Background: WHO has recommended HPV testing for cervical screening where it is practical and affordable. If used, it is important to both clarify and implement the clinical management of positive results. We estimated the performance in Lusaka, Zambia of a novel screening/triage approach combining HPV typing with visual assessment assisted by a deep-learning approach called automated visual evaluation (AVE). Methods: In this well-established cervical cancer screening program nested inside public sector primary care health facilities, experienced nurses examined women with high-quality digital cameras; the magnified illuminated images permit inspection of the surface morphology of the cervix and expert telemedicine quality assurance. Emphasizing sensitive criteria to avoid missing precancer/cancer, ~ 25% of women screen positive, reflecting partly the high HIV prevalence. Visual screen-positive women are treated in the same visit by trained nurses using either ablation (~ 60%) or LLETZ excision, or referred for LLETZ or more extensive surgery as needed. We added research elements (which did not influence clinical care) including collection of HPV specimens for testing and typing with BD Onclarity™ with a five channel output (HPV16, HPV18/45, HPV31/33/52/58, HPV35/39/51/56/59/66/68, human DNA control), and collection of triplicate cervical images with a Samsung Galaxy J8 smartphone camera™ that were analyzed using AVE, an AI-based algorithm pre-trained on a large NCI cervical image archive. The four HPV groups and three AVE classes were crossed to create a 12-level risk scale, ranking participants in order of predicted risk of precancer. We evaluated the risk scale and assessed how well it predicted the observed diagnosis of precancer/cancer. Results: HPV type, AVE classification, and the 12-level risk scale all were strongly associated with degree of histologic outcome. The AVE classification showed good reproducibility between replicates, and added finer predictive accuracy to each HPV type group. Women living with HIV had higher prevalence of precancer/cancer; the HPV-AVE risk categories strongly predicted diagnostic findings in these women as well. Conclusions: These results support the theoretical efficacy of HPV-AVE-based risk estimation for cervical screening. If HPV testing can be made affordable, cost-effective and point of care, this risk-based approach could be one management option for HPV-positive women.

Uterine cervical cancer is a leading cause of women’s mortality worldwide. Cervical tissue ablation is an effective surgical excision of high grade lesions that are determined to be precancerous. Our prior work on the Automated Visual Examination (AVE) method demonstrated a highly effective technique to analyze digital images of the cervix for identifying precancer. Next step would be to determine if she is treatable using ablation. However, not all women are eligible for the therapy due to cervical characteristics. We present a machine learning algorithm that uses a deep learning object detection architecture to determine if a cervix is eligible for ablative treatment based on visual characteristics presented in the image. The algorithm builds on the well-known RetinaNet architecture to derive a simpler and novel architecture in which the last convolutional layer is constructed by upsampling and concatenating specific RetinaNet pretrained layers, followed by an output module consisting of a Global Average Pooling (GAP) layer and a fully connected layer. To explain the recommendation of the deep learning algorithm and determine if it is consistent with lesion presentation on the cervical anatomy, we visualize classification results using two techniques: our (i) Class-selective Relevance Map (CRM), which has been reported earlier, and (ii) Class Activation Map (CAM). The class prediction heatmaps are evaluated by a gynecologic oncologist with more than 20 years of experience. Based on our observation and the expert’s opinion, the customized architecture not only outperforms the baseline RetinaNet network in treatability classification, but also provides insights about the features and regions considered significant by the network toward explaining reasons for treatment recommendation. Furthermore, by investigating the heatmaps on Gaussian-blurred images that serve as surrogates for out-of-focus cervical pictures we demonstrate the effect of image quality degradation on cervical treatability classification and underscoring the need for using images with good visual quality.