Reliability, the number of spare parts and repair time have a great impact on system availability. In this paper, we observed a repairable system comprised of several components. The aim was to determine the repair rate by emphasizing its stochastic nature. A model for the statistical analysis of the component repair rate in function of the desired level of availability is presented. Furthermore, based on the presented model, the approach for the calculation of probability density functions of maximal and minimal repair times for a system comprised of observed components was developed as an important measure that unambiguously defines the total annual repair time. The obtained generalized analytical expressions that can be used to predict the total repair time for an observed entity are the main contributions of the manuscript. The outputs of the model can be useful for making decisions in which time interval repair or replacement should be done to maintain the system and component availability. In addition to planning maintenance activities, the presented models could be used for service capacity planning and the dynamic forecasting of system characteristics.
In this paper, a stochastic problem of multicenter location on a graph was formulated through the modification of the existing p-center problem to determine the location of a given number of facilities, to maximize the reliability of supplying the system. The system is represented by a graph whose nodes are the locations of demand and the potential facilities, while the weights of the arcs represent the reliability, i.e., the probability that an appropriate branch is available. First, k locations of facilities are randomly determined. Using a modified Dijkstra’s algorithm, the elementary path of maximal reliability for every demand node is determined. Then, a graph of all of elementary paths for demand node is formed. Finally, a new algorithm for calculating the reliability of covering a node from k nodes (k—covering reliability) was formulated.
The repair rate is a very important parameter for system maintainability and can be defined as a frequency of successfully performed repair actions on a failed component per unit of time. This paper analyzes the integral characteristics of a stochastic repair rate for corresponding values of availability in a system operating under maintenance contracts. The probability density function (PDF) of the repair rate has been studied extensively and it was concluded that it is not a symmetric function so its mean value does not correspond to its maximum. Based on that, the equation for the envelope line of the PDF maximums of the repair rate has been provided. Namely, instead of repair rate PDF equations, we can use envelope line parameters for certain calculations, which are expressed in a simpler mathematical form. That will reduce time required for calculations and prediction and enhance reactions in failure events. Further, for the analytical and numerical evaluation of a system performance, the annual repair rate PDFs are analyzed, such as particular solutions of corresponding differential equation, while the existence of a singular solution is considered and analyzed under different conditions. Moreover, we derived optimal values of availability for which the PDF maximums have been obtained. Finally, in order to generalize the behavior of the repair process, a partial differential equation, as a function of the repair rate process and availability parameter, has been formed.
1 January 2025 in Yugoslav Journal of Operations Research
In this paper, we are observing a reparable system comprised of several components. The aim is to determine at which repair rate the system achieves the highest availability. To accomplish that, the procedure for the calculation of the repair rate in function of the desired level of availability for the system with a predetermined repair rate threshold is created. The presented approach is based on the exploration of the probability density function (PDF) of a system's repair time by observing the probability that repair rates of its components surpass a determined threshold. The obtained results can be applied in reliability theory, maintenance planning, and many other fields. To prove the application of the developed model, the results are verified by a numerical example for an unmanned vehicle system.
This paper investigates an infinite-horizon discounted stochastic maintenance optimization problem within the framework of dynamic programming. The system degradation is modeled by a discrete-time stochastic process affected by maintenance actions and random disturbances, while the objective is to minimize the expected discounted maintenance and degradation costs. The analysis is carried out on the Banach space of continuous functions equipped with the supremum norm. It is proved that the associated Bellman operator is well defined, maps the function space into itself, and is a contraction with contraction modulus equal to the discount factor. Consequently, the existence and uniqueness of the optimal value function follow from the Banach Fixed Point Theorem, and the convergence of value iteration is established. In addition, rigorous a priori and a posteriori error estimates are derived, providing theoretical stopping criteria for numerical computation. The theoretical results are complemented by numerical experiments illustrating the optimal stationary maintenance policy, the stability of the computed solution under grid refinement, and the influence of the discount factor on both the optimal policy and the convergence rate of value iteration.