Simon Parry

Dr. Simon Parry


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

15Years (2012-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

View All Publications
20 October 2016 in Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
SPSimon Parry
Simon Parry
RWRobert L. Wilby
Robert L. Wilby
CPChristel Prudhomme
Christel Prudhomme
PWPaul J. Wood
Paul J. Wood
Drought termination can be associated with dramatic transitions from drought to flooding. Greater attention may be given to these newsworthy and memorable events, but drought terminations that proceed gradually also pose challenges for water resource managers. This paper defines drought termination as a distinctive phase of the event. Using observed river flow records for 52 UK catchments, a more systematic and objective approach for detecting drought terminations is demonstrated. The parameters of the approach are informed by a sensitivity analysis that ensures a focus on terminations of multi-season to multi-year droughts. The resulting inventory of 467 drought terminations provides an unprecedented historical perspective on this phenomenon in the UK. Nationally and regionally coherent drought termination events are identifiable, although their characteristics vary both between and within major episodes. Contrasting drought termination events in 1995–1998 and 2009–2012 are examined in greater depth. The data are also used to assess potential linkages between metrics of drought termination and catchment properties. The duration of drought termination is moderately negatively correlated with elevation (rs = −0.47) and catchment average rainfall (rs = −0.42), suggesting that wetter catchments in upland areas of the UK tend to experience shorter drought terminations. More urbanized catchments tend to have gradual drought terminations (contrary to expectations of flashy hydrological response in such areas), although this may also reflect the type of catchments typical of lowland England. Significant correlations are found between the duration of the drought development phase and both the duration (rs = −0.29) and rate (rs = 0.28) of drought termination. This suggests that prolonged drought development phases tend to be followed by shorter and more abrupt drought terminations. The inventory helps to place individual events within a long-term context. The drought termination phase in 2009–2012 was, at the time, regarded as exceptional in terms of magnitude and spatial footprint, but the Thames river flow record identifies several comparable events before 1930. The chronology could, in due course, provide a basis for exploring the complex drivers, long-term variability, and impacts of drought termination events.

12 April 2012 in Hydrology Research
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
SPSimon Parry
Simon Parry
JHJamie Hannaford
Jamie Hannaford
BLBen Lloyd-Hughes
Ben Lloyd-Hughes
CPChristel Prudhomme
Christel Prudhomme
Whilst hydrological systems can show resilience to short-term streamflow deficiencies during within-year droughts, prolonged deficits during multi-year droughts are a significant threat to water resources security in Europe. This study uses a threshold-based objective classification of regional hydrological drought to qualitatively examine the characteristics, spatio-temporal evolution and synoptic climatic drivers of multi-year drought events in 1962–64, 1975–76 and 1995–97, on a European scale but with particular focus on the UK. Whilst all three events are multi-year, pan-European phenomena, their development and causes can be contrasted. The critical factor in explaining the unprecedented severity of the 1975–76 event is the consecutive occurrence of winter and summer drought. In contrast, 1962–64 was a succession of dry winters, mitigated by quiescent summers, whilst 1995–97 lacked spatial coherence and was interrupted by wet interludes. Synoptic climatic conditions vary within and between multi-year droughts, suggesting that regional factors modulate the climate signal in streamflow drought occurrence. Despite being underpinned by qualitatively similar climatic conditions and commonalities in evolution and characteristics, each of the three droughts has a unique spatio-temporal signature. An improved understanding of the spatio-temporal evolution and characteristics of multi-year droughts has much to contribute to monitoring and forecasting capability, and to improved mitigation strategies.

24 September 2013 in Weather
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
SPSimon Parry
Simon Parry
TMTerry Marsh
Terry Marsh
MKMike Kendon
Mike Kendon
Click on the article title to read more.

10 June 2021 in Weather
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
STS. Turner
S. Turner
LBL. J. Barker
L. J. Barker
JHJ. Hannaford
J. Hannaford
KMK. Muchan
K. Muchan
SPSimon Parry
Simon Parry
CSCatherine Sefton
Catherine Sefton
Between 2016 and 2019, the UK was in a period of prolonged dry conditions with varying spatial and temporal foci. We look at the rainfall, river flows, soil moisture and drought impacts leading up to and including the heatwave of 2018, and the following year, placing the events into historical context. Using incident data from the UK regulators, we also explore drought impacts for this period.

6 May 2021 in Weather
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
CSCatherine Sefton
Catherine Sefton
KMK. Muchan
K. Muchan
SPSimon Parry
Simon Parry
BMB. Matthews
B. Matthews
LBL. J. Barker
L. J. Barker
JHJ. Hannaford
J. Hannaford
Between June 2019 and February 2020 the UK saw a succession of severe flood events. Many river flows in northern England, the Midlands and on both sides of the English/Welsh border exceeded their highest on record, and some defences were overwhelmed. The impact of widespread, prolonged and in places, repeated flooding reinforces the importance of detailed analyses of such events within a historical context to inform the assessment of future flood risk in a changing world.

1 June 2018 in Environmental Research Letters
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
SPSimon Parry
Simon Parry
RWRob Wilby
Rob Wilby
CPChristel Prudhomme
Christel Prudhomme
PWPaul Wood
Paul Wood
AMAndrew McKenzie
Andrew McKenzie