Accident analysis and prevention are helpful to ensure the sustainable development of transportation. The aim of this research was to investigate the factors associated with the severity of low-visibility-related rural single-vehicle crashes. Firstly, a latent class clustering model was implemented to partition the whole-dataset into a relatively homogeneous sub-dataset. Then, a spatial random parameters logit model was established for each dataset to capture unobserved heterogeneity and spatial correlation. Analysis was conducted based on the crash data (2014–2019) from 110 two-lane road segments. The results show that the proposed method is a superior crash severity modeling approach to accommodate the unobserved heterogeneity and spatial correlation. Three variables—seatbelt not used, motorcycle, and collision with fixed object—have a stable positive correlation with crash severity. Motorcycle leads to a 12.8%, 23.8%, and 12.6% increase in the risk of serious crashes in the whole-dataset, cluster 3, and cluster 4, respectively. In the whole-dataset, cluster 2, and cluster 3, the risk of serious crashes caused by seatbelt not used increased by 5.5%, 0.1%, and 30.6%, respectively, and caused by collision with fixed object increased by 33.2%, 1.2%, and 13.2%, respectively. The results can provide valuable information for engineers and policy makers to develop targeted measures.
The impact of trucks on road traffic safety has been extensively studied, but the factors influencing truck crash injury severity have not yet been examined from the quarterly perspective. Crash data for Shandong Province in China for 10 years (2012–2021) were reviewed to investigate the transferability of the determinants of the severity of truck crash injuries in four quarters. Three injury severity levels were considered and a random parameters logit model (RPL) considering the heterogeneity of means and variances was constructed to assess the factors affecting the severity of crash injury. The significant variables were explored from the influencing factors of driver, vehicle, crash type, road, environment, and temporal characteristics. A likelihood ratio test was employed to assess the transferability of the crash model over four quarters, and we used marginal effects to analyze the stability of the influencing factors. The results indicated that there was instability among the four quarterly variables that had to be modeled separately. There were also some variables, such as heavy vehicle and multiple-vehicle crashes, that simultaneously affected the severity of truck crash injuries across the four quarters, but the degree of impact was different. The results could enable engineers and policy makers to better formulate management rules and propose appropriate measures according to quarterly changes.
The effect of risk factors on crash severity varies across vehicle types. The objective of this study was to explore the risk factors associated with the severity of rural single-vehicle (SV) crashes. Four vehicle types including passenger car, motorcycle, pickup, and truck were considered. To synthetically accommodate unobserved heterogeneity and spatial correlation in crash data, a novel Bayesian spatial random parameters logit (SRP-logit) model is proposed. Rural SV crash data in Shandong Province were extracted to calibrate the model. Three traditional logit approaches—multinomial logit model, random parameter logit model, and random intercept logit model—were also established and compared with the proposed model. The results indicated that the SRP-logit model exhibits the best fit performance compared with other models, highlighting that simultaneously accommodating unobserved heterogeneity and spatial correlation is a promising modeling approach. Further, there is a significant positive correlation between weekend, dark (without street lighting) conditions, and collision with fixed object and severe crashes and a significant negative correlation between collision with pedestrians and severe crashes. The findings can provide valuable information for policy makers to improve traffic safety performance in rural areas.
Pedestrian two-stage crossings are common at large, busy signalized intersections with long crosswalks and high traffic volumes. This design aims to address pedestrian operation and safety by allowing navigation in two stages, negotiating each traffic direction separately. Understanding crosswalk behavior, especially during bidirectional interactions, is essential. This paper presents a two-stage pedestrian crossing model based on Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs), incorporating fluid dynamics equations to determine characteristics such as speed, density, acceleration, and Reynolds number during crossings. The study shows that PINNs outperform traditional deep learning methods in calculating and predicting pedestrian fluid properties, achieving a mean squared error as low as 10–8. The model effectively captures dynamic pedestrian flow characteristics and provides insights into pedestrian behavior impacts. The results are significant for designing pedestrian facilities to ensure comfort and optimizing signal timing to enhance mobility and safety. Additionally, these findings can aid autonomous vehicles in better understanding pedestrian intentions in intelligent transportation systems.
At urban signalized intersections, pedestrian twice-crossing is usually viewed as a complex human behavior, since there are many factors influencing it. Mostly, pedestrians engage in a complicated cognitive process of perception, attention and decision-making. Therefore, it is necessary to identify the major factors affecting this behavior, and develop an effective pedestrian dynamic model, in order to increase the safety and efficiency of crossing streets. This study proposes a force-based model of pedestrian dynamics by improving the classic social force model, in order to determine the influencing factors and quantify the forces acting on pedestrians crossing in two stages at signalized intersections. Through analyzing the characteristics of pedestrian twice-crossing behavior, the social force model was enhanced by providing a new component of the green signal countdown. The improved model includes four parts of the self-driving force in the ideal state, the repulsive and attractive forces generated by surrounding pedestrians, the resistance of the crosswalk boundary line, and the force produced by the green signal countdown. Each part was considered with qualitative analysis and quantitative calculation. The results show that the proposed model can achieve high accuracy in measuring the forces acting on pedestrian twice-crossing. The findings of this study have great implications for designing pedestrian facilities and optimizing pedestrian signal timings, helping thus to increase the mobility and safety of pedestrian twice-crossing.