Seagrass meadows provide essential ecosystem services globally in the context of climate change. However, seagrass is being degraded at an accelerated rate globally due to ocean warming, ocean acidification, aquaculture, and human activities. The need for more information on seagrasses’ spatial distribution and health status is a serious impediment to their conservation and management. Therefore, we propose a new hybrid machine learning model (RF-SWOA) that integrates the sinusoidal chaos map whale optimization algorithm (SWOA) with a random forest (RF) model to accurately model the suitable habitat of potential seagrasses. This study combines in situ sampling data with multivariate remote sensing data to train and validate hybrid machine learning models. It shows that RF-SWOA can predict potential seagrass habitat suitability more accurately and efficiently than RF. It also shows that the two most important factors affecting the potential seagrass habitat suitability on Hainan Island in China are distance to land (38.2%) and depth to sea (25.9%). This paper not only demonstrates the effectiveness of a hybrid machine learning model but also provides a more accurate machine learning model approach for predicting the potential suitability distribution of seagrasses. This research can help identify seagrass suitability distribution areas and thus develop conservation strategies to restore healthy seagrass ecosystems.
Climate change threatens seagrass ecosystems, which are vital for blue carbon sequestration and associated co-benefits. Our study on Hainan Island in the South China Sea assessed climate impacts on seagrass habitats using ensemble modeling under two scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) for 2050 and 2100. We found the current seagrass carbon stock is approximately 1.194 Tg, but projections show habitat suitability could decrease by up to 74.78% by 2100 under the severe scenario, potentially causing economic losses of $1.02–1.27 billion. While seagrass restoration requires initial investment, it offers substantial long-term climate benefits. Our analysis indicates seagrasses may migrate toward higher latitudes due to climate change, though new habitats could emerge along Hainan’s southern coast by 2100. These findings emphasize the urgency of conservation and restoration efforts to safeguard seagrass ecosystems and their vital role in climate change mitigation strategies.
Global forest area has declined over the past few years, forest quality has declined, and ecological and environmental events have increased with climate change and human activity. In the context of ecological civilization, forest health issues have received unprecedented attention. By improving forest health, forests can better perform their ecosystem service functions and promote green development. This study was carried out in the WuZhi Shan area of Hainan Tropical Rainforest National Park. We employed a decision tree algorithm, a machine learning technique, for our modeling due to its high accuracy and interpretability. The objective weighted method using criteria of importance through intercriteria correlation (CRITIC) was used to determine forest health classes based on survey and experimental data from 132 forest samples. The results showed that species diversity is the most important metric to measure forest health. An interpretable decision tree machine learning model was proposed to incorporate forest health indicators, providing up to 90% accuracy in the classification of forest health conditions. The model demonstrated a high degree of effectiveness, achieving an average precision of 90%, a recall of 67%, and an F1 score of 70.2% in predicting forest health. The interpretable decision tree classification results showed that breast height diameter is the most important variable in classifying the health status of both primary and secondary forests. This study highlights the importance of using interpretable machine learning methods for the decision‐making process. Our work contributes to the scientific underpinnings of sustainable forest development and effective conservation planning.