A sustained increase in spring discharges was monitored after the 2016 Central Italy seismic sequence in the fractured carbonate aquifer of Valnerina–Sibillini Mts. The groundwater surplus recorded between August 2016 and November 2017 was determined to be between 400 and 500 × 106 m3. In fractured aquifers, the post‐seismic rise in spring discharges is generally attributed to an increase in bulk permeability caused by the fracture cleaning effect, which is induced by pore pressure propagation. In the studied aquifers, the large amount of additional discharge cannot only be attributed to the enhanced permeability, which was evaluated to be less than 20% after each main seismic event. A detailed analysis of the spring discharge hydrographs and of the water level at five gauging stations was carried out to determine the possible causes of this sudden increase in groundwater outflow. Taking into account the geological and structural framework, a conceptual model of a basin‐in‐series has been adopted to describe the complex hydrogeological setting, where the thrusts and extensional faults have clearly influenced the groundwater flow directions before and after the seismic sequence. The prevalent portion of the total post‐seismic discharge surplus not explained by the increase in permeability has been attributed to changes in the hydraulic gradient that caused seismogenic fault rupture and the disruption in the upgradient sector of the aquifer. The additional flow calculated through the breach of the pre‐existing hydrostructural barrier corresponds to approximately 470 × 106 m3. This value is consistent with the total discharge increase measured in the whole study area, validating the proposed conceptual model. Consequently, a shift in the piezometric divide of the hydrogeological system has been induced, causing a potentially permanent change that lowers the discharge amount of the eastern springs.
Variations of springs discharge due to seismic events are rather common. On 2016 October 30th a Mw 6.5 earthquake occurred 5 km NNE of Norcia Town (Central Italy), at a depth of around 9 km b.g.l. The Torbidone spring, dry since 1979, was re-activated after the Norcia earthquake, and its discharge rose up to 1.6 m3/s in thefollowing weeks. The Torbidone, with other minor springs, feeds the baseflow of the Sordo River (Nera River basin), the discharge of which increased up to 2m3/s after the earthquake. The seismic events did not affect only the Torbidone spring but also the entire groundwater circulation of the Nera River hydrogeological basin.We analyzed the Torbidone spring area and its geological framework using hydrogeological, structural and geochemical methods, to evaluate the causes of the perturbations and the possible system evolution.The main factors thought to be responsible for the perturbations are the changes of permeability and the variations of hydraulic head. The mechanisms of these hydrogeological changes are currently being studied in order to define a conceptual model consistent with the observed response of Torbidone spring to the seismic event.