We aimed to determine the appropriate annual total allowable catch (TAC) levels for the small yellow croaker (Larimichthys polyactis). A Bayesian state-space model was used to assess the species stock. This model has been widely used after research confirmed its reliability over other models. However, setting prior distributions for analyzing this model remains controversial. Therefore, a sensitivity analysis was conducted using the model with different prior distributions and biomass growth functions. Informative and non-informative prior distributions were compared using Schaefer and Fox growth functions. Considering the results of the sensitivity analysis, the assumption of inverse-gamma prior distribution of K, a non-informative distribution, with the Fox function could yield relatively superior estimates than those obtained from other assumptions. Moreover, changing the growth function could have a greater effect on the fitness of the model estimates than changing prior distribution. Therefore, future fishery stock analyses based on this model should consider the effectiveness of various growth functions in addition to the sensitivity analysis for prior distributions. Furthermore, the biomass of small yellow croaker will decrease if the catch increases by 10%. Therefore, the annual TAC levels should be set below the maximum sustainable yield (21,301 tons) for effective small yellow croaker stock management.
Accurate catch data are essential for effective fisheries management. This study reconstructs the historical recreational catch of hairtail (Trichiurus lepturus) in Korean waters by incorporating unreported catches to improve stock assessment accuracy. Using a Bayesian state-space surplus production model, we conducted a multi-fishery stock assessment by integrating abundance indices from eight major fisheries. The multigear mean standardization (MGMS) method was applied to derive standardized CPUE indices for each fishery, providing a more comprehensive evaluation of stock trends. The results indicate that excluding recreational catches and multiple CPUE indices may lead to biased stock assessments of hairtail in Korean waters. Models using an integrated CPUE index (SMSC) yielded higher MSY and biomass estimates, suggesting a more optimistic stock condition, whereas fishery-specific CPUE models (MSC) provided more precautionary estimates. The Kobe plot analysis indicates recent stock recovery, but continued monitoring and adaptive management are required to ensure long-term sustainability. This study highlights the importance of integrating recreational catch data and multi-fishery approaches in stock assessments, particularly under data-limited conditions, to enhance resource management and policy decision-making.
31 August 2019 in Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries Technology