Georg Granic

Dr. Georg Granic

Erasmus University Rotterdam, Department of Applied Economics, Postbus 1738, 3000 DR Rotterdam, the Netherlands
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Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

17Years (2010-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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1 February 2020 in Management Science
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Journal Article
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QKQingxia Kong
Qingxia Kong
GGGeorg Granic
Georg Granic
NLNicolas S. Lambert
Nicolas S. Lambert
CTChung Piaw Teo
Chung Piaw Teo
We demonstrate that lottery markets can exhibit the “hot-hand” phenomenon, in which past winning numbers tend to have a greater share of the betting proportion in future draws even though past and future events are independent. This is surprising as previous works have instead documented the presence of an opposite effect, the “gambler’s fallacy” in the U.S. lottery market. The current literature also suggests that the gambler’s fallacy prevails when random numbers are generated by mechanical devices, such as in lottery games. We use two sets of naturally occurring data to show that both the gambler’s fallacy and the hot-hand fallacy can exist in different types of lottery games. We then run online experimental studies that mimic lottery games with one, two, or three winning numbers. Our experimental results show that the number of winning prizes impacts behavior. In particular, whereas a single-prize game leads to a strong presence of the gambler’s fallacy, we observe a significant increase in hot-hand behavior in multiple-prize games with two or three winning numbers. This paper was accepted by David Simchi-Levi, behavioral economics.

1 February 2016 in Journal of Risk and Uncertainty
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Journal Article
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CACarlos Alós-Ferrer
Carlos Alós-Ferrer
GGGeorg Granic
Georg Granic
JKJohannes Kern
Johannes Kern
AWAlexander K. Wagner
Alexander K. Wagner

11 June 2011 in Social Choice and Welfare
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Journal Article
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CACarlos Alós-Ferrer
Carlos Alós-Ferrer
GGGeorg Granic
Georg Granic

10 September 2022 in Journal of Economic Psychology
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Journal Article
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ABAurélien Baillon
Aurélien Baillon
HBHan Bleichrodt
Han Bleichrodt
GGGeorg Granic
Georg Granic

1 November 2012 in Journal of Experimental Social Psychology
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CACarlos Alós-Ferrer
Carlos Alós-Ferrer
GGGeorg Granic
Georg Granic
FSFei Shi
Fei Shi
AWAlexander K. Wagner
Alexander K. Wagner

1 September 2015 in Electoral Studies
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Journal Article
Closed access
CACarlos Alós-Ferrer
Carlos Alós-Ferrer
GGGeorg Granic
Georg Granic