Background Deep learning (DL) models can potentially improve prognostication of rectal cancer but have not been systematically assessed. Purpose To develop and validate an MRI DL model for predicting survival in patients with rectal cancer based on segmented tumor volumes from pretreatment T2-weighted MRI scans. Materials and Methods DL models were trained and validated on retrospectively collected MRI scans of patients with rectal cancer diagnosed between August 2003 and April 2021 at two centers. Patients were excluded from the study if there were concurrent malignant neoplasms, prior anticancer treatment, incomplete course of neoadjuvant therapy, or no radical surgery performed. The Harrell C-index was used to determine the best model, which was applied to internal and external test sets. Patients were stratified into high- and low-risk groups based on a fixed cutoff calculated in the training set. A multimodal model was also assessed, which used DL model-computed risk score and pretreatment carcinoembryonic antigen level as input. Results The training set included 507 patients (median age, 56 years [IQR, 46-64 years]; 355 men). In the validation set (n = 218; median age, 55 years [IQR, 47-63 years]; 144 men), the best algorithm reached a C-index of 0.82 for overall survival. The best model reached hazard ratios of 3.0 (95% CI: 1.0, 9.0) in the high-risk group in the internal test set (n = 112; median age, 60 years [IQR, 52-70 years]; 76 men) and 2.3 (95% CI: 1.0, 5.4) in the external test set (n = 58; median age, 57 years [IQR, 50-67 years]; 38 men). The multimodal model further improved the performance, with a C-index of 0.86 and 0.67 for the validation and external test set, respectively. Conclusion A DL model based on preoperative MRI was able to predict survival of patients with rectal cancer. The model could be used as a preoperative risk stratification tool. Published under a CC BY 4.0 license. Supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Langs in this issue.
A knowledge gap persists between machine learning (ML) developers (e.g., data scientists) and practitioners (e.g., clinicians), hampering the full utilization of ML for clinical data analysis. We investigated the potential of the ChatGPT Advanced Data Analysis (ADA), an extension of GPT-4, to bridge this gap and perform ML analyses efficiently. Real-world clinical datasets and study details from large trials across various medical specialties were presented to ChatGPT ADA without specific guidance. ChatGPT ADA autonomously developed state-of-the-art ML models based on the original study’s training data to predict clinical outcomes such as cancer development, cancer progression, disease complications, or biomarkers such as pathogenic gene sequences. Following the re-implementation and optimization of the published models, the head-to-head comparison of the ChatGPT ADA-crafted ML models and their respective manually crafted counterparts revealed no significant differences in traditional performance metrics (p ≥ 0.072). Strikingly, the ChatGPT ADA-crafted ML models often outperformed their counterparts. In conclusion, ChatGPT ADA offers a promising avenue to democratize ML in medicine by simplifying complex data analyses, yet should enhance, not replace, specialized training and resources, to promote broader applications in medical research and practice.
Artificial intelligence (AI) has a multitude of applications in cancer research and oncology. However, the training of AI systems is impeded by the limited availability of large datasets due to data protection requirements and other regulatory obstacles. Federated and swarm learning represent possible solutions to this problem by collaboratively training AI models while avoiding data transfer. However, in these decentralized methods, weight updates are still transferred to the aggregation server for merging the models. This leaves the possibility for a breach of data privacy, for example by model inversion or membership inference attacks by untrusted servers. Somewhat-homomorphically-encrypted federated learning (SHEFL) is a solution to this problem because only encrypted weights are transferred, and model updates are performed in the encrypted space. Here, we demonstrate the first successful implementation of SHEFL in a range of clinically relevant tasks in cancer image analysis on multicentric datasets in radiology and histopathology. We show that SHEFL enables the training of AI models which outperform locally trained models and perform on par with models which are centrally trained. In the future, SHEFL can enable multiple institutions to co-train AI models without forsaking data governance and without ever transmitting any decryptable data to untrusted servers.
Large language models (LLMs) have broad medical knowledge and can reason about medical information across many domains, holding promising potential for diverse medical applications in the near future. In this study, we demonstrate a concerning vulnerability of LLMs in medicine. Through targeted manipulation of just 1.1% of the weights of the LLM, we can deliberately inject incorrect biomedical facts. The erroneous information is then propagated in the model’s output while maintaining performance on other biomedical tasks. We validate our findings in a set of 1025 incorrect biomedical facts. This peculiar susceptibility raises serious security and trustworthiness concerns for the application of LLMs in healthcare settings. It accentuates the need for robust protective measures, thorough verification mechanisms, and stringent management of access to these models, ensuring their reliable and safe use in medical practice.
Large language models (LLMs) have shown potential in various applications, including clinical practice. However, their accuracy and utility in providing treatment recommendations for orthopedic conditions remain to be investigated. Thus, this pilot study aims to evaluate the validity of treatment recommendations generated by GPT-4 for common knee and shoulder orthopedic conditions using anonymized clinical MRI reports. A retrospective analysis was conducted using 20 anonymized clinical MRI reports, with varying severity and complexity. Treatment recommendations were elicited from GPT-4 and evaluated by two board-certified specialty-trained senior orthopedic surgeons. Their evaluation focused on semiquantitative gradings of accuracy and clinical utility and potential limitations of the LLM-generated recommendations. GPT-4 provided treatment recommendations for 20 patients (mean age, 50 years ± 19 [standard deviation]; 12 men) with acute and chronic knee and shoulder conditions. The LLM produced largely accurate and clinically useful recommendations. However, limited awareness of a patient’s overall situation, a tendency to incorrectly appreciate treatment urgency, and largely schematic and unspecific treatment recommendations were observed and may reduce its clinical usefulness. In conclusion, LLM-based treatment recommendations are largely adequate and not prone to ‘hallucinations’, yet inadequate in particular situations. Critical guidance by healthcare professionals is obligatory, and independent use by patients is discouraged, given the dependency on precise data input.