Motivation: Analysis of mutational signatures is a powerful approach for understanding the mutagenic processes that have shaped the evolution of a cancer genome. To evaluate the mutational signatures operative in a cancer genome, one first needs to quantify their activities by estimating the number of mutations imprinted by each signature. Results: Here we present SigProfilerAssignment, a desktop and an online computational framework for assigning all types of mutational signatures to individual samples. SigProfilerAssignment is the first tool that allows both analysis of copy-number signatures and probabilistic assignment of signatures to individual somatic mutations. As its computational engine, the tool uses a custom implementation of the forward stagewise algorithm for sparse regression and nonnegative least squares for numerical optimization. Analysis of 2700 synthetic cancer genomes with and without noise demonstrates that SigProfilerAssignment outperforms four commonly used approaches for assigning mutational signatures. Availability and implementation: SigProfilerAssignment is available under the BSD 2-clause license at https://github.com/AlexandrovLab/SigProfilerAssignment with a web implementation at https://cancer.sanger.ac.uk/signatures/assignment/.

Incidence rates of colorectal cancer vary geographically and have changed over time¹. Notably, in the past two decades, the incidence of early-onset colorectal cancer, which affects individuals below 50 years of age, has doubled in many countries^2–5. The reasons for this increase are unknown. Here we investigate whether mutational processes contribute to geographic and age-related differences by examining 981 colorectal cancer genomes from 11 countries. No major differences were found in microsatellite-unstable cancers, but variations in mutation burden and signatures were observed in the 802 microsatellite-stable cases. Multiple signatures, most with unknown aetiologies, exhibited varying prevalence in Argentina, Brazil, Colombia, Russia and Thailand, indicating geographically diverse levels of mutagenic exposure. Signatures SBS88 and ID18, caused by the bacteria-produced mutagen colibactin^6,7, had higher mutation loads in countries with higher colorectal cancer incidence rates. SBS88 and ID18 were also enriched in early-onset colorectal cancers, being 3.3 times more common in individuals who were diagnosed before 40 years of age than in those over 70 years of age, and were imprinted early during colorectal cancer development. Colibactin exposure was further linked to APC driver mutations, with ID18 being responsible for about 25% of APC driver indels in colibactin-positive cases. This study reveals geographic and age-related variations in colorectal cancer mutational processes, and suggests that mutagenic exposure to colibactin-producing bacteria in early life may contribute to the increasing incidence of early-onset colorectal cancer.

International differences in the incidence of many cancer types indicate the existence of carcinogen exposures that have not yet been identified by conventional epidemiology make a substantial contribution to cancer burden¹. In clear cell renal cell carcinoma, obesity, hypertension and tobacco smoking are risk factors, but they do not explain the geographical variation in its incidence². Underlying causes can be inferred by sequencing the genomes of cancers from populations with different incidence rates and detecting differences in patterns of somatic mutations. Here we sequenced 962 clear cell renal cell carcinomas from 11 countries with varying incidence. The somatic mutation profiles differed between countries. In Romania, Serbia and Thailand, mutational signatures characteristic of aristolochic acid compounds were present in most cases, but these were rare elsewhere. In Japan, a mutational signature of unknown cause was found in more than 70% of cases but in less than 2% elsewhere. A further mutational signature of unknown cause was ubiquitous but exhibited higher mutation loads in countries with higher incidence rates of kidney cancer. Known signatures of tobacco smoking correlated with tobacco consumption, but no signature was associated with obesity or hypertension, suggesting that non-mutagenic mechanisms of action underlie these risk factors. The results of this study indicate the existence of multiple, geographically variable, mutagenic exposures that potentially affect tens of millions of people and illustrate the opportunities for new insights into cancer causation through large-scale global cancer genomics.

PURPOSE: Cancers with homologous recombination deficiency (HRD) can benefit from platinum salts and poly(ADP-ribose) polymerase inhibitors. Standard diagnostic tests for detecting HRD require molecular profiling, which is not universally available. METHODS: We trained DeepHRD, a deep learning platform for predicting HRD from hematoxylin and eosin (H&E)–stained histopathological slides, using primary breast (n = 1,008) and ovarian (n = 459) cancers from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). DeepHRD was compared with four standard HRD molecular tests using breast (n = 349) and ovarian (n = 141) cancers from multiple independent data sets, including platinum-treated clinical cohorts with RECIST progression-free survival (PFS), complete response (CR), and overall survival (OS) endpoints. RESULTS: DeepHRD predicted HRD from held-out H&E-stained breast cancer slides in TCGA with an AUC of 0.81 (95% CI, 0.77 to 0.85). This performance was confirmed in two independent primary breast cancer cohorts (AUC, 0.76 [95% CI, 0.71 to 0.82]). In an external platinum-treated metastatic breast cancer cohort, samples predicted as HRD had higher complete CR (AUC, 0.76 [95% CI, 0.54 to 0.93]) with 3.7-fold increase in median PFS (14.4 v 3.9 months; P = .0019) and hazard ratio (HR) of 0.45 ( P = .0047). There were no significant differences in nonplatinum treatment outcome by predicted HRD status in three breast cancer cohorts, including CR (AUC, 0.39) and PFS (HR, 0.98, P = .95) in taxane-treated metastatic breast cancer. Through transfer learning to high-grade serous ovarian cancer, DeepHRD-predicted HRD samples had better OS after first-line (HR, 0.46; P = .030) and neoadjuvant (HR, 0.49; P = .015) platinum therapy in two cohorts. CONCLUSION: DeepHRD can predict HRD in breast and ovarian cancers directly from routine H&E slides across multiple external cohorts, slide scanners, and tissue fixation variables. When compared with molecular testing, DeepHRD classified 1.8- to 3.1-fold more patients with HRD, which exhibited better OS in high-grade serous ovarian cancer and platinum-specific PFS in metastatic breast cancer.

Mutational signatures have been proved as a valuable pattern in somatic genomics, mainly regarding cancer, with a potential application as a biomarker in clinical practice. Up to now, several bioinformatic packages to address this topic have been developed in different languages/platforms. MutationalPatterns has arisen as the most efficient tool for the comparison with the signatures currently reported in the Catalogue of Somatic Mutations in Cancer (COSMIC) database. However, the analysis of mutational signatures is nowadays restricted to a small community of bioinformatic experts. In this work we present Mutational Signatures in Cancer (MuSiCa), a new web tool based on MutationalPatterns and built using the Shiny framework in R language. By means of a simple interface suited to non-specialized researchers, it provides a comprehensive analysis of the somatic mutational status of the supplied cancer samples. It permits characterizing the profile and burden of mutations, as well as quantifying COSMIC-reported mutational signatures. It also allows classifying samples according to the above signature contributions. MuSiCa is a helpful web application to characterize mutational signatures in cancer samples. It is accessible online at http://bioinfo.ciberehd.org/GPtoCRC/en/tools.html and source code is freely available at https://github.com/marcos-diazg/musica .