Understanding soil moisture behavior in semi-dry forests is essential for evaluating the impact of forest management on water availability. The objective of the study was to analyze soil moisture based in storm observations in three micro-catchments (0.19, 0.20, and 0.27 ha) with similar tree densities, and subject to different thinning intensities in a semi-dry forest in Chihuahua, Mexico. Vegetation, soil characteristics, precipitation, and volumetric water content were measured before thinning (2018), and after 0%, 40%, and 80% thinning for each micro-catchment (2019). Soil moisture was low and relatively similar among the three micro-catchments in 2018 (mean = 8.5%), and only large rainfall events (>30 mm) increased soil moisture significantly (29–52%). After thinning, soil moisture was higher and significantly different among the micro-catchments only during small rainfall events (<10 mm), while a difference was not noted during large events. The difference before–after during small rainfall events was not significant for the control (0% thinning); whereas 40% and 80% thinning increased soil moisture significantly by 40% and 53%, respectively. Knowledge of the response of soil moisture as a result of thinning and rainfall characteristics has important implications, especially for evaluating the impact of forest management on water availability.

The understanding of the hydrological processes in transitional zones between semi-arid and temperate ecosystems is essential since these areas are particularly sensitive to changes in precipitation and land cover. The objectives were to (1) determine the most critical factors in the generation of surface runoff during one rainy season; and (2) analyze the effect of different rainfall variables and soil moisture on the amount of surface runoff. The study area is in a semi-dry forest in the state of Chihuahua, Mexico. Vegetation, soil, and precipitation variables were monitored on three micro-catchments (0.19–0.27 ha) in 2018. Maximum 30-min rainfall intensity, rainfall depth, and soil moisture were the main variables controlling surface runoff. Rainfall intensity was better related to the amount of surface runoff, with an increase in runoff when rainfall intensities were greater than 25 mm h⁻¹. The highest runoff coefficients (10%) occurred only when rainfall intensity exceeded 30 mm h⁻¹. Similarly, surface runoff was only activated when rainfall depth exceeded 20 mm, or when the maximum volumetric water content by rainfall event exceeded 30%. Only 10% of storms exceeded these thresholds, indicating the difficulty of runoff generation in transitional zones. The interception (36%; s.d. = 30.7%), and the drastic decrease in soil moisture after each storm, suggest that more than 90% of the rainfall was lost by evapotranspiration. Our findings suggest that the groundwater recharge in a given year in these transitional zones is highly related to the number of low intensity and long duration rainfall events.

Hydrological behavior plays a critical role in seasonally dry forest ecosystems, as it underpins water availability for multiple productive activities, including forestry, agriculture, grazing, and urban supply. This study evaluated the hydrological effects of thinning treatments in a semi-arid oak–pine forest of Chihuahua, Mexico, using a Before–After–Control–Impact (BACI) design. Three Micro-catchments (MC) with initially comparable tree density and canopy cover were monitored during the rainy seasons of 2018 (pre-thinning) and 2019 (post-thinning). Thinning treatments were applied at 20% and 60% canopy cover in two MC, while a third remained unthinned as a 100% control. Precipitation and surface runoff were recorded at the event scale, and data were analyzed using Weibull probability models with a log link to capture the frequency and magnitude of runoff events. Precipitation patterns were broadly comparable across years, although 2018 included an extreme storm event (59 mm). In contrast, runoff volumes in 2019 were lower despite marginally higher seasonal rainfall, reflecting the absence of large storms. Statistical modeling indicated that for each additional millimeter of precipitation, mean runoff increased by approximately 12%, although thinning significantly altered baseline conditions. Relative to 2018, mean runoff ratios were 0.087 in the 100% canopy catchment, 0.296 in the 60% treatment, and 0.348 in the 20% treatment, suggesting that reduced canopy cover retained proportionally more runoff than the control. BACI contrasts confirmed that thinned catchments maintained higher proportions of runoff than the unthinned control, although statistical significance was marginal for the 20% canopy treatment. Overall, the study provides ecohydrological insights relevant to the management of semi-arid forest ecosystems.