Joel Msafiri Francis

Dr. Joel Msafiri Francis

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Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

18Years (2009-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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16 October 2019 in Nature
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Journal Article
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RBRoy Burstein
Roy Burstein
NHNathaniel J Henry
Nathaniel J Henry
MCMichael L Collison
Michael L Collison
LMLaurie B Marczak
Laurie B Marczak
ASAmber Sligar
Amber Sligar
SHSimon Hay
Simon Hay
Since 2000, many countries have achieved considerable success in improving child survival, but localized progress remains unclear. To inform efforts towards United Nations Sustainable Development Goal 3.2—to end preventable child deaths by 2030—we need consistently estimated data at the subnational level regarding child mortality rates and trends. Here we quantified, for the period 2000–2017, the subnational variation in mortality rates and number of deaths of neonates, infants and children under 5 years of age within 99 low- and middle-income countries using a geostatistical survival model. We estimated that 32% of children under 5 in these countries lived in districts that had attained rates of 25 or fewer child deaths per 1,000 live births by 2017, and that 58% of child deaths between 2000 and 2017 in these countries could have been averted in the absence of geographical inequality. This study enables the identification of high-mortality clusters, patterns of progress and geographical inequalities to inform appropriate investments and implementations that will help to improve the health of all populations.

7 October 2015 in PLOS ONE
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Journal Article
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JFJoel Msafiri Francis
Joel Msafiri Francis
HWHelen A Weiss
Helen A Weiss
GMGerry Mshana
Gerry Mshana
KBKathy Baisley
Kathy Baisley
HGHeiner Grosskurth
Heiner Grosskurth
SKSaidi H Kapiga
Saidi H Kapiga
Alcohol use is a global public health problem, including as a risk factor for HIV infection, but few data are available on the epidemiology of alcohol use and alcohol use disorders (AUD) among young people in sub-Saharan Africa. We conducted a cross-sectional survey among 4 groups of young people aged 15–24 years old (secondary school students, college/university students, employees of local industries and casual labourers) in two regions (Kilimanjaro and Mwanza) of northern Tanzania. Using a multistage stratified random sampling strategy, we collected information on demographics, alcohol use, and behavioural factors. We screened severity of alcohol use using the Alcohol Use Disorder Identification Test (AUDIT) and estimated the quantity and frequency of alcohol consumption using the timeline-follow-back-calendar (TLFB) method. A total of 1954 young people were surveyed. The prevalence of reported alcohol use was higher among males (47–70% ever users and 20–45% current users) than females (24–54% ever users and 12–47% current users). Prevalence of use was substantially higher in Kilimanjaro than Mwanza region. In both regions, participants reported high exposure to alcohol advertisements, and wide alcohol availability. College students reported the highest prevalence of current alcohol use (45% among males; 26% among females) and of heavy episodic drinking (71% among males; 27% among females) followed by casual labourers. Males were more likely to have AUD (an AUDIT score ≥8) than females, with 11–28% of males screening positive for AUD. Alcohol use was associated with male gender, being in a relationship, greater disposable income, non-Muslim religion and a higher number of sexual partners. Alcohol use is a significant problem among young people in northern Tanzania. There is an urgent need to develop, pilot and deliver interventions to help young people delay initiation and reduce levels of harmful drinking, particularly among college students and casual labourers.

1 October 2011 in Vaccine
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Journal Article
Closed access
MBMuhammad Bakari
Muhammad Bakari
SASaid Aboud
Said Aboud
CNCharlotta Nilsson
Charlotta Nilsson
JFJoel Msafiri Francis
Joel Msafiri Francis
DBDeus Buma
Deus Buma
ESEric Sandström
Eric Sandström

31 January 2014 in Tropical Medicine & International Health
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Journal Article
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JFJoel Msafiri Francis
Joel Msafiri Francis
HGHeiner Grosskurth
Heiner Grosskurth
JCJohn Changalucha
John Changalucha
SKSaidi H. Kapiga
Saidi H. Kapiga
HWHelen A. Weiss
Helen A. Weiss
Objective: Systematic review and meta‐analysis of published studies of alcohol use among young people (age 15–24 years) in eastern Africa to estimate prevalence of alcohol use and determine the extent of use of standardised screening questionnaires in alcohol studies.Methods: Five databases (MEDLINE, EMBASE, Global Health, Africa‐wide, and PsycINFO) were searched for publications until 30th June 2013. Results were summarised using the guidelines on preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta‐analyses (PRISMA) and on quality assessment using the modified quality assessment tool for systematic reviews of observational studies (QATSO). Heterogeneity was assessed using the I2 statistic (DerSimonian‐Laird).Results: We identified 2785 potentially relevant studies, of which 56 were eligible for inclusion. Only two studies (4%) used the standardised Alcohol Use Disorder Identification Test (AUDIT) questionnaire, and six studies (13%) used the Cut down, Annoyed, Guilt, Eye opener (CAGE) questionnaire. The reported median prevalence of alcohol use was ever‐use 52% [interquartile range (IQR): 20–58%], use in the last month 28% (IQR: 17–37%), use in the last year 26% (IQR: 22–32%), and problem drinking as defined by CAGE or AUDIT 15% (IQR: 3–36%). We observed high heterogeneity between studies, with the highest prevalence of ever use of alcohol among university students (82%; 95%CI: 79–85%) and female sex workers (66%; 95%CI: 58–74%). Current use was most prevalent among male sex workers (69%; 95%CI: 63–75%).Conclusions: Reported alcohol use and problem drinking were common among diverse groups of young people in eastern Africa, indicating the urgent need for alcohol‐focused interventions in this population. Few studies have used standardised alcohol screening questionnaires. Epidemiological research to investigate alcohol‐focused interventions in young people should aim to apply such questionnaires that should be validated for use in this population.

7 May 2021 in Alcohol, Clinical and Experimental Research
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Journal Article
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JHJudith A. Hahn
Judith A. Hahn
PMPamela M. Murnane
Pamela M. Murnane
EVEric Vittinghoff
Eric Vittinghoff
WMWinnie R. Muyindike
Winnie R. Muyindike
NENneka I. Emenyonu
Nneka I. Emenyonu
RSRichard Saitz
Richard Saitz

13 February 2019 in PLOS ONE
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JFJoel Msafiri Francis
Joel Msafiri Francis
Bronwyn MyersBronwyn Myers
Bronwyn Myers
SNSebenzile Nkosi
Sebenzile Nkosi
PWPetal Petersen Williams
Petal Petersen Williams
TCTara Carney
Tara Carney
NMNeo Morojele
Neo Morojele
Alcohol and other drug use (AOD) and risky sexual behaviours remain high among adolescents in South Africa and globally. Religiosity influences, mitigates and provides resilience against engaging in risky behaviours among young people but few South African studies have explored potential associations between religiosity, AOD use and risky sex. We report the prevalence of religiosity and association between religiosity and AOD use and risky sexual behaviours among learners in the Western Cape Province, South Africa. Between May and August 2011, a cross sectional survey was conducted among 20 227 learners from 240 public schools randomly selected through a stratified multistage sampling design to determine the prevalence of AOD use and sexual risk behaviours. We performed univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses to assess the association between religiosity, AOD use and risky sexual behaviours. The learners were aged 10–23 years. Almost three quarters (74%) of learners reported high religiosity (defined as attending religious services or activities at least 1–2 times a month). More female than male learners had high religiosity. The prevalence of past 30 day reported alcohol, tobacco and cannabis use was 23%, 19% and 8% respectively. Compared to learners with low religiosity, those with high religiosity were less likely to engage in AOD use: specifically alcohol use, (AOR = 0.86, 95%CI: 0.76–0.97), tobacco use (AOR = 0.76, 95%CI: 0.67–0.87), cannabis use (AOR = 0.57, 95%CI: 0.48–0.68) in the last 30 days. They were also less likely to engage in risky sexual behaviours (AOR = 0.90, 95%CI: 0.81–0.99). Religiosity was associated with lower odds of reported AOD use and risky sexual behaviours among learners in the Western Cape. This calls for further exploration on how to incorporate religiosity into AOD use and risky sexual behaviour interventions.