Daria Gushchina

Dr. Daria Gushchina

Moscow State University
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Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

16Years (2011-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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1 November 2012 in Monthly Weather Review
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Journal Article
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Daria GushchinaDaria Gushchina
Daria Gushchina
BDBoris Dewitte
Boris Dewitte
The characteristics of intraseasonal tropical variability (ITV) associated with the two flavors of El Niño [i.e., the canonical or eastern Pacific (EP) El Niño and the Modoki or central Pacific (CP) El Niño] are documented using composite and regression analysis. Double space–time Fourier analysis is applied to the NCEP–NCAR zonal wind at 850 hPa (U850) to separate the different components of the ITV in the tropical troposphere, which is then used to define indices of wave activity, and document the spatial pattern of the waves. It is shown that the ITV characteristics are altered during CP El Niño compared to the typical seasonal dependence of the ITV–ENSO relationship. In particular, while EP El Niño is characterized by enhanced MJO and equatorial Rossby (ER) wave activity during spring–summer prior to the ENSO peak, during CP El Niño, the ITV activity is increased during the mature and decaying phases. It is suggested that ITV is more propitious to the triggering of the EP event; while during the CP event, it contributes mostly to the persistence of positive SST anomalies. The oceanic response of these ITV anomalous patterns is further investigated in the Simple Ocean Data Assimilation (SODA) reanalysis by documenting the seasonal evolution of the intraseasonal equatorial oceanic Kelvin wave (IEKW) activity during the two flavors of El Niño. It is shown that anomalous westerlies associated with ITV may generate the corresponding response in the ocean in the form of anomalous IEKW activity.

13 December 2020 in Atmosphere
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Journal Article
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Daria GushchinaDaria Gushchina
Daria Gushchina
IZIrina Zheleznova
Irina Zheleznova
AOAlexander Osipov
Alexander Osipov
Alexander OlchevAlexander Olchev
Alexander Olchev
Moisture anomaly conditions within humid and subhumid tropics that are associated with different types of El Niño and La Niña phenomena are described and analyzed with a focus on their spatial distribution and seasonal variability. Five dryness indices (Keetch–Byram Drought Index, Weighted Anomaly Standardized Precipitation Index, Standardized Precipitation Index, Palmer Drought Severity Index, and Percent of Normal Precipitation) were derived from ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) fifth generation reanalysis (ERA5) reanalysis and University Corporation for Atmospheric Research (UCAR) datasets for the period from 1979 to 2019. Cross-correlation analysis was used to evaluate the relationships between the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and selected dryness indices. To describe the seasonal variability of the ENSO–surface moisture relationships, the composite maps of dryness indices in different seasons were analyzed. The results showed a significant heterogeneity of the ENSO-induced moisture anomaly conditions both within and across various geographical regions. Four main areas in humid and subhumid tropics with the maximum effects of El Niño/La Niña events on the surface moisture conditions were found: Southeast Asia and Australia, Eastern and South Africa, Northeastern and Eastern South America, and Central America. It was shown that the effects of La Niña were usually opposite to those of El Niño, while the responses to the two types of El Niño differed mostly in the moisture anomaly intensity and its spatial patterns.

19 July 2021 in International Journal of Climatology
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Daria GushchinaDaria Gushchina
Daria Gushchina
MKMaria Kolennikova
Maria Kolennikova
BDBoris Dewitte
Boris Dewitte
SYSang-Wook Yeh
Sang-Wook Yeh
The El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has experienced changes in its properties since the 1990s, particularly increased occurrence of Central Pacific El Niño events. These events have influenced atmospheric circulation in the mid to high‐latitudes of both hemispheres through atmospheric teleconnection. Here it is shown that, in the Northern Hemisphere, the planetary circulation response to the Eastern Pacific (EP) event in boreal winter is associated with Rossby waves propagating poleward and is mostly confined to the Pacific region, while the Central Pacific (CP) event induces a negative phase of Arctic Oscillation (AO)‐like circulation pattern at planetary scale. In the Southern Hemisphere (SH), the difference between the circulation patterns associated with the two types of El Niño in austral summer is rather small and the response of the tropospheric circulation consists of an Antarctic Oscillation (AAO)‐like negative phase pattern. In the SH, the circulation response to CP Niño lasts longer than that to EP Niño. In particular, during EP Niño the composite circulation anomalies reverse sign from austral summer to winter, which is not the case during CP event. This adds an interhemispheric asymmetry dimension to the ENSO atmospheric teleconnection in the high‐latitudes in relation to ENSO diversity. These changes in the circulation are associated with surface air‐temperature anomalies that have the potential to exacerbate observed long‐term trends. A subgroup of CMIP5 models that realistically simulate both ENSO nonlinearity (diversity) and the AO and AAO‐like patterns are analysed, showing that in the warmer climate, the circulation response in the high‐latitudes to both types of events is amplified in both hemispheres.

24 November 2015 in Biogeosciences
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Journal Article
Open access
Alexander OlchevAlexander Olchev
Alexander Olchev
AIA. Ibrom
A. Ibrom
OPO. Panferov
O. Panferov
Daria GushchinaDaria Gushchina
Daria Gushchina
HKH. Kreilein
H. Kreilein
AKAlexander Knohl
Alexander Knohl
The possible impact of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events on the main components of CO2 and H2O fluxes between the tropical rainforest and the atmosphere is investigated. The fluxes were continuously measured in an old-growth mountainous tropical rainforest in Central Sulawesi in Indonesia using the eddy covariance method for the period from January 2004 to June 2008. During this period, two episodes of El Niño and one episode of La Niña were observed. All these ENSO episodes had moderate intensity and were of the central Pacific type. The temporal variability analysis of the main meteorological parameters and components of CO2 and H2O exchange showed a high sensitivity of evapotranspiration (ET) and gross primary production (GPP) of the tropical rainforest to meteorological variations caused by both El Niño and La Niña episodes. Incoming solar radiation is the main governing factor that is responsible for ET and GPP variability. Ecosystem respiration (RE) dynamics depend mainly on the air temperature changes and are almost insensitive to ENSO. Changes in precipitation due to moderate ENSO events did not have any notable effect on ET and GPP, mainly because of sufficient soil moisture conditions even in periods of an anomalous reduction in precipitation in the region.

30 September 2022 in Climate
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IZIrina Zheleznova
Irina Zheleznova
Daria GushchinaDaria Gushchina
Daria Gushchina
ZMZhiger Maulenuly Meiramov
Zhiger Maulenuly Meiramov
Alexander OlchevAlexander Olchev
Alexander Olchev
The spatial and temporal variability of dryness conditions in the territory of Kazakhstan during the period 1979–2021 was investigated using monthly and hourly ERA5 reanalysis data on air temperature and precipitation as well as various aridity indices. A large part of the territory is characterized by the air temperature increase in summer and spring, as well as precipitation reduction, especially during the summer months. It was shown that the end of the 20th century (1979–2000) and the beginning of the 21st century (2001–2021) are characterized by different trends in air temperature and precipitation. All applied indices, i.e., the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI), the Keetch–Byram Drought Index (KBDI), Standardized Precipitation (SPI) and Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration (SPEI), showed increased dryness in most parts of the territory of Kazakhstan. KBDI indicated an increased risk of wildfires, especially in the southwestern and northwestern regions. The hottest and driest areas are situated in the regions that are simultaneously affected by rising temperatures and reduced precipitation in spring and summer. The strongest increase in aridity and fire risk in the southwest and northwest is mainly due to reduced precipitation in the summer. Minimal risks of droughts occur in the northern and central regions, where conditions in the early 21st century became even less favorable for drought formation compared to the late 20th century (increased precipitation in both spring and summer and lower summer temperatures).