Climate change impacts on water resources have jeopardized human security in the Sahel countries for many decades, especially in achieving food security. Many strategies and policies have been made to address such impacts. However, there are still difficulties to measure progress and the effectiveness of these policies and strategies with regard to climate risks. The lack of practical and consensual monitoring tool is one of the factors that can explain gaps in policies and initiatives to overcome these impacts. To move towards filling this gap, using ClimProspect model and a participatory approach, and based on in-depth vulnerability analysis, this paper makes available some innovative integrated and coherent resilience indicators and a new index for Burkina Faso’s water resources. Taking into account both climate and disaster risks, the indicators and index developed are related to warning, responses, recovery and long term resilience. The indicators-based index applied to three sites shows that agriculture water is less resilient to a changing climate with a score varying from 22.66% to 24%. These tools can help in formulating, implementation and reviewing water policy to secure water resources under the stress of climate change. The approach and findings bring together, on one hand, social and ecological resilience to climate risks, and sciences and policy on the other.

Purpose: This paper aims to propose, for the very first time in Burkina Faso, a “no regret” reference tool to improve policies and processes which could strengthen agricultural water resilience under climate risks and change for sustained food security. Such a framework consists of five pillars derived from the agricultural water vulnerability analysis. Design/methodology/approach: The method combined a new designed tool “ClimProspect”, adapted to the Sahelian climatic context, participatory and analogue approaches. Findings: Innovative “no regret” framework to overcome current and future climate risks on agricultural water requirements has been built. Research limitations/implications: The paper proposes a new way to assess vulnerability and build resilience for a given system and brings climate and disaster risks together. In fact, in the country, disaster and climate risks are closely associated. Practical implications: The proposed measures will reinforce water security under climate variability and change and disaster risks, boost the farmers’ participation in water governance and secure the adaptation investment for the long term. Social implications: Implementing the proposed measures should provide farmers with agricultural water needs at any time over the year, having access to social protection and sustainably increase their food security. Originality/value: Method used explicitly allows for paying attention, at the same time, to climate variability and change, disaster risks and social issues. The “no regret” framework is a practical secured tool for policy makers and planners, and it gives them a new way to secure sustainable water requirements.

Extreme precipitation has caused catastrophic flooding across West Africa, worsened by climate change. Understanding which rainfall type (deep, stratiform, or shallow convective) drives flooding along the West African coast can improve disaster response. This study combines seven years (2015–2021) of Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) Dual-frequency Precipitation Radar (DPR) monthly rain-type retrievals with forty-two years (1984–2025) of in situ daily rainfall observations from SODEXAM at Abidjan. GPM DPR data were aggregated into monthly climatological maps to characterize each rain type’s spatial distribution and seasonal cycle, while SODEXAM daily records were analyzed for rainy-day frequency and depth to identify the flood-critical period. All three types of rainfall contribute to the region’s high seasonal totals, but deep convective rainfall dominates and peaks in May and June, contributing on average 60% of total monthly rainfall versus 35% for stratiform and 5% for shallow convective rainfall. The 42-year ground record showed elevated rainy-day frequency and rainfall depth between 29 May and 18 June, defining a flood-critical period. This period coincides with the climatological peak in GPM-derived deep convective rainfall, indicating that deep convective systems are closely associated with the recurrent severe flooding observed in Abidjan from late May to mid-June.