This study aimed to establish a collaborative approach to quantify local HIV transmission, which is an issue of great concern to public health. We linked HIV-1 pol gene sequences to demographic information and epidemiological investigations in Hangzhou (a central city in East China). We estimated local acquisition rates from a collaboration of molecular network analysis (with a distance-based approach) and epidemiological investigations. Among 1064 newly diagnosed patients with HIV, 857 pol sequences were acquired and subsequently analyzed. Multiple subtypes were identified, with circulating recombinant form (CRF)07_BC (42.5%) and CRF01_AE (39.2%) predominating, followed by 13 other subtypes and 26 unique recombinant forms. By integrating the molecular network analysis and epidemiological investigations, we estimated that the proportion of local infection was 63.2%. The multivariable analyses revealed that individuals in clusters were more likely to be local residents, be aged 50 years or older, work as farmers, and have a higher first cluster of differentiation 4 count level (P <0.05). The proportions of local acquisitions over 70% were observed in local residents (79.9%, 242/303), individuals aged 50 years or older (73.6%, 181/246), and farmers (75.6%, 99/131). The molecular network analysis can augment traditional HIV epidemic surveillance. This study establishes a paradigm for quantifying local HIV transmission for generalization in other areas.

In this study, we conducted a detailed molecular epidemiological analysis of HIV-1 epidemic strains in various sexual risk behaviour groups in a developed area in eastern China based on phylogenetic inference, molecular transmission networks, and Bayesian analyses. A total of 1083 pol sequences (91.23%, 1083/1187) from newly diagnosed HIV-1-positive patients from 2017 to 2020 were successfully obtained and involved thirteen HIV-1 subtypes, in which the major HIV-1 subtypes were CRF07_BC (36.10%, 391/1083) and CRF01_AE (34.63%, 375/1083). 485 individuals (44.78%,485/1083) formed 146 clusters in the network. Of which CRF07_BC showed extensive clustering driven by men who have sex with men (MSM) within larger networks, CRF01_AE and other subtypes were generally driven by small clusters (SCs) and medium clusters (MCs) among various risk groups. Through Sankey diagrams, the MSM group infected with CRF07_BC had a greater impact on the non-commercial heterosexual group among all cross-risk groups. In addition, a higher number of key individuals infected with CRF07_BC (40.22%, 74/127), suggests the crucial role of CRF07_BC-infected individuals as a local epidemic driver in the context of a mixed HIV-1 epidemic. Further Bayesian analysis confirmed that CRF07_BC was introduced into Jiaxing city from other provinces multiple times and spread rapidly among MSM and heterosexual individuals. Overall, our study provided some insights and information to explore the local transmission dynamics of HIV-1 epidemic strains involving various sexual risk groups, and emphasize that it is necessary to conduct in-depth research and precise intervention targeting key clusters/ individuals to effectively block the continued transmission of AIDS.

Despite the implementation of health education and free condom distribution for decades, the HIV/AIDS epidemic among older adults in China shows no sign of declining. This study aims to identify HIV transmission patterns and pathways in a rural county area and provide insight for developing effective HIV prevention strategies among older adults. Epidemiological field surveys combined with phylogenetic analysis were used to identify potential HIV transmission linkage in one rural county with a rapidly increasing HIV epidemic among older adults. A total of 160 HIV-positive individuals and their HIV-positive sexual partners diagnosed between 2015 and 2018 were recruited. Among them, 69.4% ( n = 111) were diagnosed at age 50 or older, 68.1% ( n = 109) were men, and 55.0% ( n = 88) were married. Ninety-six participants self-reported as having been infected with HIV through commercial heterosexual behavior and 24 were infected from their HIV-positive spouse. CRF08_BC (67.0%, n = 73) and CRF07_AE (19.3%, n = 21) were the prevalent HIV stains and formed 15 clusters at distance cutoff of 0.0025. Participants diagnosed with HIV at age ≥50, those who were divorced or bereft their spouse, or infected with HIV locally were more prevalent within the 15 molecular clusters. We identified specific venues as the primary hotspot and found that commercial heterosexual contact between older men and commercial sex workers contributed to the local HIV epidemic. In rural areas with an increasing HIV epidemic, detecting HIV transmission clusters through epidemiological and phylogenetic analysis as well as designing localized HIV prevention strategies should be prioritized.

The number and proportion of HIV/AIDS patients among older people are continuously and rapidly increasing in China. We conducted a detailed molecular epidemiological analysis of HIV-1 epidemic strains in a developed city in eastern China and found that elderly people play a crucial role in the transmission of subtypes and high pretreatment drug resistance (PDR). A total of 1048 samples were obtained from 1129 (92.8%) newly confirmed HIV-1-positive and treatment-naive patients between 2019 and 2023. The 1316 bp target fragment of the pol gene was amplified by reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT‒PCR) and nested PCR, and Maximum-likelihood (ML) phylogenetic trees and molecular transmission network were constructed to analyse the subtypes and transmission clusters. Molecular transmission network was visualized using Cytoscape with the distance threshold of 0.0075. PDR-associated mutations were determined according to the Stanford University HIV Drug Resistance Database. A total of 933 pol sequences (89.0%, 933/1048) were successfully obtained, and twelve HIV-1 subtypes were detected. CRF07_BC was the predominant subtype, accounting for 48.1% (449/933) of sequences, followed by CRF01_AE (29.4%, 274/933). A total of 398 individuals (42.7%, 398/933) formed 89 clusters in the network. Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that age, nationality, subtype, and PDR were the most significant factors associated with clustering in the transmission network. The prevalence of PDR was 14.6% (136/933).PDR associated with non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (10.0%, 93/933) was much more common than that associated with nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (1.8%, 17/933) and protease inhibitors (3.2%, 30/933) (χ2 = 77.961, p < 0.001). The most frequent NNRTI mutations were K103N/S/KN/NS (52.2%, 71/136), which led to the highest proportion of high-level resistance to nevirapine and efavirenz (52.2%). Our study revealed the important influence of elderly people on CRF07_BC transmission and the high prevalence of PDR. The clustering of drug-resistant cases was significant, which suggested the potential for localized widespread transmission of drug-resistant strains. HIV screening and the determination of PDR are recommended for older patients to improve early detection and reduce treatment failure and second-generation transmission.

Previous studies have shown that the increased coverage of antiretroviral therapy (ART) could reduce the community viral load (CVL) and reduce the occurrence of new HIV infections. However, the impact on the reduction of HIV transmission among men who have sex with men (MSM) is much less certain. The frequency of HIV infections in MSM have been rapidly increasing in recent years in Hangzhou, China. The “Treatment as Prevention” strategy was implemented at a population-level for HIV-infected MSM from January 2014 to June 2016 in Hangzhou; it aimed to increase the ART coverage, reduce the CVL, and reduce HIV transmission. We investigated a subset of MSM diagnosed with HIV pre- and post-implementation of the strategy, using random sampling methods. Viral load (VL) testing was performed for all enrolled individuals; the lower limits of detection were 20 and 50 copies/mL. The data on infections were collected from the national epidemiology database of Hangzhou. Logistic regression analyses were conducted to identify factors associated with the differences in social demographic characteristics and available VL data. The ART coverage increased from 60.7% (839/1383) during the pre-implementation period to 92.3% (2183/2365) during the post-implementation period in Hangzhou. A total of 940 HIV-infected MSM were selected for inclusion in this study: 490 (52.1%) and 450 (47.9%) MSM in the pre- and post-implementation periods, respectively. In total, 89.5% (841/940) of patients had data available on VL rates. The mean CVL was 579 copies/mL pre-implementation and this decreased to 33 copies/mL post-implementation (Kruskal-Wallis < 0.001). The mean CVL decreased for all variables investigated post-implementation of the treatment strategy (P < 0.05). The undetectable VL (≤400 copies/mL) rate pre-implementation period was 50.0% which increased to 84.7% post-implementation (P < 0.001). The mean CVL at the county level significantly decreased in each county post-implementation (Kruskal-Wallis < 0.05). Our study confirmed a population-level association between increased ART coverage and decreased mean CVL; overall 84.7% of HIV infected MSM had an undetectable VL and were no longer infectious.