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Dr. Ozcan Saritas
Higher School of Economics, National Research University, Moscow, Russia

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Books book
Published: 24 April 2021 in Consumers and Nanotechnology
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The Center for Democracy in Action1 (CDA) organises consensus conferences involving small groups of citizens who go through a learning process on a given technological issue, engage experts, and develop an assessment of the key issues they identify as critical (Einsiedel & Eastlick, 2000). In line with the overall purpose of examining the deliberative processes in nanotechnology development, we will have a close look at the nanotechnology consensus conference in Madison (USA), which was held in April 1082005 in three sessions. Our review is mainly based on the academic literature and online materials available.

ACS Style

M. Atilla Önera; Ozcan Saritas. Nanotechnology Citizens' Conference in Madison, USA. Consumers and Nanotechnology 2021, 107 -127.

AMA Style

M. Atilla Önera, Ozcan Saritas. Nanotechnology Citizens' Conference in Madison, USA. Consumers and Nanotechnology. 2021; ():107-127.

Chicago/Turabian Style

M. Atilla Önera; Ozcan Saritas. 2021. "Nanotechnology Citizens' Conference in Madison, USA." Consumers and Nanotechnology , no. : 107-127.

Article
Published: 05 January 2021 in Scientometrics
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Identifying and monitoring business and technological trends are crucial for innovation and competitiveness of businesses. Exponential growth of data across the world is invaluable for identifying emerging and evolving trends. On the other hand, the vast amount of data leads to information overload and can no longer be adequately processed without the use of automated methods of extraction, processing, and generation of knowledge. There is a growing need for information systems that would monitor and analyse data from heterogeneous and unstructured sources in order to enable timely and evidence-based decision-making. Recent advancements in computing and big data provide enormous opportunities for gathering evidence on future developments and emerging opportunities. The present study demonstrates the use of text-mining and semantic analysis of large amount of documents for investigating in business trends in mobile commerce (m-commerce). Particularly with the on-going COVID-19 pandemic and resultant social isolation, m-commerce has become a large technology and business domain with ever growing market potentials. Thus, our study begins with a review of global challenges, opportunities and trends in the development of m-commerce in the world. Next, the study identifies critical technologies and instruments for the full utilization of the potentials in the sector by using the intelligent big data analytics system based on in-depth natural language processing utilizing text-mining, machine learning, science bibliometry and technology analysis. The results generated by the system can be used to produce a comprehensive and objective web of interconnected technologies, trends, drivers and barriers to give an overview of the whole landscape of m-commerce in one business intelligence (BI) data mart diagram.

ACS Style

Ozcan Saritas; Pavel Bakhtin; Ilya Kuzminov; Elena Khabirova. Big data augmentated business trend identification: the case of mobile commerce. Scientometrics 2021, 126, 1553 -1579.

AMA Style

Ozcan Saritas, Pavel Bakhtin, Ilya Kuzminov, Elena Khabirova. Big data augmentated business trend identification: the case of mobile commerce. Scientometrics. 2021; 126 (2):1553-1579.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Ozcan Saritas; Pavel Bakhtin; Ilya Kuzminov; Elena Khabirova. 2021. "Big data augmentated business trend identification: the case of mobile commerce." Scientometrics 126, no. 2: 1553-1579.

Journal article
Published: 30 May 2019 in foresight
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PurposeThis paper aims to discuss a foresight study conducted in Singapore’s national R&D agency to help science and technology decision makers identify key capability areas of R&D investment to support the manufacturing industry’s growth in the country and the region.Design/methodology/approachUsing horizon scanning, scenario analysis and expert opinion, nine capabilities are identified as core areas to be developed to support the country’s future growth of product-service systems.FindingsThe results of a Delphi survey involving 30 industry and academic thought leaders recommend priorities of these capabilities. This paper concludes with a discussion of the study implications for theory, research and practice in the domain of servitisation and product-service systems.Research limitations/implicationsThe foresight study presented here on the future of servitisation in Singapore demonstrates one of the first fully fledged applications of foresight in constructing a coherent vision of future product-service system markets. In this study, the authors applied systemic foresight methodology (SFM) comprising the first six phases: initiation (scoping), intelligence (scanning), imagination (scenarios), integration (priorities), interpretation (strategies) and implementation (action).For future research, an ideal step would be to proceed with the final phase of the SFM, impact, to develop indicators for servitisation and to monitor and evaluate the transition process.Practical implicationsManufacturing and services are no longer distinct concepts with a clear divide. Manufacturing firms not only become more service dependent but also produce and provide services for their consumers. This transformation towards servitisation implies fundamental re-organisation of the production and management practices. Furthermore, through new business models, new and loyal customers will be gained, which will in turn bring additional income, while making the companies less prone to economic and business fluctuations.Social implicationsThe results of this study have practical implications for policymakers of public and private sectors that are interested in playing a key role in future product-service system innovation. These have implications for developing the human and intellectual capital that are required for supporting the future innovation. Institutes of higher learning and vocational institutes should also consider incorporating new curricula and modules to build the capabilities for knowledge creation and transfer.Originality/valueThe findings of the present study on strategic growth areas and relevant critical capabilities provide new directions for research in the field of servitisation. Among the nine capabilities identified, the top three were advanced customer intelligence capability, socio-physical service quality, traceability and maintainability and integrated strategic decision-making. From the results, it is apparent that advanced customer intelligence capability is both an area of importance to Singapore and the world.

ACS Style

Sarah Lai-Yin Cheah; Yinping Yang; Ozcan Saritas. Reinventing product-service systems: the case of Singapore. foresight 2019, 21, 332 -361.

AMA Style

Sarah Lai-Yin Cheah, Yinping Yang, Ozcan Saritas. Reinventing product-service systems: the case of Singapore. foresight. 2019; 21 (3):332-361.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Sarah Lai-Yin Cheah; Yinping Yang; Ozcan Saritas. 2019. "Reinventing product-service systems: the case of Singapore." foresight 21, no. 3: 332-361.

Chapter
Published: 29 March 2019 in Science, Technology and Innovation Studies
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The future role and place of human in the world is a widely debated issue. New technologies are developed continuously and are presented to markets momentarily. The key question is whether human will be at the centre of change as it has historically been or will be put aside by smarter machines. Machines then will become the principal creator of new technologies and race far ahead of humanity. While the machines are advancing, emerging technologies also offer new possibilities for human to remain competitive against machines through the enhancement of physical and mental capacities. The development and use of, such as, neuroscience, silicon chips and smart technologies offer new opportunities. A desirable future is that there would be an ecosystem of human and machine, where both complement each other rather than competing with each other. Machines would continue to support humanity’s well-being and quality of life and offer new possibilities for advanced ‘human-machine’, ‘human-human’, ‘human-work’ and human-environment interactions. Following the exploration of technologies, this chapter reviews and discusses the implications of human enhancement on the future of work, where the socio-economic impacts of emerging technologies can be well-observed. These technologies are expected to make revolutionary changes in working environment as people will be able to work harder, longer and smarter. The chapter will also address some of those ethical issues associated to human enhancement technologies.

ACS Style

Ozcan Saritas. Emerging Technologies, Trends and Wild Cards in Human Enhancement. Science, Technology and Innovation Studies 2019, 243 -259.

AMA Style

Ozcan Saritas. Emerging Technologies, Trends and Wild Cards in Human Enhancement. Science, Technology and Innovation Studies. 2019; ():243-259.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Ozcan Saritas. 2019. "Emerging Technologies, Trends and Wild Cards in Human Enhancement." Science, Technology and Innovation Studies , no. : 243-259.

Chapter
Published: 29 March 2019 in Science, Technology and Innovation Studies
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Scientific and Technological (S&T) developments have been influencing military concepts and practice, particularly following the inception of the scientific revolution in the late sixteenth century. Defense has traditionally been one of the key drivers of S&T advancements due to large amount of funding it received particularly by national governments. A number of technologies have been developed for defense, found their civilian applications, and vice versa. Wherever the boost for change comes from, the nature of warfare has changed radically both due to S&T advancements and changing socioeconomic and geopolitical contexts. Despite of the barriers due to strict organizational culture, armies have adapted themselves into changing characteristics of warfare through new concepts and instruments. Among S&T developments, recent advancements in Information and Communication Technologies (ICTs) bring enormous opportunities as well as challenges for defense. One of the recent phenomena emerged with the rapid development of ICTs is the Internet of Things (IoTs), which affects every aspect of life with a growing number of devices communicating with each other. While the possibilities introduced by the IoT have been providing immense benefits, the increasing number of connections makes the system ever more complex and vulnerable because of the difficulty of securing huge networks. The chapter discusses how IoT will affect the military affairs and proposes future scenarios for exploring alternative trajectories.

ACS Style

Serhat Burmaoglu; Ozcan Saritas; Haydar Yalcin. Defense 4.0: Internet of Things in Military. Science, Technology and Innovation Studies 2019, 303 -320.

AMA Style

Serhat Burmaoglu, Ozcan Saritas, Haydar Yalcin. Defense 4.0: Internet of Things in Military. Science, Technology and Innovation Studies. 2019; ():303-320.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Serhat Burmaoglu; Ozcan Saritas; Haydar Yalcin. 2019. "Defense 4.0: Internet of Things in Military." Science, Technology and Innovation Studies , no. : 303-320.

Chapter
Published: 29 March 2019 in Science, Technology and Innovation Studies
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Nanotechnologies have been increasingly used in wide-ranging application areas. The present chapter sheds light on the potential uses of nanotechnologies for supplying clean water. The availability of clean water is one of the Grand Challenges facing humanity. The chapter shows that new technologies are needed for effective and resource-efficient water treatment and nanotechnologies may offer affordable solutions. Overall, the chapter advocates that supplying drinking water to billions of people, while at the same time protecting water resources, is the best strategic guideline for the water supply industry and for applying new techniques and materials including nanotechnology. Developing new technologies for deep purification of water with nanotechnology will increase healthy water supply by removing both visible and invisible impurities hazardous to human and animal health. Thus, the chapter discusses nanotechnology solutions for water treatment and purification. How nanotechnologies can significantly increase the efficiency of certain traditional water purification processes such as coagulation, sorption and flotation is discussed. Next technological, market and institutional aspects are considered regarding nanotechnology solutions. The chapter is concluded with future scenarios and strategic steps to be taken for the implementation of nano-based water treatment and purification.

ACS Style

Ozcan Saritas; Konstantin Vishnevskiy. Water Treatment and Purification: Technological Responses to Grand Challenges. Science, Technology and Innovation Studies 2019, 177 -204.

AMA Style

Ozcan Saritas, Konstantin Vishnevskiy. Water Treatment and Purification: Technological Responses to Grand Challenges. Science, Technology and Innovation Studies. 2019; ():177-204.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Ozcan Saritas; Konstantin Vishnevskiy. 2019. "Water Treatment and Purification: Technological Responses to Grand Challenges." Science, Technology and Innovation Studies , no. : 177-204.

Chapter
Published: 29 March 2019 in Science, Technology and Innovation Studies
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New materials are one of the key pillars of the convergence in science, technology, and innovation. Recent advancements have led to the development of new materials with improved specifications and reduced dimensions. Cutting-edge metals, foams, and other substances make buildings, vehicles, and gadgets more energy efficient and environmentally friendly. Due to their strategic importance, new materials are at the radar of national policies. In recent decades, a number of developed and developing countries have conducted numerous studies to determine STI-based development prospects for the sphere of converging technologies with a particular focus on new materials, nanotechnologies, and their production. All carbon fiber production technologies involve in one way or another pyrolysis of raw material. No ‘revolutionary’ technologies for carbon fiber production are expected to emerge in the near future. The carbon fiber industry is currently changing from custom production (e.g. for the aerospace industry) to general mass market-oriented production. The most important aspect is believed to be increasing capacities of individual production lines.

ACS Style

Ozcan Saritas; Alexander Sokolov; Konstantin Vishnevskiy. New Materials: The Case of Carbon Fibres. Science, Technology and Innovation Studies 2019, 13 -47.

AMA Style

Ozcan Saritas, Alexander Sokolov, Konstantin Vishnevskiy. New Materials: The Case of Carbon Fibres. Science, Technology and Innovation Studies. 2019; ():13-47.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Ozcan Saritas; Alexander Sokolov; Konstantin Vishnevskiy. 2019. "New Materials: The Case of Carbon Fibres." Science, Technology and Innovation Studies , no. : 13-47.

Article
Published: 17 February 2018 in Journal of the Knowledge Economy
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Fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs) have been considered as the future vision for the automotive industry. An increasing number of concepts and prototypes have been introduced in the last decade. In parallel with the technological development, recent discussions about global warming and climate change bring public support for emission free vehicles. Despite of the advancements and support, the speed of introduction of FCEVs is still not at the desirable levels. From a transition management perspective, the present paper seeks to answer the underlying factors behind the implementation of the FCEVs. The discussion goes beyond a technical one to cover broad factors and interests of stakeholders with an ‘eagle-eye view’. Following a discussion the key drivers of change for the FCEV sector and wild cards with disruptive effects, the paper proposes a strategic roadmap template to set an agenda for a successful transition towards FCEVs.

ACS Style

Ozcan Saritas; Dirk Meissner; Alexander Sokolov. A Transition Management Roadmap for Fuel Cell Electric Vehicles (FCEVs). Journal of the Knowledge Economy 2018, 10, 1183 -1203.

AMA Style

Ozcan Saritas, Dirk Meissner, Alexander Sokolov. A Transition Management Roadmap for Fuel Cell Electric Vehicles (FCEVs). Journal of the Knowledge Economy. 2018; 10 (3):1183-1203.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Ozcan Saritas; Dirk Meissner; Alexander Sokolov. 2018. "A Transition Management Roadmap for Fuel Cell Electric Vehicles (FCEVs)." Journal of the Knowledge Economy 10, no. 3: 1183-1203.

Journal article
Published: 01 January 2018 in Journal of Cleaner Production
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ACS Style

Liliana N. Proskuryakova; Ozcan Saritas; Sergey Sivaev. Global water trends and future scenarios for sustainable development: The case of Russia. Journal of Cleaner Production 2018, 170, 867 -879.

AMA Style

Liliana N. Proskuryakova, Ozcan Saritas, Sergey Sivaev. Global water trends and future scenarios for sustainable development: The case of Russia. Journal of Cleaner Production. 2018; 170 ():867-879.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Liliana N. Proskuryakova; Ozcan Saritas; Sergey Sivaev. 2018. "Global water trends and future scenarios for sustainable development: The case of Russia." Journal of Cleaner Production 170, no. : 867-879.

Journal article
Published: 11 September 2017 in foresight
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Purpose Dynamic changes in the world bring challenges for making long-term future-oriented policy and strategy. A number of recent developments like drops in oil prices, increasing global conflicts, mass immigration and economic stagnation have had disruptive effects on long-term policies and strategies. The purpose of this paper is to provide a dynamic and adaptive Foresight approach as required by the fast-changing global landscape. Design/methodology/approach The scenario approach presented in the paper aims to develop multiple time horizons by bringing together short-term forecasts and long-term exploratory and visionary scenarios. Each time horizon allows for re-considering and dynamically changing drivers and assumptions of scenarios and thus builds not a single linear, but multiple and dynamic pathways into the future. Following the presentation on the background and description of the methodology, the paper illustrates the proposed approach with a case study on science and technology (S&T) development in Russia. Findings The flexible scenario approach allows developing and strategies with similar adaptability and flexibility. Practical implications The scenario approach presented in the paper may be applicable for Foresight exercises at all levels of governance, including national, international, regional and corporate. Originality/value A novel scenario approach is presented for the formulation of S&T policy with an illustrative case study.

ACS Style

Ozcan Saritas; Yury Dranev; Alexander Chulok. A dynamic and adaptive scenario approach for formulating science & technology policy. foresight 2017, 19, 473 -490.

AMA Style

Ozcan Saritas, Yury Dranev, Alexander Chulok. A dynamic and adaptive scenario approach for formulating science & technology policy. foresight. 2017; 19 (5):473-490.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Ozcan Saritas; Yury Dranev; Alexander Chulok. 2017. "A dynamic and adaptive scenario approach for formulating science & technology policy." foresight 19, no. 5: 473-490.

Journal article
Published: 10 April 2017 in foresight
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Purpose This paper focuses on the long-term situation with water resources, and water sector in particular, analyzed through a Foresight study. The authors attribute particular attention to implication for Russia, which is relatively better positioned regarding the availability of water resources. However, the country still faces challenges related to the protection of water resources, drinking water supply, water networks, consumption patterns, water discharge, treatment and re-use. The present study aims at identification and analysis of trends, factors and uncertainties in water supply, demand, use and re-use with a particular focus on sustainability of water systems; water use by households and industry; and new water services and products. Design/methodology/approach Research methodology in this paper involves a horizon scanning exercise for the identification of the key trends, factors and uncertainties along with the identification of weak signals of future emerging trends and wild cards in the form of future surprises, shocks and other unexpected events that may disrupt the preservation of water resources and the future of the water sector. Trends characterize broad parameters for shifts in attitudes, climate, policies and business focus over periods of several years that usually have global reach. These are usually experienced by everyone and often in similar contexts. Trends may represent threats, opportunities or a mixture of them, identified through underlying processes, possible events and other future developments. Findings A key systemic restriction of water use for the next decades both globally and in Russia relates to competition between agriculture, energy, manufacturing and household water use. Given that the amount of renewable water resources is almost fixed and even decreases because of pollution, circular economy solutions for water use will be required. Implications of the global trends identified in the study for Russia are dependent on the overall situation with water resources in the country. Russia has sufficient water supply: the overall intake of water for drinking and economic purposes in Russia amounts to 3 per cent of the total water resources, two-thirds of which are discarded back to water bodies. At the same time, there are substantial problems associated with the extremely uneven distribution of water resources across the country, as well as high “water intensity” of the Russian GDP. The Russian water sector is currently not very attractive for investors. Moreover, it has significantly less lobbying opportunities than other infrastructure sectors, and this complicates its institutional and financial positions. Meanwhile, there have been some positive changes with regard to activities with a short pay-off period. Originality/value The paper offers one of the first studies on the future of Russian water resources with a focus on the water supply and sanitation sector. A comprehensive approach to trends identification (not found in other studies on Russian water resources) allowed authors to identify social, technological, environmental, economic, policy and value-related global trends and uncertainties. Moreover, implications of these trends and uncertainties, as well as Russia-specific trends, were outlined.

ACS Style

Ozcan Saritas; Liliana N. Proskuryakova. Water resources – an analysis of trends, weak signals and wild cards with implications for Russia. foresight 2017, 19, 152 -173.

AMA Style

Ozcan Saritas, Liliana N. Proskuryakova. Water resources – an analysis of trends, weak signals and wild cards with implications for Russia. foresight. 2017; 19 (2):152-173.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Ozcan Saritas; Liliana N. Proskuryakova. 2017. "Water resources – an analysis of trends, weak signals and wild cards with implications for Russia." foresight 19, no. 2: 152-173.

Journal article
Published: 10 April 2017 in foresight
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Purpose This paper aims to analyse the mainstream and emerging global challenges and trends in the global agriculture sector. The analysis leads to a discussion on the present state of the Russian agroindustry and possible future strategies for adaptation in the context of the rapidly changing global environment. Design/methodology/approach The design of this study is based on the application of the core methods of Foresight. First, a trend analysis is undertaken using reviews and expert methods. Trends identified are mapped using a social, technological, economic, environmental, political and value (STEEPV) framework to ensure that a broad range of trends are covered, which may be stemming from various factors affecting the agriculture sector. The analysis of the big picture of global trends and challenges, interacting with country-specific structural factors, translates are translated into the opportunities and threats, which will in turn help to develop possible strategies for adaptation. Findings This study develops two adaptive strategies for the development of the Russian agroindustry that are feasible in different short- and long–term time horizons. The first strategy is considered to be the most likely choice for the period before 2020. It includes radical imports’ substitution (of commodities as well as machinery and high-tech components) for ensuring national food security with inevitable temporary setbacks in efficiency and labour productivity. The second strategy, which becomes feasible after 2020, considers re-integrating Russia into global supply chains and expanding commodities exports (volumes and nomenclature) based on full-scale technological modernization with the use of international capital. Research limitations/implications The study design is based on the assumption that Russia’s position as a country, which is highly self-sufficient on basic agricultural products and large exporter of crop commodities and fertilizers, will remain unchanged in the horizon of at least 20 years. However, long-term forecasts should also scrutinize the possibility of radical structural changes. Therefore, future research should concentrate on wild cards that can completely disrupt and transform the Russian agriculture industry and as well as the whole economy. Practical implications This paper suggests a number of recommendations on national science and technology policy for the three main industries of the Russian agricultural sector: crop husbandry, animal breeding and food processing (the fisheries sector is excluded from the scope of this paper). In addition, this paper proposes a number of measures towards alleviating the institutional barriers to raise the investment attractiveness of the sector. Originality/value The novelty of this paper lies in the originality of the research topic and methodology. The Russian agricultural sector has rarely been studied in the context of global agricultural challenges and threats taken on the highest level of aggregation beyond commodity market analysis or agro-climatic and logistics factors. There are few or no studies that lay out a map of possible long-term strategies of Russian agroindustry adaptive development. The Foresight methodology applied in this study is customized to better fit the practical purposes of the study.

ACS Style

Ozcan Saritas; Ilya Kuzminov. Global challenges and trends in agriculture: impacts on Russia and possible strategies for adaptation. foresight 2017, 19, 218 -250.

AMA Style

Ozcan Saritas, Ilya Kuzminov. Global challenges and trends in agriculture: impacts on Russia and possible strategies for adaptation. foresight. 2017; 19 (2):218-250.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Ozcan Saritas; Ilya Kuzminov. 2017. "Global challenges and trends in agriculture: impacts on Russia and possible strategies for adaptation." foresight 19, no. 2: 218-250.

Article
Published: 20 March 2017 in Scientometrics
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Rapid changes in Science & Technology (S&T) along with breakthroughs in products and services concern a great deal of policy and strategy makers and lead to an ever increasing number of Foresight and other types of forward-looking work. At the outset, the purpose of these efforts is to investigate emerging S&T areas, set priorities and inform policies and strategies. However, there is still no clear evidence on the mutual linkage between science and strategy, which may be attributed to Foresight and S&T policy making activities. The present paper attempts to test the hypothesis that both science and strategy affect each other and this linkage can be investigated quantitatively. The evidence for the mutual attribution of science and strategy is built on a quantitative trend monitoring process drawing on semantic analysis of large amount of textual data and text mining tools. Based on the proposed methodology the similarities between science and strategy documents along with the overlaps between them across a certain period of time are calculated using the case of the Agriculture and Food sector, and thus the linkages between science and strategy are investigated.

ACS Style

Pavel Bakhtin; Ozcan Saritas; Alexander Chulok; Ilya Kuzminov; Anton Timofeev. Trend monitoring for linking science and strategy. Scientometrics 2017, 111, 2059 -2075.

AMA Style

Pavel Bakhtin, Ozcan Saritas, Alexander Chulok, Ilya Kuzminov, Anton Timofeev. Trend monitoring for linking science and strategy. Scientometrics. 2017; 111 (3):2059-2075.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Pavel Bakhtin; Ozcan Saritas; Alexander Chulok; Ilya Kuzminov; Anton Timofeev. 2017. "Trend monitoring for linking science and strategy." Scientometrics 111, no. 3: 2059-2075.

Journal article
Published: 01 February 2017 in Technological Forecasting and Social Change
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ACS Style

Laura Pombo-Juárez; Totti Könnölä; Ian Miles; Ozcan Saritas; Doris Schartinger; Effie Amanatidou; Susanne Giesecke. Wiring up multiple layers of innovation ecosystems: Contemplations from Personal Health Systems Foresight. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2017, 115, 278 -288.

AMA Style

Laura Pombo-Juárez, Totti Könnölä, Ian Miles, Ozcan Saritas, Doris Schartinger, Effie Amanatidou, Susanne Giesecke. Wiring up multiple layers of innovation ecosystems: Contemplations from Personal Health Systems Foresight. Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 2017; 115 ():278-288.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Laura Pombo-Juárez; Totti Könnölä; Ian Miles; Ozcan Saritas; Doris Schartinger; Effie Amanatidou; Susanne Giesecke. 2017. "Wiring up multiple layers of innovation ecosystems: Contemplations from Personal Health Systems Foresight." Technological Forecasting and Social Change 115, no. : 278-288.

Preprint
Published: 21 October 2016 in SSRN Electronic Journal
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In parallel to the developments in the Information and Communication Technologies (ICTs), mobile commerce (m-commerce) has become a large business and technology area with ever-growing market potentials. Comparable to the rest of the world, the m-commerce sector has been developing rapidly in Russia, which provides opportunities for domestic and international enterprises. There are a number of favorable conditions, such as major advancements in the software and smart devices industries, availability of a skilled workforce with a good educational base, a technology-prone society, and increasing public and corporate investments, which reinforce the development of m-commerce. The present study aims to explore the future trends and developments in the m-commerce sector, by focusing on the Weak Signals of emerging future developments in society, technology, economy, environment and policy. Using a combination of quantitative and qualitative techniques, the study reviews the evolution of the m-commerce in the world and in Russia, and then presents a set of 10 Weak Signals, which were generated using technology mining, patent analysis, literature review, interviews and consultations through expert workshops. The paper discusses future opportunities and threats concerning m-commerce along with critical technologies for Russia for the full exploitation of the potentials in the sector.

ACS Style

Ozcan Saritas; Leonid Gokhberg; Pavel Bakhtin; Ilya Kuzminov. Weak Signals on the Future of Mobile Commerce in Russia. SSRN Electronic Journal 2016, 1 .

AMA Style

Ozcan Saritas, Leonid Gokhberg, Pavel Bakhtin, Ilya Kuzminov. Weak Signals on the Future of Mobile Commerce in Russia. SSRN Electronic Journal. 2016; ():1.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Ozcan Saritas; Leonid Gokhberg; Pavel Bakhtin; Ilya Kuzminov. 2016. "Weak Signals on the Future of Mobile Commerce in Russia." SSRN Electronic Journal , no. : 1.

Book chapter
Published: 24 July 2016 in Innovation, Technology, and Knowledge Management
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ACS Style

Victoria Kayser; Erduana Shala; Tugrul U. Daim; Denise Chiavetta; Alan L. Porter; Ozcan Saritas. Generating Futures from Text—Scenario Development Using Text Mining. Innovation, Technology, and Knowledge Management 2016, 229 -245.

AMA Style

Victoria Kayser, Erduana Shala, Tugrul U. Daim, Denise Chiavetta, Alan L. Porter, Ozcan Saritas. Generating Futures from Text—Scenario Development Using Text Mining. Innovation, Technology, and Knowledge Management. 2016; ():229-245.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Victoria Kayser; Erduana Shala; Tugrul U. Daim; Denise Chiavetta; Alan L. Porter; Ozcan Saritas. 2016. "Generating Futures from Text—Scenario Development Using Text Mining." Innovation, Technology, and Knowledge Management , no. : 229-245.

Book chapter
Published: 24 July 2016 in Sustainability in Innovation and Entrepreneurship
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ACS Style

Yi Zhang; Hongshu Chen; Donghua Zhu; Tugrul U. Daim; Denise Chiavetta; Alan L. Porter; Ozcan Saritas. Semi-automatic Technology Roadmapping Composing Method for Multiple Science, Technology, and Innovation Data Incorporation. Sustainability in Innovation and Entrepreneurship 2016, 211 -227.

AMA Style

Yi Zhang, Hongshu Chen, Donghua Zhu, Tugrul U. Daim, Denise Chiavetta, Alan L. Porter, Ozcan Saritas. Semi-automatic Technology Roadmapping Composing Method for Multiple Science, Technology, and Innovation Data Incorporation. Sustainability in Innovation and Entrepreneurship. 2016; ():211-227.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Yi Zhang; Hongshu Chen; Donghua Zhu; Tugrul U. Daim; Denise Chiavetta; Alan L. Porter; Ozcan Saritas. 2016. "Semi-automatic Technology Roadmapping Composing Method for Multiple Science, Technology, and Innovation Data Incorporation." Sustainability in Innovation and Entrepreneurship , no. : 211-227.

Book chapter
Published: 24 July 2016 in Sustainability in Innovation and Entrepreneurship
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ACS Style

Per Dannemand Andersen; Lars Alkærsig; Tugrul U. Daim; Denise Chiavetta; Alan L. Porter; Ozcan Saritas. Profile and Trends of FTA and Foresight. Sustainability in Innovation and Entrepreneurship 2016, 45 -58.

AMA Style

Per Dannemand Andersen, Lars Alkærsig, Tugrul U. Daim, Denise Chiavetta, Alan L. Porter, Ozcan Saritas. Profile and Trends of FTA and Foresight. Sustainability in Innovation and Entrepreneurship. 2016; ():45-58.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Per Dannemand Andersen; Lars Alkærsig; Tugrul U. Daim; Denise Chiavetta; Alan L. Porter; Ozcan Saritas. 2016. "Profile and Trends of FTA and Foresight." Sustainability in Innovation and Entrepreneurship , no. : 45-58.

Book chapter
Published: 24 July 2016 in Sustainability in Innovation and Entrepreneurship
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ACS Style

Pavel Bakhtin; Tugrul U. Daim; Denise Chiavetta; Alan L. Porter; Ozcan Saritas. Tech Mining for Emerging STI Trends Through Dynamic Term Clustering and Semantic Analysis: The Case of Photonics. Sustainability in Innovation and Entrepreneurship 2016, 341 -360.

AMA Style

Pavel Bakhtin, Tugrul U. Daim, Denise Chiavetta, Alan L. Porter, Ozcan Saritas. Tech Mining for Emerging STI Trends Through Dynamic Term Clustering and Semantic Analysis: The Case of Photonics. Sustainability in Innovation and Entrepreneurship. 2016; ():341-360.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Pavel Bakhtin; Tugrul U. Daim; Denise Chiavetta; Alan L. Porter; Ozcan Saritas. 2016. "Tech Mining for Emerging STI Trends Through Dynamic Term Clustering and Semantic Analysis: The Case of Photonics." Sustainability in Innovation and Entrepreneurship , no. : 341-360.

Book chapter
Published: 24 July 2016 in Sustainability in Innovation and Entrepreneurship
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ACS Style

Munan Li; Tugrul U. Daim; Denise Chiavetta; Alan L. Porter; Ozcan Saritas. A Conceptual Framework of Tech Mining Engineering to Enhance the Planning of Future Innovation Pathway (FIP). Sustainability in Innovation and Entrepreneurship 2016, 25 -44.

AMA Style

Munan Li, Tugrul U. Daim, Denise Chiavetta, Alan L. Porter, Ozcan Saritas. A Conceptual Framework of Tech Mining Engineering to Enhance the Planning of Future Innovation Pathway (FIP). Sustainability in Innovation and Entrepreneurship. 2016; ():25-44.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Munan Li; Tugrul U. Daim; Denise Chiavetta; Alan L. Porter; Ozcan Saritas. 2016. "A Conceptual Framework of Tech Mining Engineering to Enhance the Planning of Future Innovation Pathway (FIP)." Sustainability in Innovation and Entrepreneurship , no. : 25-44.