This paper tackles the problem of forecasting real-life crime. However, the recollected data only produced thirty-five short-sized crime time series for three urban areas. We present a comparative analysis of four simple and four machine-learning-based ensemble forecasting methods. Additionally, we propose five forecasting techniques that manage the seasonal component of the time series. Furthermore, we used the symmetric mean average percentage error and a Friedman test to compare the performance of the forecasting methods and proposed techniques. The results showed that simple moving average with seasonal removal techniques produce the best performance for these series. It is important to highlight that a high percentage of the time series has no auto-correlation and a high level of symmetry, which is deemed as white noise and, therefore, difficult to forecast.
Electricity is one of the most important resources for the growth and sustainability of the population. This paper assesses the energy consumption and user satisfaction of a simulated air conditioning system controlled with two different optimization algorithms. The algorithms are a genetic algorithm (GA), implemented from the state of the art, and a non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm II (NSGA II) proposed in this paper; these algorithms control an air conditioning system considering user preferences. It is worth noting that we made several modifications to the objective function’s definition to make it more robust. The energy-saving optimization is essential to reduce CO2 emissions and economic costs; on the other hand, it is desirable for the user to feel comfortable, yet it will entail a higher energy consumption. Thus, we integrate user preferences with energy-saving on a single weighted function and a Pareto bi-objective problem to increase user satisfaction and decrease electrical energy consumption. To assess the experimentation, we constructed a simulator by training a backpropagation neural network with real data from a laboratory’s air conditioning system. According to the results, we conclude that NSGA II provides better results than the state of the art (GA) regarding user preferences and energy-saving.
High-Performance Computing systems rely on the software’s capability to be highly parallelized in individual computing tasks. However, even with a high parallelization level, poor scheduling can lead to long runtimes; this scheduling is in itself an NP-hard problem. Therefore, it is our interest to use a heuristic approach, particularly Cellular Processing Algorithms (CPA), which is a novel metaheuristic framework for optimization. This framework has its foundation in exploring the search space by multiple Processing Cells that communicate to exploit the search and in the individual stagnation detection mechanism in the Processing Cells. In this paper, we proposed using a Greedy Randomized Adaptive Search Procedure (GRASP) to look for promising task execution orders; later, a CPA formed with Iterated Local Search (ILS) Processing Cells is used for the optimization. We assess our approach with a high-performance ILS state-of-the-art approach. Experimental results show that the CPA outperforms the previous ILS in real applications and synthetic instances.
3 September 2023 in Expert Systems with Applications
In this work, we investigate the variant of the Internet Shopping Optimization Problem (ISHOP) that considers different item units. This variant is more challenging than the original problem. The original ISHOP is already known as a combinatorial NP-hard problem. In this work, we present a formal proof that the ISHOP variant considering different item units belongs to the NP-Hard complexity class. The abovementioned variant is familiar to companies and consumers who need to purchase more than one unit of a specific product to satisfy their requirements. For example, companies buy different quantities of construction materials, medical equipment, office supplies, or chemical components. We propose two new evolutionary operators (crossover and mutation) and an unfeasible solution repair method for the studied ISHOP variant. Furthermore, we produce a new benchmark of 15 synthetic instances where item prices follow a random uniform distribution. Finally, to assess our evolutionary operators, we implemented two Evolutionary Algorithms, a Genetic Algorithm (GA) and a Cellular Genetic Algorithm (CGA), and an experimental evaluation against a Water Cycle Algorithm (WCA) from the state-of-the-art. Experimental results show that our proposed GA performs well with statistical significance.
This research addresses the two-dimensional strip packing problem to minimize the total strip height used, avoiding overlapping and placing objects outside the strip limits. This is an NP-hard optimization problem. We propose a greedy randomized adaptive search procedure (GRASP), incorporating flags as a new approach for this problem. These flags indicate available space after accommodating an object; they hold the available width and height for the following objects. We also propose three waste functions as surrogate objective functions for the GRASP candidate list and use and enhanced selection for the restricted candidate list, limiting the object options to better elements. Finally, we use overlapping functions to ensure that the object fits in the flag because there are some cases where a flag’s width can be wrong due to new object placement. The tests showed that our proposal outperforms the most recent state-of-the-art metaheuristic. Additionally, we make comparisons against two exact algorithms and another metaheuristic.