Drylands are home to more than 38% of the world's population and are one of the most sensitive areas to climate change and human activities. This review describes recent progress in dryland climate change research. Recent findings indicate that the long‐term trend of the aridity index (AI) is mainly attributable to increased greenhouse gas emissions, while anthropogenic aerosols exert small effects but alter its attributions. Atmosphere‐land interactions determine the intensity of regional response. The largest warming during the last 100 years was observed over drylands and accounted for more than half of the continental warming. The global pattern and interdecadal variability of aridity changes are modulated by oceanic oscillations. The different phases of those oceanic oscillations induce significant changes in land‐sea and north‐south thermal contrasts, which affect the intensity of the westerlies and planetary waves and the blocking frequency, thereby altering global changes in temperature and precipitation. During 1948–2008, the drylands in the Americas became wetter due to enhanced westerlies, whereas the drylands in the Eastern Hemisphere became drier because of the weakened East Asian summer monsoon. Drylands as defined by the AI have expanded over the last 60 years and are projected to expand in the 21st century. The largest expansion of drylands has occurred in semiarid regions since the early 1960s. Dryland expansion will lead to reduced carbon sequestration and enhanced regional warming. The increasing aridity, enhanced warming, and rapidly growing population will exacerbate the risk of land degradation and desertification in the near future in developing countries.
15 February 2017 in Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
The Weather Research and Forecasting Model with chemistry (WRF-Chem model) was used to investigate a typical dust storm event that occurred from 18 to 23 March 2010 and swept across almost all of China, Japan, and Korea. The spatial and temporal variations in dust aerosols and the meteorological conditions over East Asia were well reproduced by the WRF-Chem model. The simulation results were used to further investigate the details of processes related to dust emission, long-range transport, and radiative effects of dust aerosols over the Taklimakan Desert (TD) and Gobi Desert (GD). The results indicated that weather conditions, topography, and surface types in dust source regions may influence dust emission, uplift height, and transport at the regional scale. The GD was located in the warm zone in advance of the cold front in this case. Rapidly warming surface temperatures and cold air advection at high levels caused strong instability in the atmosphere, which strengthened the downward momentum transported from the middle and low troposphere and caused strong surface winds. Moreover, the GD is located in a relatively flat, high-altitude region influenced by the confluence of the northern and southern westerly jets. Therefore, the GD dust particles were easily lofted to 4 km and were the primary contributor to the dust concentration over East Asia. In the dust budget analysis, the dust emission flux over the TD was 27.2 ± 4.1 µg m−2 s−1, which was similar to that over the GD (29 ± 3.6 µg m−2 s−1). However, the transport contribution of the TD dust (up to 0.8 ton d−1) to the dust sink was much smaller than that of the GD dust (up to 3.7 ton d−1) because of the complex terrain and the prevailing wind in the TD. Notably, a small amount of the TD dust (PM2.5 dust concentration of approximately 8.7 µg m−3) was lofted to above 5 km and transported over greater distances under the influence of the westerly jets. Moreover, the direct radiative forcing induced by dust was estimated to be −3 and −7 W m−2 at the top of the atmosphere, −8 and −10 W m−2 at the surface, and +5 and +3 W m−2 in the atmosphere over the TD and GD, respectively. This study provides confidence for further understanding the climate effects of the GD dust.
The amount, frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation over Xinjiang have increased dramatically under the wetting trend in Northwest China, but long‐term trends in the precipitation‐recycling process remain largely unexplored. Based on dynamic recycling model and MERRA2 reanalysis, we revealed a mean recycling ratio for extreme precipitation in Xinjiang of 42.3% with a growth rate of 2.3% decade−1 during 1982–2019. The increasing trend of extreme precipitation was almost equally attributed to increased recycling precipitation (49%) and external precipitation (51%). The extreme precipitation in Xinjiang exhibited two peak centers, the Tianshan Mountains region (TS) and Kunlun Mountains region (KL), highlighting variations in the water cycle. Specifically, the external cycle predominated the increased extreme precipitation in TS (61%), while the recycling process mainly influenced the increase in KL (67%) due to markedly enhanced evapotranspiration. Moisture source attribution further proved the crucial role of evapotranspiration from Xinjiang and its vicinity in extreme precipitation.
26 November 2020 in Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
The rapid warming and consequent retreat of glaciers across the Tibetan Plateau (TP) have given rise to the debate on the ability of the atmospheric water supply to alleviate the depletion of surface water storage. We investigate long‐term changes in atmospheric water vapor balance across the TP using 40‐year fifth generation European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) (ERA5) reanalysis. Precipitation, water vapor convergence, and evaporation generally maintain an equilibrium but with different long‐term variation trends: 0.68, −0.18, and 0.69 mm/a, respectively. Results suggest the inability of the water vapor arriving from outside the TP to effectively replenish the surface water storage. Despite of huge changes in atmospheric water vapor balance during summer, the risk of water storage depletion is brought by other three seasons, especially the autumn. The climatology and long‐term trends of water vapor balance exhibit strong variation across the regions of TP. The surrounding areas of Yarlung Zangbo Grand Canyon experience sharp decrease in water vapor convergence, thus reducing precipitation. Moreover, increasing evaporation is expected to severely loss of surface water storage. For the Three Rivers Source Region with no significant changes in total precipitations, decrease in water transported from outside of TP overlaps increase in evaporation results in the possible depletion of surface water storage. Brahmaputra basin, inner TP, and Qilian Mountain exhibit significant wetting trends due to increases in both convergence of water vapor flux and evaporation. Above regional and seasonal characteristics of water vapor, balances across the TP are attributed by inhomogeneous variation of atmospheric heat source and complex changes of atmospheric circulations.
19 May 2021 in Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
Rapid warming over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) has been associated with an increasing trend in atmospheric water vapor content, which is critical for recharging the Asian water tower. However, the mechanism associated with the wetting phenomenon remains unclear. Long‐term changes in moisture balance and precipitation (PRE) recycling processes are investigated using the ERA5 reanalysis from 1979 to 2019. The increasing trend over TP is mainly due to the summer water vapor trend with significantly increases over the western TP. Based on the moisture balance analysis, it is found that PRE, evaporation, and the convergence of moisture are all increasing over the western TP but decreasing over the eastern TP. Based on the dynamical PRE recycling model, the results suggest that both internal and external cycles contributes to the wetting over TP, with 63.87% and 36.13% contributions respectively. Further analysis found that the atmospheric heating source is also increasing over the western TP, which could shift the moisture transportation from east to west at the southern boundary of TP. The increasing moisture convergence could enhance PRE, and the enhanced latent heating in the mid‐atmosphere can further induced moisture convergence, which forms a positive feedback. However, an opposite situation occurred over the eastern TP. The internal and external cycle of the water cycle can stimulate (suppress) each other through PRE over the western (eastern) TP. This mechanism linked the changes in the PRE recycling and atmospheric circulation, and induced the increasing trend over TP in summer.
16 February 2024 in Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres