The exploration of the potential correlations of traffic conditions between roads in large urban networks, which is of profound importance for achieving accurate traffic prediction, often implies high computational complexity due to the implicated network topology. Hence, focal methods are required for dealing with the urban network complexity, reducing the performance requirements that are associated to the classical network search techniques (e.g., Breadth First Search). This paper introduces a graph-theory-based technique for managing spatial dependence between roads of the same network. In particular, after representing the traffic network as a graph, the local neighbors of each road are extracted using Breadth First Search graph traversal algorithm and a lower complexity variant of it. A Pearson product-moment correlation-coefficient-based metric is applied on the selected graph nodes for a prescribed number of level sets of neighbors. In order to evaluate the impact of the new method to the traffic prediction accuracy achieved, the most correlated roads are used to build a STARIMA model, taking also into account the possible time delays of traffic conditions between the interrelated roads. The proposed technique is benchmarked using traffic data from two different cities: Berlin, Germany, and Thessaloniki, Greece. Benchmark results not only indicate significant improvement on the computational time required for calculating traffic correlation metric values but also reveal that a different variant works better in different network topologies, after comparison to third-party approaches.
8 September 2017 in IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems
The reduction of road congestion requires intuitive urban congestion-control platforms that can facilitate transport stakeholders in decision making. Interactive ITS visual analytics tools can be of significant assistance, through their real-time interactive visualizations, supported by advanced data analysis algorithms. In this paper, an interactive visual analytics platform is introduced that allows the exploration of historical data and the prediction of future traffic through a unified interactive interface. The platform is backed by several data analysis techniques, such as road behavioral visualization and clustering, anomaly detection, and traffic prediction, allowing the exploration of behavioral similarities between roads, the visual detection of unusual events, the testing of hypotheses, and the prediction of traffic flow after hypothetical incidents imposed by the human operator. The accuracy of the prediction algorithms is verified through benchmark comparisons, while the applicability of the proposed toolkit in facilitating decision making is demonstrated in a variety of use case scenarios, using real traffic and incident data sets.
The cultural heritage sector increasingly integrates augmented and virtual reality (VR) solutions to meet dissemination and interpretation needs for its collections. As research in the field grows, the required entertainment and learning impacts of such applications are rising. This study presents a VR museum that aims to facilitate an understanding of cultural heritage. More specifically, an exhibition was designed, curated and developed in a VR environment based on a framework that encourages the public’s interaction with the artworks and experiential learning through activities that utilize VR functionalities in a meaningful way. This framework was applied in a contemporary art museum where the description of artistic concepts is not always obvious to the general public due to the abstract forms of the artworks or the particularities of different artistic movements. This paper focuses on the application development and three user experience evaluations (museum experts, technical experts and general audience). The results were positive regarding the perceived sense of control, usability and the feelings of the user, including their sense of entertainment. Additionally, the participants valued the educational value of the developed activity types and their usefulness. Moreover, the users were interested in exploring the cultural heritage content available in the exhibition, and they would suggest the application to colleagues or friends.
Tourism demand forecasting comprises an important task within the overall tourism demand management process since it enables informed decision making that may increase revenue for hotels. In recent years, the extensive availability of big data in tourism allowed for the development of novel approaches based on the use of deep learning techniques. However, most of the proposed approaches focus on short-term tourism demand forecasting, which is just one part of the tourism demand forecasting problem. Another important part is that most of the proposed models do not integrate exogenous data that could potentially achieve better results in terms of forecasting accuracy. Driven from the aforementioned problems, this paper introduces a deep learning-based approach for long-term tourism demand forecasting. In particular, the proposed forecasting models are based on the long short-term memory network (LSTM), which is capable of incorporating data from exogenous variables. Two different models were implemented, one using only historical hotel booking data and another one, which combines the previous data in conjunction with weather data. The aim of the proposed models is to facilitate the management of a hotel unit, by leveraging their ability to both integrate exogenous data and generate long-term predictions. The proposed models were evaluated on real data from three hotels in Greece. The evaluation results demonstrate the superior forecasting performance of the proposed models after comparison with well-known state-of-the-art approaches for all three hotels. By performing additional benchmarks of forecasting models with and without weather-related parameters, we conclude that the exogenous variables have a noticeable influence on the forecasting accuracy of deep learning models.
24 September 2020 in Enterprise Information Systems
Vulnerability prediction facilitates the development of secure software, as it enables the identification and mitigation of security risks early enough in the software development lifecycle. Although several factors have been studied for their ability to indicate software security risk, very limited attention has been given to technical debt (TD), despite its potential relevance to software security. To this end, in the present study, we investigate the ability of common TD indicators to indicate security risks in software products, both at project-level and at class-level of granularity. Our findings suggest that TD indicators may potentially act as security indicators as well.
Software security is a matter of major concern for software development enterprises that wish to deliver highly secure software products to their customers. Static analysis is considered one of the most effective mechanisms for adding security to software products. The multitude of static analysis tools that are available provide a large number of raw results that may contain security-relevant information, which may be useful for the production of secure software. Several mechanisms that can facilitate the production of both secure and reliable software applications have been proposed over the years. In this paper, two such mechanisms, particularly the vulnerability prediction models (VPMs) and the optimum checkpoint recommendation (OCR) mechanisms, are theoretically examined, while their potential improvement by using static analysis is also investigated. In particular, we review the most significant contributions regarding these mechanisms, identify their most important open issues, and propose directions for future research, emphasizing on the potential adoption of static analysis for addressing the identified open issues. Hence, this paper can act as a reference for researchers that wish to contribute in these subfields, in order to gain solid understanding of the existing solutions and their open issues that require further research.