We expand an SIR epidemic model with vertical and nonlinear incidence rates from a deterministic frame to a stochastic one. The existence of a positive global analytical solution of the proposed stochastic model is shown, and conditions for the extinction and persistence of the disease are established. The presented results are demonstrated by numerical simulations.
10 October 2021 in Stochastic Analysis and Applications
In this article, we consider a stochastic SIR model with a saturated incidence rate and saturated treatment function incorporating Lévy noise. First, we prove the existence of a unique global positive solution to the model. We investigate the stability of the free equilibria E0 by using the Lyapunov method. We give sufficient conditions for the persistence in the mean. We show the dynamic properties of the solution around endemic equilibria point of the deterministic model. Moreover, we display some numerical results to confirm our theoretical results.
In recent years, the world lived a horrible nightmare named the Covid-19 pandemic. It’s changing lifestyle caused the closure of critical establishments like schools, sports halls, companies, etc., as well as causing damage and menace for humanity. Mathematical models are helpful tools for modeling and analysing the infectious disease transmission This article presents a stochastic model of the Covid-19 epidemic for a population with five compartments. We give a numerical analysis of the proposed stochastic model. Also, we compare it with results of the corresponding deterministic model.
27 April 2020 in Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
The purpose of this work is to investigate the dynamic behaviors of the SIRS epidemic model with nonlinear incident rate under regime switching. We establish the existence of a unique positive solution of our system. Furthermore, we obtain the conditions for the extinction of diseases, and we show the existence of the stationary distribution for our stochastic SIRS model under regime switching. Numerical simulations are employed to illustrate our theoretical analysis.
In this paper, we introduce four new types of contractions called in this order Kannan-type cyclic contraction via interpolation, interpolative Ćirić-Reich-Rus type cyclic contraction, and we prove the existence and uniqueness for a fixed point for each situation.
In this paper, we study a stochastic epidemic model with double epidemics which includes white noise and telegraph noise modeled by Markovian switching. Sufficient conditions for the extinction and persistence of the diseases are established. In the end, some numerical simulations are presented to demonstrate our analytical results.