenness) yielded 0.85 and 1.06 for the regional approach and 0.93 and 0.26 for the local approach, respectively. The results of this study indicated the use of an integrated PCA–OLS model was effective for modeling of various environmental parameters and their relationship with LST. In addition, the PCA–OLS with the local optimization was found to be more efficient than the one with the regional optimization.

This study presents a novel risk-based decision support system for helping disaster risk management planners select the best locations for emergency shelters after an earthquake. The system starts by identifying 18 criteria, based on stakeholder analysis, that are important for selecting shelter sites. These criteria are then standardized to reflect their importance in the site selection process. Next, a Large Group Decision-Making (LGDM) model is used to determine the weight of each criterion based on collective intelligence. Finally, the Ordered Weighted Average (OWA) method is used to assess the suitability of different geographical locations for emergency shelters, resulting in a suitability map. The factors that were most significant for selecting the best emergency shelters were the distance from the fault, population density, access to green spaces, and building quality. The area of the optimal sites for emergency shelters in the region varied depending on the decision-maker’s risk attitude, ranging from 4% in an extremely pessimistic scenario to 28% in an extremely optimistic scenario. This system combines Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and LGDM to help decision-makers identify the optimal sites for emergency shelters under different risk levels, which can contribute to better-informed decision-making regarding disaster resilience.

The surface anthropogenic heat island (SAHI) phenomenon is one of the most important environmental concerns in urban areas. SAHIs play a significant role in quality of urban life. Hence, the quantification of SAHI intensity (SAHII) is of great importance. The impervious surface cover (ISC) can well reflect the degree and extent of anthropogenic activities in an area. Various actual ISC (AISC) datasets are available for different regions of the world. However, the temporal and spatial coverage of available and accessible AISC datasets is limited. This study was aimed to evaluate the spectral indices efficiency to daytime SAHII (DSAHII) quantification. Consequently, 14 cities including Budapest, Bucharest, Ciechanow, Hamburg, Lyon, Madrid, Porto, and Rome in Europe and Dallas, Seattle, Minneapolis, Los Angeles, Chicago, and Phoenix in the USA, were selected. A set of 91 Landsat 8 images, the Landsat provisional surface temperature product, the High Resolution Imperviousness Layer (HRIL), and the National Land Cover Database (NLCD) imperviousness data were used as the AISC datasets for the selected cities. The spectral index-based ISC (SIISC) and land surface temperature (LST) were modelled from the Landsat 8 images. Then, a linear least square model (LLSM) obtained from the LST-AISC feature space was applied to quantify the actual SAHII of the selected cities. Finally, the SAHII of the selected cities was modelled based on the LST-SIISC feature space-derived LLSM. Finally, the values of the coefficient of determination (R²) and the root mean square error (RMSE) between the actual and modelled SAHII were calculated to evaluate and compare the performance of different spectral indices in SAHII quantification. The performance of the spectral indices used in the built LST-SIISC feature space for SAHII quantification differed. The index-based built-up index (IBI) (R² = 0.98, RMSE = 0.34 °C) and albedo (0.76, 1.39 °C) performed the best and worst performance in SAHII quantification, respectively. Our results indicate that the LST-SIISC feature space is very useful and effective for SAHII quantification. The advantages of the spectral indices used in SAHII quantification include (1) synchronization with the recording of thermal data, (2) simplicity, (3) low cost, (4) accessibility under different spatial and temporal conditions, and (5) scalability.

The ability to obtain accurate precipitation data from various geographic locations is crucial for many applications. Various global products have been released in recent decades for estimating precipitation spatially and temporally. Nevertheless, it is extremely important to provide reliable and accurate products for estimating precipitation in a variety of environments. This is due to the complexity of topographic, climatic, and other factors. This study proposes a multi-product information combination for improving precipitation data accuracy based on a generalized regression neural network model using global and local optimization strategies. Firstly, the accuracy of ten global precipitation products from four different categories (satellite-based, gauge-corrected satellites, gauge-based, and reanalysis) was assessed using monthly precipitation data collected from 1896 gauge stations in Iran during 2003–2021. Secondly, to enhance the accuracy of the modeled precipitation products, the importance score of effective and auxiliary variables—such as elevation, the Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI), the Land Surface Temperature (LST), the Soil Water Index (SWI), and interpolated precipitation maps—was assessed. Finally, a generalized regression neural network (GRNN) model with global and local optimization strategies was used to combine precipitation information from several products and auxiliary characteristics to produce precipitation data with high accuracy. Global precipitation products scored higher than interpolated precipitation products and surface characteristics. Furthermore, the importance score of the interpolated precipitation products was considerably higher than that of the surface characteristics. SWI, elevation, EVI, and LST scored 53%, 20%, 15%, and 12%, respectively, in terms of importance. The lowest RMSE values were associated with IMERGFinal, TRMM3B43, PERSIANN-CDR, ERA5, and GSMaP-Gauge. For precipitation estimation, these products had Kling–Gupta efficiency (KGE) values of 0.89, 0.86, 0.77, 0.78, and 0.60, respectively. The proposed GRNN-based precipitation product with a global (local) strategy showed RMSE and KGE values of 9.6 (8.5 mm/mo) and 0.92 (0.94), respectively, indicating higher accuracy. Generally, the accuracy of global precipitation products varies depending on climatic conditions. It was found that the proposed GRNN-derived precipitation product is more efficient under different climatic conditions than global precipitation products. Moreover, the local optimization strategy based on climatic classes outperformed the global optimization strategy.

Urban micro-climate plays an important role in human activities and in ensuring public health. For instance, the urban heat island effect is crucial to the thermal comfort of citizens and tourists, similar to the urban cool island effect’s importance on human and infrastructure resilience. Approximately 35% of global big cities are located in drylands. While existing research has focused on the spatial and temporal changes of surface urban cooling island intensity (SUCII) in drylands in the past, there is a gap in predicting the future spatiotemporal changes in SUCII for cities within these dryland regions. This study aims to forecast the spatiotemporal dynamics of daytime SUCII of representative growing cities with a dry and cold climate. Kerman and Zahedan cities, which are undergoing large urbanization and have harsh hot summer climates, were selected as the study area. Landsat 5 and 8 images and products were utilized for six timestamps within the timeframe of 1986–2023. Various methods, including a random forest algorithm, spectral indices, Cellular Automata-Markov (CA-Markov) model, the cross-tabulation model, and spatial overlay and zonal statistics, were employed to assess and model the spatiotemporal changes in SUCII. Initially, historical land cover maps, land surface temperature (LST), surface biophysical characteristics, and SUCII data were prepared, and their spatiotemporal changes were evaluated. Then, projected maps for these variables for the year 2045 were produced. The results indicated that the built-up areas, bare lands, and green spaces of Kerman (Zahedan) city in 1986 were 26.6 km² (17.6 km²), 103 km² (92.5 km²), and 44.4 km² (5.6 km²), respectively, and these values reached 99.3 km² (41.9 km²), 61.2 km² (70.7 km²), and 13.5 km² (3.2 km²) in 2023. The built-up lands area of Kerman (Zahedan) city is expected to increase by approximately 26% (36%) by 2045, while bare land and green space are expected to decrease by about 32% (20%) and 39% (31%), respectively. The greatest rise in average LST of Kerman (Zahedan) city is associated with the conversion of green spaces to barren land, resulting in a notable increase of 5.5 °C (4.3 °C) in 1986–2023. The conversion of barren land to built-up land in Kerman (Zahedan) city has led to a decrease of 4.6 °C (3.8 °C) in LST. The SUCII of Kerman (Zahedan) city for 1986, 1994, 2001, 2008, 2015, and 2023 were −0.3 °C (0.9 °C), −0.8 °C (0.4 °C), −1.4 °C (−0.5 °C), −1.9 °C (−1.5 °C), −2.6 °C (−2.5 °C), and −3.2 °C (−3.4 °C), respectively. The projected SUCII in Kerman (Zahedan) city for 2045 is about −4.3 °C (−4.5 °C), indicating an increasing trend in SUCII in the future. The area of zones without SUCII in Kerman (Zahedan) city decreased by 44.8 Km² (54.8 Km²) from 1986 to 2023, while the areas of low, medium, and high SUCII classes increased by 9.1 Km² (9.9 Km²), 10.9 Km² (11.9 Km²), and 24.8 Km² (33.1 Km²), respectively. The area of non-SUCII and high SUCII classes of Kerman (Zahedan) city in 2045 is expected to decrease by 31.5 Km² (12.0 Km²) and increase by 51.2 Km² (9.5 Km²) compared with 2023. The findings of this research indicate that the physical growth of cities in drylands can lead to the moderation of LST, contrary to mechanisms in humid and wet regions.