An intelligent safety risk assessment model is proposed by integrating the λ-fuzzy measure, Choquet integral, and triangular fuzzy numbers. It addresses the limitations of conventional methods like AHP that neglect nonlinear interactions among risk factors. The framework quantifies expert linguistic judgments to capture synergistic and substitutive relationships. Validation using two Sinopec seismic projects shows a 23.3% reduction in assessment time and an 18.1% accuracy improvement. Computed λ values (HB: −0.999997; SC: −0.999821) confirm strong substitutive interactions. Sensitivity analysis demonstrates robustness, with ±10% fuzzy measure variation causing <±3% output change. The model provides a computationally efficient, reliable tool for seismic acquisition and other complex industrial systems.
Geological storage of carbon dioxide in faulted sedimentary basins requires suitability evaluation methods that can address uncertainty, indicator interaction, and limited data availability. This study develops an integrated evaluation framework that combines the Analytic Hierarchy Process, triangular fuzzy numbers, and the Choquet fuzzy integral to assess basin-scale geological carbon dioxide storage suitability. The framework enables structured weight determination, explicit representation of expert uncertainty, and non-additive aggregation of interacting indicators. The evaluation focuses on deep saline aquifers in the Jianghan Basin and is based on seventeen indicators covering geological, structural, hydrogeological, and socio-economic conditions. The assessment integrates seismic interpretation, geological mapping, logging data, and published datasets, and is conducted at the level of tectonic units to support basin-scale screening. The method is applied to the Jianghan Basin using seventeen geological, structural, hydrogeological, and socio-economic indicators. The results indicate that burial depth primarily acts as a threshold condition, whereas caprock sealing capacity, fault system development, and hydrogeological stability dominate suitability differentiation. Interaction analysis reveals pronounced substitution effects among geological indicators, indicating that strong performance in key safety-related factors can compensate for less favorable secondary constraints during early-stage screening. The Qianjiang Sag and Jiangling Sag are identified as the most suitable storage units. The proposed framework provides a transparent and robust tool for basin-scale screening in structurally complex, data-limited sedimentary basins.
28 March 2022 in IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing
A new hybrid inversion methodology for petrophysical properties (porosity, water saturation, and volume of clay) based on partially stacked seismic angle gathers was presented. The innovation of this method is that it combines the advantages of high efficiency of analytical and semianalytical multistep petrophysical estimation with the advantages of spatial continuity and high resolution of geostatistical direct inversion of reservoir parameters. A trace-by-trace linearized amplitude versus offset (AVO) inversion and semianalytical petrophysical estimation approach could efficiently achieve a preliminary estimation of reservoir parameters under some assumptions and approximations. These laterally unconstrained preliminary estimation results are able to provide effective information for finer-resolution geostatistical simulation and improve the computational efficiency of stochastic optimization. The 3-D fast Fourier transform moving average (FFT-MA) geostatistical cosimulation and the stochastic optimization by gradual deformation method (GDM) improve the resolution and spatial continuity of the preliminary estimation results. At the same time, stochastic inversion overcomes the assumptions in the analytical inversion algorithm that the parameters need to conform to the logarithmic Gaussian distribution and the linear approximation of the Zoeppritz equation. The method was tested on a synthetic case and a real case. The results show that compared with the analytical and semianalytical methods, this hybrid inversion can obtain results with finer resolution and better spatial continuity, and the computational efficiency is significantly improved compared with the geostatistical direct inversion of reservoir parameters. Uncertainty evaluation can be obtained by performing statistical analysis on the multiple realizations of stochastic inversions.
Seismic impedance inversion is an important method to identify the spatial characteristics of underground rock physical properties. Seismic inversion results and uncertainty evaluation are the important scientific basis for risk decision-making in oil and gas development. Under the assumption that the impedance and the error of the observed seismic data meet the Gaussian distribution or log–Gaussian distribution, the Bayesian linear seismic inversion can analytically obtain the posterior probability distribution of impedance. However, errors from observation, calculation, model and other factors can lead to an inaccurate and incomplete uncertainty evaluation. In this paper, the noise variance is used to represent the noise level of seismic data and the uncertainties from seismic wavelet extraction and noise level estimation are considered in inversion. Assuming that the probability distribution of the noise variance meets the inverse gamma distribution and the seismic wavelet meets the Gaussian distribution, we could obtain the conditional distribution for one variable given another analytically using well-log data and seismic data. In order to integrate the uncertainty from noise level estimation and wavelet extraction into the seismic impedance inversion, the Gibbs sampler algorithm was applied to draw a set of realizations of noise variance and wavelet. For each realization, the corresponding posterior probability model of impedance was achieved by Bayesian linear inversion and the final posterior probability of the impedance model was obtained by integrating all the single posterior probabilities for each pair of wavelet and noise variance. Synthetic and real data experiments showed that the uncertainties of seismic wavelet extraction and noise level estimation have an important influence on inversion results and their uncertainties. The proposed method could effectively integrate the uncertainty of wavelet and noise estimation to obtain a more accurate and comprehensive uncertainty evaluation. Under the assumption that the model meets the linear relationship and the parameters meet some specified distribution, the proposed method has high calculation efficiency. However, it also loses some accuracy when the assumptions are not completely consistent with the actual situation.