Juan-Carlos Antuña-Marrero

Dr. Juan-Carlos Antuña-Marrero

University of Valladolid, Valladolid, Castille-Leon, Spain
orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

31Years (1996-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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24 March 2016 in Reviews of Geophysics
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Journal Article
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SKStefanie Kremser
Stefanie Kremser
LTLarry W. Thomason
Larry W. Thomason
MHMarc von Hobe
Marc von Hobe
MHMarkus Hermann
Markus Hermann
TDTerry Deshler
Terry Deshler
BMBrian Meland
Brian Meland
Interest in stratospheric aerosol and its role in climate have increased over the last decade due to the observed increase in stratospheric aerosol since 2000 and the potential for changes in the sulfur cycle induced by climate change. This review provides an overview about the advances in stratospheric aerosol research since the last comprehensive assessment of stratospheric aerosol was published in 2006. A crucial development since 2006 is the substantial improvement in the agreement between in situ and space‐based inferences of stratospheric aerosol properties during volcanically quiescent periods. Furthermore, new measurement systems and techniques, both in situ and space based, have been developed for measuring physical aerosol properties with greater accuracy and for characterizing aerosol composition. However, these changes induce challenges to constructing a long‐term stratospheric aerosol climatology. Currently, changes in stratospheric aerosol levels less than 20% cannot be confidently quantified. The volcanic signals tend to mask any nonvolcanically driven change, making them difficult to understand. While the role of carbonyl sulfide as a substantial and relatively constant source of stratospheric sulfur has been confirmed by new observations and model simulations, large uncertainties remain with respect to the contribution from anthropogenic sulfur dioxide emissions. New evidence has been provided that stratospheric aerosol can also contain small amounts of nonsulfate matter such as black carbon and organics. Chemistry‐climate models have substantially increased in quantity and sophistication. In many models the implementation of stratospheric aerosol processes is coupled to radiation and/or stratospheric chemistry modules to account for relevant feedback processes.

27 June 1998 in Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
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GSGeorgiy L. Stenchikov
Georgiy L. Stenchikov
IKIngo Kirchner
Ingo Kirchner
ARAlan Robock
Alan Robock
HGHans‐F. Graf
Hans‐F. Graf
JAJuan-Carlos Antuña-Marrero
Juan-Carlos Antuña-Marrero
LTLarry Thomason
Larry Thomason

27 August 1999 in Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
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IKIngo Kirchner
Ingo Kirchner
GSGeorgiy L. Stenchikov
Georgiy L. Stenchikov
HGHans‐F. Graf
Hans‐F. Graf
ARAlan Robock
Alan Robock
JAJuan-Carlos Antuña-Marrero
Juan-Carlos Antuña-Marrero

13 November 2020 in Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
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SDSandip S. Dhomse
Sandip S. Dhomse
GMGraham William Mann
Graham William Mann
JAJuan-Carlos Antuña-Marrero
Juan-Carlos Antuña-Marrero
SSSarah E. Shallcross
Sarah E. Shallcross
MCMartyn P. Chipperfield
Martyn P. Chipperfield
CJColin E. Johnson
Colin E. Johnson
Accurately quantifying volcanic impacts on climate is a key requirement for robust attribution of anthropogenic climate change. Here we use the Unified Model – United Kingdom Chemistry and Aerosol (UM-UKCA) composition–climate model to simulate the global dispersion of the volcanic aerosol clouds from the three largest eruptions of the 20th century: 1963 Mt Agung, 1982 El Chichón, and 1991 Mt Pinatubo. The model has interactive stratospheric chemistry and aerosol microphysics, with coupled aerosol–radiation interactions for realistic composition–dynamics feedbacks. Our simulations align with the design of the Interactive Stratospheric Aerosol Model Intercomparison (ISA-MIP) “Historical Eruption SO2 Emissions Assessment”. For each eruption, we perform three-member ensemble model experiments for upper, mid-point, and lower estimates of SO2 emission, each re-initialised from a control run to approximately match the observed transition in the phase of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) in the 6 months after the eruptions. With this experimental design, we assess how each eruption's emitted SO2 translates into a tropical reservoir of volcanic aerosol and analyse the subsequent dispersion to mid-latitudes. We compare the simulations to the volcanic forcing datasets (e.g. Space-based Stratospheric Aerosol Climatology (GloSSAC); Sato et al., 1993 , and Ammann et al., 2003 ) that are used in historical integrations for the two most recent Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) assessments. For Pinatubo and El Chichón, we assess the vertical extent of the simulated volcanic clouds by comparing modelled extinction to the Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment (SAGE-II) v7.0 satellite measurements and to 1964–1965 Northern Hemisphere ground-based lidar measurements for Agung. As an independent test for the simulated volcanic forcing after Pinatubo, we also compare simulated shortwave (SW) and longwave (LW) top-of-the-atmosphere radiative forcings to the flux anomalies measured by the Earth Radiation Budget Experiment (ERBE) satellite instrument. For the Pinatubo simulations, an injection of 10 to 14 Tg SO2 gives the best match to the High Resolution Infrared Sounder (HIRS) satellite-derived global stratospheric sulfur burden, with good agreement also with SAGE-II mid-visible and near-infra-red extinction measurements. This 10–14 Tg range of emission also generates a heating of the tropical stratosphere that is consistent with the temperature anomaly present in the ERA-Interim reanalysis. For El Chichón, the simulations with 5 and 7 Tg SO2 emission give best agreement with the observations. However, these simulations predict a much deeper volcanic cloud than represented in the GloSSAC dataset, which is largely based on an interpolation between Stratospheric Aerosol Measurements (SAM-II) satellite and aircraft measurements. In contrast, these simulations show much better agreement during the SAGE-II period after October 1984. For 1963 Agung, the 9 Tg simulation compares best to the forcing datasets with the model capturing the lidar-observed signature of the altitude of peak extinction descending from 20 km in 1964 to 16 km in 1965. Overall, our results indicate that the downward adjustment to SO2 emission found to be required by several interactive modelling studies when simulating Pinatubo is also needed when simulating the Agung and El Chichón aerosol clouds. This strengthens the hypothesis that interactive stratospheric aerosol models may be missing an important removal or re-distribution process (e.g. effects of co-emitted ash) which changes how the tropical reservoir of volcanic aerosol evolves in the initial months after an eruption. Our model comparisons also identify potentially important inhomogeneities in the CMIP6 dataset for all three eruption periods that are hard to reconcile with variations predicted in the interactive stratospheric aerosol simulations. We also highlight large differences between the CMIP5 and CMIP6 volcanic aerosol datasets for the Agung and El Chichón periods. Future research should aim to reduce this uncertainty by reconciling the datasets with additional stratospheric aerosol observations.

1 February 2016 in Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics
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Juan Luis Guerrero RascadoJuan Luis Guerrero Rascado
Juan Luis Guerrero Rascado
Eduardo LandulfoEduardo Landulfo
Eduardo Landulfo
JAJuan-Carlos Antuña-Marrero
Juan-Carlos Antuña-Marrero
HBHenrique de Melo Jorge Barbosa
Henrique de Melo Jorge Barbosa
Boris BarjaBoris Barja
Boris Barja
ASAntonieta Silva
Antonieta Silva

16 April 2008 in Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
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JAJuan A. Añel
Juan A. Añel
JAJuan-Carlos Antuña-Marrero
Juan-Carlos Antuña-Marrero
LTLaura de la Torre
Laura de la Torre
JCJosé M. Castanheira
José M. Castanheira
Luis GimenoLuis Gimeno
Luis Gimeno