Ali Arda Sorman

Prof. Dr. Ali Arda Sorman

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Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

7Years (2020-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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16 January 2022 in Atmosphere
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Journal Article
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HHHamed Hafizi
Hamed Hafizi
ASAli Arda Sorman
Ali Arda Sorman
Precipitation measurement with high spatial and temporal resolution over highly elevated and complex terrain in the eastern part of Turkey is an essential task to manage the water structures in an optimum manner. The objective of this study is to evaluate the consistency and hydrologic utility of 13 Gridded Precipitation Datasets (GPDs) (CPCv1, MSWEPv2.8, ERA5, CHIRPSv2.0, CHIRPv2.0, IMERGHHFv06, IMERGHHEv06, IMERGHHLv06, TMPA-3B42v7, TMPA-3B42RTv7, PERSIANN-CDR, PERSIANN-CCS, and PERSIANN) over a mountainous test basin (Karasu) at a daily time step. The Kling-Gupta Efficiency (KGE), including its three components (correlation, bias, and variability ratio), and the Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) are used for GPD evaluation. Moreover, the Hanssen-Kuiper (HK) score is considered to evaluate the detectability strength of selected GPDs for different precipitation events. Precipitation frequencies are evaluated considering the Probability Density Function (PDF). Daily precipitation data from 23 meteorological stations are provided as a reference for the period of 2015–2019. The TUW model is used for hydrological simulations regarding observed discharge located at the outlet of the basin. The model is calibrated in two ways, with observed precipitation only and by each GPD individually. Overall, CPCv1 shows the highest performance (median KGE; 0.46) over time and space. MSWEPv2.8 and CHIRPSv2.0 deliver the best performance among multi-source merging datasets, followed by CHIRPv2.0, whereas IMERGHHFv06, PERSIANN-CDR, and TMPA-3B42v7 show poor performance. IMERGHHLv06 is able to present the best performance (median KGE; 0.17) compared to other satellite-based GPDs (PERSIANN-CCS, PERSIANN, IMERGHHEv06, and TMPA-3B42RTv7). ERA5 performs well both in spatial and temporal validation compared to satellite-based GPDs, though it shows low performance in producing a streamflow simulation. Overall, all gridded precipitation datasets show better performance in generating streamflow when the model is calibrated by each GPD separately.

19 July 2021 in Water
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IPIsmail Bilal Peker
Ismail Bilal Peker
ASAli Arda Sorman
Ali Arda Sorman
In recent years, the potential impacts of climate change on water resources and the hydrologic cycle have gained importance especially for snow-dominated mountainous basins. Within this scope, the Euphrates-Tigris Basin, a snow-fed transboundary river with several large dams, was selected to investigate the effects of changing climate on seasonal snow and runoff. In this study, two headwater basins of the Euphrates River, ranging in elevation between 1500–3500 m, were assigned and SWAT was employed as a hydrological modeling tool. Model calibration and validation were conducted in a stepwise manner for snow and runoff consecutively. For the snow routine, model parameters were adjusted using MODIS daily snow-covered area, achieving hit rates of more than 95% between MODIS and SWAT. Other model parameters were calibrated successively and later validated according to daily runoff, reaching a Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency of 0.64–0.82 in both basins. After the modeling stage, the focus was drawn to the impacts of climate change under two different climate scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) in two 30-year projection periods (2041–2070 and 2071–2099). From the results, it is estimated that on average snow water equivalent decreases in the order of 30–39% and snow-covered days shorten by 37–43 days for the two basins until 2099. In terms of runoff, a slight reduction of at most 5% on average volume is projected but more notably, runoff center-time is expected to shift 1–2 weeks earlier by the end of the century.

15 April 2022 in Arabian Journal of Geosciences
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Journal Article
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Abdul Baqi AhadyAbdul Baqi Ahady
Abdul Baqi Ahady
EPEmrah Pekkan
Emrah Pekkan
ASAli Arda Sorman
Ali Arda Sorman
Sayed Ishaq DelirySayed Ishaq Deliry
Sayed Ishaq Deliry

Verified
Conference Paper
Open access
PDF file
HHHamed Hafizi
Hamed Hafizi
ASAli Arda Sorman
Ali Arda Sorman
Precipitation is a major component of the global water cycle, and its accurate measurement, especially over complex topography, requires a dense gauge network, which is often limited for many parts of the world. In recent decades, gridded precipitation datasets (GPDs) that merge information from satellites, numerical weather prediction models, and available ground data could be a potential alternative source for many hydro-climatic studies. However, their validation is a prerequisite task before utilizing them for different applications. This study aims to evaluate the spatio-temporal consistency of CHIRPSv2.0 and MERRA-2 datasets over different elevation ranges in Turkey based on five hydrological years (2015–2019) under Kling-Gupta Efficiency (KGE) metric for daily and monthly time steps. Moreover, three categorical indicators, including Threat Score (TS), Pierce Skill Score (PSS), and Gilbert Skill Score (GSS), are employed to address GPD detectability strength for various precipitation intensities. In general, GPDs show high performance for monthly (median KGE of; 0.62–0.76) time step than daily (median KGE of; 0.19–0.28), and MERRA-2 outperforms CHIRPSv2.0 considering daily precipitation, while CHIRPSv2.0 shows higher performance for monthly precipitation, comparatively.

Verified
Conference Paper
Open access
PDF file
HHHamed Hafizi
Hamed Hafizi
ASAli Arda Sorman
Ali Arda Sorman
Precipitation measurement over a complex topography and highly elevated regions has always been a great challenge in recent decades. On the other hand, satellite-based and numerical weather prediction model outputs can be an alternative to fill this gap. Hence, the goal of this study is to evaluate the spatiotemporal stability and hydrologic utility of four precipitation products (TMPA-3B42v7, IMERGHHFv06, ERA5, and PERSIANN) over a mountainous basin (Karasu basin) located in the eastern part of Turkey. Moreover, the Kling–Gupta efficiency (KGE), including its correlation, bias, and variability ratio components, are used for a direct comparison of precipitation products (PPs) with observed gauge data, and the Hansen–Kuiper (HK) score is utilized to assess the detectability strength of PPs for different precipitation events. In the same way, the hydrologic utility of PPs is tested by exploiting a conceptual rainfall–runoff model under Kling–Gupta efficiency (KGE) and Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) metrics. Generally, all PPs show low performance for a direct comparison with observed data while their performance considerably increases for streamflow simulation. TMPA-3B42v7 has high reproducibility in streamflow (KGE = 0.84), followed by IMERGHHFv06 (KGE = 0.76), ERA5 (KGE = 0.75), and PERSIANN (KGE = 0.70), for the entire period (2015–2019) of this study.