Roberto Casarin

Prof. Roberto Casarin

Department of Economics, University Ca' Foscari, Venice, San Giobbe 873/b, 30121 Venezia, Italy
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Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

27Years (2000-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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11 February 2015 in Journal of Applied Econometrics
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Journal Article
Closed access
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Daniel Felix AhelegbeyDaniel Felix Ahelegbey
Daniel Felix Ahelegbey
Monica BillioMonica Billio
Monica Billio
Roberto CasarinRoberto Casarin
Roberto Casarin

1 December 2013 in Journal of Econometrics
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Journal Article
Closed access
Monica BillioMonica Billio
Monica Billio
Roberto CasarinRoberto Casarin
Roberto Casarin
Francesco RavazzoloFrancesco Ravazzolo
Francesco Ravazzolo
HDHerman K. van Dijk
Herman K. van Dijk

1 September 2019 in Journal of Econometrics
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
MBMonica Billio
Monica Billio
Roberto CasarinRoberto Casarin
Roberto Casarin
LRLuca Rossini
Luca Rossini

1 November 2016 in Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
Monica BillioMonica Billio
Monica Billio
Roberto CasarinRoberto Casarin
Roberto Casarin
MCMichele Costola
Michele Costola
APAndrea Pasqualini
Andrea Pasqualini

1 May 2019 in Journal of Econometrics
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
DBDaniele Bianchi
Daniele Bianchi
MBMonica Billio
Monica Billio
Roberto CasarinRoberto Casarin
Roberto Casarin
MGMassimo Guidolin
Massimo Guidolin

23 February 2018 in Journal of the American Statistical Association
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
FBFederico Bassetti
Federico Bassetti
Roberto CasarinRoberto Casarin
Roberto Casarin
Francesco RavazzoloFrancesco Ravazzolo
Francesco Ravazzolo
We introduce a Bayesian approach to predictive density calibration and combination that accounts for parameter uncertainty and model set incompleteness through the use of random calibration functionals and random combination weights. Building on the work of Ranjan and Gneiting, we use infinite beta mixtures for the calibration. The proposed Bayesian nonparametric approach takes advantage of the flexibility of Dirichlet process mixtures to achieve any continuous deformation of linearly combined predictive distributions. The inference procedure is based on combination Gibbs and slice sampling. We provide some conditions under which the proposed probabilistic calibration converges in terms of weak posterior consistency to the true underlying density for both cases of iid and Markovian observations. This calibration property improves upon the earlier calibration approaches. We study the methodology in simulation examples with fat tails and multimodal densities and apply it to density forecasts of daily S&P returns and daily maximum wind speed at the Frankfurt airport. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.