We aimed to investigate the prognostic value of two biomarkers of tissue inflammation, matrix metalloproteinase-dependent degradation of C-reactive protein (CRPM) and connective tissue type I collagen turnover (C1M), on the incidence and progression of radiographic osteoarthritis (OA) in the Rotterdam Study, a prospective cohort. Moreover, the independent effect of these biomarkers with respect to the established biomarkers of OA progression, like urinary type II collagen degradation (uCTX-II) and serum cartilage oligomeric protein (COMP), was evaluated. Serum levels of C1M, CRPM, COMP and CRP of 1335 participants aged >55 years were measured in fasting serum using ELISA. The commercial ELISA detecting CTX-II was used in urine. Radiographs at baseline and 5-year follow-up were scored for OA stage by Kellgren-Lawrence grade. The associations between progression and incidence of OA and the baseline biomarkers were examined using logistic regression and generalized estimating equations adjusted for age, sex, BMI, and possible other confounders. The uCTX-II, COMP, and CRP concentrations were associated with the incidence and progression of OA. Moreover, OA progression was positively associated with CRPM (OR = 1.3, p = 0.01) and CRP (OR = 1.3, p = 0.01) levels with similar effect size as uCTX-II (OR = 1.3, p = 0.01) and COMP (OR = 1.2, p = 0.02). CRPM had prognostic value for progression of OA independent from the uCTX-II and COMP. Our study confirmed the associations between uCTX-II and COMP concentrations and OA progression. Importantly, we showed for the first time that CRPM predicts the risk of OA progression independent of the established biomarkers uCTX-II and COMP.

Lower socioeconomic position (SEP) has consistently been associated with poorer health. To explore potential biological embedding and the consequences of SEP experiences from early life to adulthood, we investigate how SEP indicators at different points across the life course may be related to a combination of 28 inflammation markers. Using blood-derived inflammation profiles measured by a multiplex array in 268 participants from the Italian component of the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition cohort, we evaluate the association between early life, young adulthood and later adulthood SEP with each inflammatory markers separately, or by combining them into an inflammatory score. We identified an increased inflammatory burden in participants whose father had a manual occupation, through increased plasma levels of CSF3 (G-CSF; β = 0.29; P = 0.002), and an increased inflammatory score (β = 1.96; P = 0.029). Social mobility was subsequently modelled by the interaction between father’s occupation and the highest household occupation, revealing a significant difference between “stable Non-manual” profiles over the life course versus “Manual to Non-manual” profiles (β = 2.38, P = 0.023). Low SEP in childhood is associated with modest increase in adult inflammatory burden; however, the analysis of social mobility suggests a stronger effect of an upward social mobility over the life course.

Key Points: This study strengthens the previous observation of elevated mitochondrial DNA copy number and future risk of chronic lymphocytic leukemia.