Background: Inflammation plays a significant role in tumour development, progression, and metastasis. In this study, we focused on comparing the predictive potential of inflammatory markers for overall survival (OS), recurrence-free survival (RFS), and 1- and 2-year RFS in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. Methods: A total of 360 HCC patients were included in this study. A LASSO regression analysis model was used for data dimensionality reduction and element selection. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to identify the independent risk factors for HCC prognosis. Nomogram prediction models were established and decision curve analysis (DCA) was conducted to determine the clinical utility of the nomogram model. Results: Multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that the prognostic nutritional index (PNI) and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) were independent prognostic factors of OS, and aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio (APRI) was a common independent prognostic factor among RFS, 1-year RFS, and 2-year RFS. The systemic inflammation response index (SIRI) was an independent prognostic factor for 1-year RFS in HCC patients after curative resection. Nomograms established and achieved a better concordance index of 0.772(95% CI: 0.730-0.814), 0.774(95% CI: 0.734-0.815), 0.809(95% CI: 0.766-0.852), and 0.756(95% CI: 0.696-0.816) in predicting OS, RFS, 1-year RFS, and 2-year RFS respectively. The risk scores calculated by nomogram models divided HCC patients into high-, moderate- and low-risk groups (P < 0.05). DCA analysis revealed that the nomogram models could augment net benefits and exhibited a wider range of threshold probabilities in the prediction of HCC prognosis. Conclusions: The nomograms showed high predictive accuracy for OS, RFS, 1-year RFS, and 2-year RFS in HCC patients after surgical resection. The nomograms could be useful clinical tools to guide a rational and personalized treatment approach and prognosis judgement.

Background: The gap between the demand and supply of donor livers is still a considerable challenge. Since static cold storage is not sufficient in marginal livers, machine perfusion is being explored as an alternative. The objective of this study was to assess (dual) hypothermic oxygenated machine perfusion (HOPE/D-HOPE) and normothermic machine perfusion (NMP) in contrast to static cold storage (SCS). Methods: Three databases were searched to identify studies about machine perfusion. Graft and patient survival and postoperative complications were evaluated using the random effects model. Results: the incidence of biliary complications was lower in HOPE vs. SCS (OR: 0.59, 95% CI: 0.36–0.98, p = 0.04, I²: 0%). There was no significant difference in biliary complications between NMP and SCS (OR: 0.76, 95% CI: 0.41–1.40, p = 0.38, I²: 55%). Graft and patient survival were significantly better in HOPE than in SCS (HR: 0.40, 95% CI: 0.23–0.71, p = 0.002, I²: 0%) and (pooled HR: 0.43, 95% CI: 0.20–0.93, p = 0.03, I²: 0%). Graft and patient survival were not significantly different between NMP and SCS. Conclusion: HOPE/D-HOPE and NMP are promising alternatives to SCS for donor liver preservation. They may help address the widening gap between the demand for and availability of donor livers by enabling the rescue and transplantation of marginal livers.

In this study, we aimed to develop a prognostic model to predict HCC early recurrence (within 1-year) in patients with microvascular invasion who received postoperative adjuvant transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (PA-TACE). A total of 148 HCC patients with MVI who received PA-TACE were included in this study. The modes were verified in an internal validation cohort (n = 112) and an external cohort (n = 36). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to identify the independent prognostic factors relevant to early recurrence. A clinical nomogram prognostic model was established, and nomogram performance was assessed via internal validation and calibration curve statistics. After data dimensionality reduction and element selection, multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that alpha fetoprotein level, systemic inflammation response index, alanine aminotransferase, tumour diameter and portal vein tumour thrombus were independent prognostic factors of HCC early recurrence in patients with MVI who underwent PA-TACE. Nomogram with independent factors was established and achieved a better concordance index of 0.765 (95% CI: 0.691-0.839) and 0.740 (95% CI: 0.583-0.898) for predicting early recurrence in training cohort and validation cohort, respectively. Time-dependent AUC indicated comparative stability and adequate discriminative ability of the model. The DCA revealed that the nomogram could augment net benefits and exhibited a wider range of threshold probabilities than AJCC T stage. The nomogram prognostic model showed adequate discriminative ability and high predictive accuracy.

Background: The macrotrabecular-massive subtype of hepatocellular carcinoma (MTM-HCC) is an aggressive histological type and results in poor prognosis. We developed a nomogram model based on laboratory results to predict the presence of MTM-HCC. Methods: A total of 357 HCC patients who underwent radical surgery between January 2015 and December 2020 at Ningbo Medical Center Lihuili Hospital were grouped according to histological type. After propensity score matching (PSM), 267 patients were divided into MTM-HCC (n = 76) and non-MTM-HCC (n = 191) groups. A LASSO regression analysis model was used to select predictive factors. Finally, a nomogram for predicting the presence of MTM-HCC was established. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was conducted to determine the clinical usefulness of the nomogram model by quantifying the net benefits along with the increase in threshold probabilities. Results: The 1-, 3-, and 5-year disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) rates for MTM-HCC were 60.0%, 36.0%, 32.4% and 92.1%, 68.7%, 52.2%, respectively. Survival analysis indicated that the probabilities of achieving DFS and OS were significantly worse in the MTM-HCC group than in the non-MTM-HCC group (P < 0.05). The nomogram model that included AST levels, PT and AFP levels achieved a better C-index of 0.723 (95% CI: 0.659– 0.787). DCA revealed that the nomogram model could lead to net benefits and exhibited a wider range of threshold probabilities in the prediction of MTM-HCC. Conclusion: The nomogram model included AST, PT and AFP could achieve an optimal performance in the preoperative prediction of MTM-HCC.

Objectives: This study aimed to develop and externally validate a nomogram for predicting liver metastasis after radical resection in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC).Methods: A total of 247 PDAC patients who underwent radical resection were retrospectively reviewed from January 2015 to March 2022 at Ningbo Medical Centre Lihuili Hospital Eastern Section, and used as a training cohort to develop the nomogram. 83 PDAC patients from the Ningbo Medical Centre Lihuili Hospital Xingning Section were enrolled as the validation cohort. The postoperative liver metastasis was recorded during the follow-up, and the liver metastasis-free survival was defined as the time from operation to the date of liver metastasis diagnosis or death. The nomogram was established based on independent prognostic factors selected by LASSO and multivariate Cox regression model. The performance was assessed using the concordance index (C-index) and calibration curves. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to determine the clinical utility of the nomogram model.Results: From the training cohort of 247 patients, a total of 132 patients developed liver metastasis during the follow-up, the 1-, 2- and 3- year liver metastasis-free survival were 52.4%, 43.5% and 40% respectively. The LASSO and multivariate Cox regression analysis indicated that postoperative CA125 (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.007, p &lt;0.001), tumor differentiation (HR = 1.640, p = 0.010), tumor size (HR = 1.520, p = 0.029), lymph node ratio (HR = 1.897, p = 0.002) and portal/superior mesenteric/splenic vein invasion degree (PV/SMV/SV) (HR = 2.829, p &lt;0.001) were the independent factors of liver metastasis. A nomogram with independent factors was developed and the C-index was 0.760 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.720-0.799) and 0.739 (95% CI, 0.669-0.810) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The areas under curve (AUC) of the nomogram at 1-, 2- and 3-year were 0.815, 0.803 and 0.773 in the training cohort, and 0.765, 0.879 and 0.908 in the validation cohort, respectively, higher than those in TNM stage. Decision curve analysis (DCA) analysis revealed that the nomogram model provided superior net benefit in clinical utility. Liver metastasis-free survival curves showed a significant discriminatory ability for liver metastasis risk based on the nomogram (p &lt;0.001).Conclusions: The nomogram showed high accuracy in predicting liver metastasis for PDAC after radical resection, and may serve as a clinical support tool to guide personalized and prescient intervention.

Adverse events (AEs) are a significant concern for healthcare systems. However, it is difficult to evaluate their influence because of the complexity of various medical services. This study aimed to assess the influence of AEs on the outcomes of hospitalized patients using a diagnosis-related group (DRG) database. We conducted a case–control study of hospitalized patients at a multi-district tertiary hospital with 2200 beds in China, using data from a DRG database. An AE refers to an unintended physical injury caused or contributed to by medical care that requires additional hospitalization, monitoring, treatment, or even death. Relative weight (RW), a specific indicator of DRG, was used to measure the difficulty of diagnosis and treatment, disease severity, and medical resources utilized. The primary outcomes were hospital length of stay (LOS) and hospitalization costs. The secondary outcome was discharge to home. This study applied DRG-based matching, Hodges–Lehmann estimate, regression analysis, and subgroup analysis to evaluate the influence of AEs on outcomes. Two sensitivity analyses by excluding short LOS and changing adjustment factors were performed to assess the robustness of the results. We identified 2690 hospitalized patients who had been divided into 329 DRGs, including 1345 patients who experienced AEs (case group) and 1345 DRG-matched normal controls. The Hodges–Lehmann estimate and generalized linear regression analysis showed AEs led to prolonged LOS (unadjusted difference, 7 days, 95% confidence interval [CI] 6–8 days; adjusted difference, 8.31 days, 95% CI 7.16–9.52 days) and excess hospitalization costs (unadjusted difference, $2186.40, 95% CI: $1836.87-$2559.16; adjusted difference, $2822.67, 95% CI: $2351.25-$3334.88). Logistic regression analysis showed AEs were associated with lower odds of discharge to home (unadjusted odds ratio [OR] 0.66, 95% CI 0.54–0.82; adjusted OR 0.75, 95% CI 0.61–0.93). The subgroup analyses showed that the results for each subgroup were largely consistent. LOS and hospitalization costs increased significantly after AEs in complex diseases (RW ≥ 2) and in relation to high degrees of harm subgroups (moderate harm and above groups). Similar results were obtained in sensitivity analyses. The burden of AEs, especially those related to complex diseases and severe harm, is significant in China. The DRG database serves as a valuable source of information that can be utilized for the evaluation and management of AEs.